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Lees-McRae

Also known as: Lees-McRae
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1024 (#137) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1020 (#158) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → -9.6 (#280) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.124 (#523) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -5.6 More → 0.322 (#265) NetEff -5.6
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -21.4 More → 0.078 (#605) AdjNet -21.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -21.1 More → 0.077 (#606) AdjNet -21.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 61.1 | AdjD 75.5 More → 0.213 (#613) AdjO 61.1 | AdjD 75.5

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-09 @ Tusculum W 78 - 70
2024-11-10 vs Catawba L 65 - 92
2024-11-13 @ Winston-Salem L 51 - 69
2024-11-16 @ Albany St. (GA) W 65 - 63
2024-11-23 @ Young Harris L 40 - 78
2024-11-30 vs UNC Pembroke L 52 - 58
2024-12-04 @ King (TN) L 58 - 78
2024-12-07 @ Southern Wesleyan W 80 - 77
2024-12-14 @ Converse L 52 - 63
2024-12-17 vs Erskine W 85 - 78
2024-12-19 @ USC Upstate L 59 - 65
2024-12-31 @ Elon L 53 - 97
2025-01-04 @ Mount Olive W 82 - 70
2025-01-08 vs North Greenville L 51 - 59
2025-01-14 @ Belmont Abbey L 44 - 58
2025-01-21 @ Chowan L 56 - 80
2025-01-25 @ Emmanuel (GA) L 56 - 73
2025-01-28 vs Converse L 48 - 62
2025-02-01 vs Shorter L 60 - 81
2025-02-05 vs King (TN) W 69 - 58
2025-02-08 @ Francis Marion L 70 - 97
2025-02-12 vs Barton W 73 - 68
2025-02-14 vs Chowan L 66 - 85
2025-02-19 @ North Greenville L 66 - 72
2025-02-22 vs Young Harris L 62 - 80
2025-02-26 vs Belmont Abbey L 52 - 82
2025-03-02 @ King (TN) L 49 - 57

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Nadiya Hairston - 27 27.9 10.5 4.4 1.7 1.9 0.2 2.3 11.4 5.1 26 0.8 0.7 32.8 30.2 74.4 -0.36 43.3 40.7
Leah Barringer - 25 20.8 9.2 3.2 0.9 0.9 0.0 1.4 8.3 4.6 - - - 41.3 35.6 76.7 - 50.9 47.6
Layla Tillery - 27 22.6 7.9 3.5 1.2 1.4 0.4 2.0 9.0 3.4 -72 -3.0 -2.2 26.7 25.6 71.3 -0.6 36.9 28.8
Kirsten Watt - 27 26.0 7.4 2.8 1.3 1.1 0.1 2.3 8.0 2.5 -64 -4.6 -3.7 30.0 24.1 73.3 -0.46 41.3 36.2
Emily Barr - 22 17.9 5.3 5.4 0.9 1.1 0.3 2.1 5.9 5.0 - - - 34.1 20.0 61.1 - 40.4 36.8
Sandra Mason - 27 16.4 4.9 2.8 1.7 2.1 0.1 2.4 4.8 4.5 49 2.0 1.6 36.9 32.4 83.3 0.13 48.2 45.4
Aleysha Hill - 27 16.1 3.7 1.3 1.2 0.6 0.1 1.0 3.1 2.7 -35 -5.0 -4.0 31.0 24.3 88.4 -0.15 48.1 36.3
Shayne Burton - 27 14.7 3.3 1.4 0.7 1.0 0.1 1.1 2.5 3.1 85 8.5 7.7 34.3 33.3 68.5 0.68 49.6 39.6
Thailand Smith - 27 13.5 3.0 3.7 0.3 0.4 0.6 1.3 2.8 3.9 51 1.7 1.8 49.3 20.0 33.3 0.5 48.8 50.0
Sydney Hayes - 26 7.8 3.0 0.8 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.6 3.0 0.8 - - - 34.6 35.5 100.0 - 49.8 48.7
Kenley Woods - 13 12.9 2.9 1.5 1.1 0.9 0.2 2.2 2.8 1.5 - - - 32.4 21.1 66.7 -0.24 43.6 37.8
Kayli Dunn - 24 4.9 2.0 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.3 2.0 0.6 - - - 27.7 31.0 81.2 - 44.4 37.2
Re'ale Walton - 2 6.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 - - - 0.0 0 80.0 - 47.6 0.0
Anna Scaldara - 25 1.8 0.3 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.3 - - - 30.0 0.0 100.0 - 36.8 30.0
Taylor Allen - 12 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 33 1.3 4.9 0 0 0 0.56 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG