Lenoir-Rhyne
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1211 (#25) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1203 (#37) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1198 (#18) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +12.7 (#66) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +16.2 (#134) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.707 (#287) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.877 (#149) | NetEff +15.6 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.753 (#296) | AdjNet +9.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.758 (#299) | AdjNet +9.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.650 (#289) | AdjO 70.7 | AdjD 63.9 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.782 (#36) | AdjO 83.2 | AdjD 69.2 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.807 (#93) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.816 (#76) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1251 (#30) | RD 98 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-15 | vs | USC Aiken | W | 79 - 59 |
| 2025-11-16 | vs | Lander | W | 79 - 61 |
| 2025-11-19 | @ | Francis Marion | L | 63 - 68 |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Belmont Abbey | L | 83 - 86 |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | USC Beaufort | W | 71 - 67 |
| 2025-11-28 | @ | Lincoln Memorial | L | 77 - 88 |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Emory & Henry | W | 92 - 82 |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | UVA Wise | L | 90 - 95 |
| 2025-12-17 | @ | Wingate | W | 74 - 64 |
| 2025-12-20 | vs | Mars Hill | W | 111 - 78 |
| 2025-12-31 | @ | King (TN) | W | 79 - 53 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Carson-Newman | W | 103 - 92 |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | Coker | W | 83 - 57 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Tusculum | W | 109 - 71 |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Anderson (SC) | W | 81 - 72 |
| 2026-01-23 | vs | Lincoln Memorial | W | 71 - 63 |
| 2026-01-28 | @ | Catawba | W | 74 - 64 |
| 2026-01-30 | @ | Emory & Henry | W | 120 - 70 |
| 2026-02-04 | vs | Wingate | W | 98 - 69 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | UVA Wise | W | 89 - 86 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaliyah El | - | 19 | 26.7 | 17.6 | 4.2 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 0.5 | 3.1 | 12.3 | 11.1 | 166 | 7.9 | 55.4 | 48.3 | 11.1 | 82.9 | 4.62 | 57.4 | 48.5 |
| Abigail Brown | - | 20 | 26.0 | 15.4 | 6.3 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 2.4 | 12.2 | 11.0 | 127 | 5.8 | 35.6 | 45.1 | 36.2 | 81.7 | 2.22 | 55.0 | 49.4 |
| Elyseia Brown | - | 20 | 24.3 | 11.2 | 3.9 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 0.2 | 1.6 | 8.9 | 7.2 | 84 | 3.8 | 18.5 | 41.9 | 40.0 | 66.0 | 1.04 | 56.0 | 53.6 |
| Ralee Bare | - | 12 | 22.5 | 9.8 | 5.4 | 3.9 | 2.5 | 0.3 | 2.9 | 7.2 | 11.8 | 79 | 6.1 | 36.1 | 44.8 | 31.2 | 82.9 | -0.55 | 55.7 | 47.7 |
| Madilyn Winterton | - | 20 | 22.8 | 6.7 | 4.8 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 6.0 | 7.4 | 89 | 4.0 | 27.1 | 45.4 | 15.4 | 65.6 | 4.2 | 50.0 | 47.1 |
| Amiya Porter | - | 20 | 27.9 | 6.2 | 2.0 | 3.6 | 2.0 | 0.1 | 1.9 | 5.8 | 6.2 | 145 | 6.6 | 31.8 | 35.3 | 34.9 | 65.0 | 1.99 | 49.7 | 47.8 |
| Tatum Bowen | - | 20 | 16.8 | 6.1 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 6.3 | 2.2 | 131 | 6.0 | 36.1 | 27.8 | 28.3 | 87.0 | 2.14 | 44.8 | 40.5 |
| Sarah Burton | - | 3 | 12.8 | 6.0 | 2.7 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 45 | 15.0 | 73.9 | 58.3 | 25.0 | 60.0 | 1.11 | 63.4 | 62.5 |
| Lauren Arnold | - | 20 | 15.5 | 5.8 | 5.5 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 4.3 | 7.8 | 54 | 2.5 | 18.4 | 45.3 | 14.3 | 75.0 | -0.14 | 54.6 | 47.7 |
| Peyton Harvey | - | 15 | 13.0 | 4.2 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 2.4 | 3.8 | 2.0 | -2 | -0.1 | -1.6 | 36.8 | 33.3 | 71.4 | 1.17 | 49.9 | 46.5 |
| Trista Charles | - | 19 | 9.1 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 2.4 | 2.8 | 7 | 0.3 | 5.8 | 47.8 | 42.1 | 66.7 | 1.24 | 59.7 | 56.5 |
| Emma Pendleton | - | 18 | 9.0 | 3.2 | 2.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 2.6 | 2.7 | 59 | 3.1 | 32.3 | 54.3 | 0 | 63.6 | 0.3 | 56.1 | 54.3 |
| Jodi King | - | 12 | 5.6 | 2.9 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 1.8 | 2.4 | -33 | -2.4 | -140.4 | 61.9 | 66.7 | 100.0 | -0.88 | 75.4 | 71.4 |
| Madelyn Caron | - | 6 | 4.9 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 27.3 | 0 | 60.0 | -0.11 | 34.1 | 27.3 |
| Kendall Murphy | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Taylor Romano | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG