Lenoir-Rhyne
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1132 (#26) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1200 (#18) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +18.9 (#8) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.790 (#165) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.729 (#107) | NetEff +9.5 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.900 (#139) | AdjNet +19.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.888 (#153) | AdjNet +17.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.796 (#126) | AdjO 86.3 | AdjD 71.3 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-08 | vs | Chowan | L | 68 - 81 |
| 2024-11-09 | @ | Clayton St. | W | 89 - 66 |
| 2024-11-13 | @ | Emmanuel (GA) | W | 94 - 88 |
| 2024-11-16 | @ | Carson-Newman | L | 101 - 105 |
| 2024-11-20 | @ | Newberry | W | 83 - 78 |
| 2024-11-23 | @ | Emory & Henry | W | 97 - 75 |
| 2024-11-26 | vs | Wingate | W | 81 - 67 |
| 2024-11-30 | vs | UVA Wise | W | 89 - 72 |
| 2024-12-04 | @ | Catawba | W | 112 - 108 |
| 2024-12-07 | vs | Tusculum | W | 95 - 75 |
| 2024-12-14 | vs | Bluefield Univ. | W | 78 - 51 |
| 2024-12-18 | vs | Coker | W | 99 - 98 |
| 2025-01-04 | vs | Lincoln Memorial | W | 79 - 77 |
| 2025-01-08 | @ | Mars Hill | W | 92 - 81 |
| 2025-01-12 | @ | UVA Wise | L | 86 - 90 |
| 2025-01-15 | @ | Anderson (SC) | W | 78 - 74 |
| 2025-01-18 | vs | Emory & Henry | W | 103 - 67 |
| 2025-01-22 | vs | Limestone | W | 90 - 62 |
| 2025-01-25 | @ | Tusculum | W | 79 - 72 |
| 2025-01-29 | @ | Wingate | W | 82 - 77 |
| 2025-02-01 | vs | Carson-Newman | L | 111 - 114 |
| 2025-02-05 | @ | Coker | W | 95 - 77 |
| 2025-02-08 | vs | Mars Hill | W | 78 - 69 |
| 2025-02-12 | vs | Anderson (SC) | W | 85 - 78 |
| 2025-02-15 | @ | Lincoln Memorial | L | 59 - 87 |
| 2025-02-22 | @ | Limestone | W | 89 - 75 |
| 2025-02-26 | vs | Catawba | W | 82 - 67 |
| 2025-03-01 | vs | Newberry | W | 98 - 85 |
| 2025-03-04 | vs | Anderson (SC) | W | 73 - 0 |
| 2025-03-06 | vs | Catawba | W | 84 - 83 |
| 2025-03-07 | @ | Lincoln Memorial | W | 82 - 78 |
| 2025-03-15 | vs | Augusta | W | 94 - 79 |
| 2025-03-16 | @ | USC Aiken | W | 91 - 87 |
| 2025-03-18 | vs | UNC Pembroke | W | 76 - 74 |
| 2025-03-25 | @ | Washburn | L | 78 - 90 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ziare Wells | - | 35 | 27.8 | 16.3 | 5.6 | 2.2 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 1.9 | 11.9 | 12.0 | -76 | -3.2 | -7.6 | 52.8 | 39.1 | 68.2 | 0.2 | 59.0 | 56.0 |
| Hantz Louis-Jeune | - | 33 | 27.1 | 12.9 | 4.9 | 2.3 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 1.4 | 9.7 | 10.3 | 48 | 1.7 | 3.9 | 49.2 | 34.9 | 72.8 | -0.01 | 57.8 | 53.9 |
| Tay Smith | - | 33 | 29.2 | 11.7 | 4.2 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 9.7 | 8.8 | 28 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 46.4 | 35.4 | 74.5 | 1.94 | 56.5 | 54.5 |
| Julian Dozier | - | 33 | 27.7 | 11.6 | 3.4 | 5.1 | 2.2 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 8.8 | 10.9 | 69 | 1.7 | 5.5 | 42.4 | 30.9 | 78.5 | 2.13 | 54.7 | 47.6 |
| Conrad Luczynski | - | 35 | 20.5 | 10.1 | 6.1 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 6.8 | 11.5 | 140 | 3.7 | 12.4 | 59.5 | 0.0 | 64.5 | 1.53 | 61.8 | 59.5 |
| Sam Martin | - | 35 | 20.1 | 8.6 | 4.1 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 5.2 | 9.7 | 8 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 60.4 | 0 | 57.9 | -0.56 | 61.8 | 60.4 |
| Junior Hodnett | - | 34 | 20.4 | 8.2 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 6.1 | 4.2 | -45 | -2.0 | -7.5 | 41.5 | 40.0 | 84.8 | 1.27 | 61.4 | 58.0 |
| Shem Sawy | - | 33 | 8.9 | 4.1 | 2.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 2.9 | 3.6 | -44 | -1.7 | -40.9 | 54.7 | 50.0 | 70.0 | -0.16 | 59.9 | 56.3 |
| Gabe Cerda | - | 35 | 13.0 | 2.2 | 2.6 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 3.8 | 13 | 0.6 | 3.4 | 38.1 | 29.4 | 68.6 | 0.16 | 49.1 | 42.1 |
| Jaheim Taylor | - | 20 | 1.9 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 0.7 | - | - | - | 63.6 | 80.0 | 100.0 | - | 84.2 | 81.8 |
| Jalen Miller | - | 33 | 3.1 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 0.5 | -10 | -0.8 | -133.3 | 26.7 | 20.0 | 75.0 | -1.34 | 34.6 | 31.7 |
| Dylan Goodman | - | 33 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | -24 | -3.0 | -538.3 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | -1.56 | 62.5 | 62.5 |
| Lucas Mathieu | - | 20 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.1 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 40.0 | 40.0 |
| Chase Mebane | - | 17 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0 | 0 | - | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Seth Reed | - | 33 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | -0.1 | 8 | 0.5 | 179.4 | 11.1 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.56 | 11.1 | 11.1 |
| Conner Tilley | - | 17 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Chris Crudup | - | 14 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Jaxon Koroll | - | 15 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG