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Lees-McRae

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Lees-McRae
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1136 (#76) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1063 (#157) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 1072 (#101) HCA +75 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More → -1.3 (#240) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → +6.5 (#256) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.124 (#523) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +9.9 More → 0.783 (#195) NetEff +9.9
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -21.4 More → 0.078 (#605) AdjNet -21.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -21.1 More → 0.077 (#606) AdjNet -21.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 61.1 | AdjD 75.5 More → 0.213 (#613) AdjO 61.1 | AdjD 75.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 72.9 | AdjD 65.1 More → 0.670 (#103) AdjO 72.9 | AdjD 65.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.594 (#270) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.627 (#247) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 105 | GP 21 More → 1130 (#89) RD 105 | GP 21

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-09 @ Coastal Carolina - Incomplete score
2025-11-14 @ Catawba - Incomplete score
2025-11-15 vs Tusculum - Incomplete score
2025-11-20 vs Bluefield Univ. - Incomplete score
2025-11-22 vs Chowan - Incomplete score
2025-11-25 @ North Greenville - Incomplete score
2025-12-01 vs Winston-Salem - Incomplete score
2025-12-03 vs Toccoa Falls - Incomplete score
2025-12-06 vs King (TN) - Incomplete score
2025-12-13 vs Southern Wesleyan - Incomplete score
2025-12-16 @ Belmont Abbey - Incomplete score
2026-01-03 vs Francis Marion - Incomplete score
2026-01-10 @ Barton - Incomplete score
2026-01-14 @ King (TN) - Incomplete score
2026-01-17 vs Mount Olive - Incomplete score
2026-01-19 vs Erskine - Incomplete score
2026-01-21 vs Warren Wilson - Incomplete score
2026-01-28 @ Ferrum - Incomplete score
2026-01-31 @ Shorter - Incomplete score
2026-02-04 vs North Greenville - Incomplete score
2026-02-07 @ Young Harris - Incomplete score

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Nadiya Hairston - 20 33.0 18.2 5.5 3.0 1.3 0.5 2.1 13.8 12.6 106 4.6 39.1 42.5 32.2 89.1 -0.59 57.8 51.5
Kaylee Carson - 20 31.0 16.4 5.3 1.9 1.6 0.1 3.0 13.6 8.8 70 3.3 24.7 45.4 32.1 75.6 -0.58 53.3 48.7
Sydney Gueterman - 20 25.9 7.8 4.8 1.2 1.1 0.3 1.1 6.8 7.3 135 6.8 57.6 40.1 31.3 76.5 0.87 51.7 47.8
Braelyn Stilwell - 20 18.5 6.8 2.5 2.0 1.2 0.0 1.4 3.5 7.7 -4 -0.2 -5.1 54.3 44.4 81.1 - 72.3 65.7
Sandra Mason - 20 22.3 6.5 3.5 2.7 1.9 0.1 2.6 5.5 6.4 109 5.2 60.8 41.4 42.4 72.2 0.86 54.7 52.7
Camryn Lee - 20 11.2 5.2 2.8 0.3 0.6 0.3 0.8 4.5 3.8 9 0.5 9.9 44.4 11.1 66.7 -0.81 49.3 45.0
Kirsten Watt - 20 16.3 4.1 1.1 0.8 1.1 0.0 0.7 4.2 2.1 -4 -0.2 -3.9 36.9 22.5 68.8 - 45.0 42.3
Charlotte Torgerson - 20 9.1 3.7 1.1 0.3 0.5 0.0 0.5 3.5 1.6 -24 -1.4 -34.8 36.2 37.7 40.0 - 50.4 50.7
Layla Tillery - 18 13.3 3.3 1.9 0.8 1.0 0.2 1.3 3.5 2.3 23 1.2 22.1 27.0 14.3 80.0 -1.74 38.7 27.8
Shayne Burton - 20 17.5 2.6 2.3 0.9 1.1 0.1 0.7 2.1 4.3 88 4.9 76.6 33.3 12.5 74.2 2.17 46.7 34.5
Asia Cairns - 7 3.7 2.0 1.6 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.4 1.9 2.0 3 0.6 21.1 38.5 40.0 100.0 - 50.4 46.2
Kamora Brown - 2 1.4 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 0.5 -2 -0.1 -1.0 66.7 0 0 2.23 66.7 66.7
Liv de la Fuente Bodenheimer - 10 4.8 1.3 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.4 1.6 0.9 27 3.9 996.9 25.0 9.1 100.0 - 36.6 28.1
Ava Rivera - 3 3.6 0.7 2.3 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 -26 -1.7 -11.3 16.7 0.0 0 -0.79 16.7 16.7
Brennyn Higgins - 6 3.2 0.3 1.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.0 0.0 -6 -6.0 -100.7 16.7 0 0.0 - 14.5 16.7
Taylor Allen - 6 1.4 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 -0.3 62 2.6 15.5 0.0 0.0 0 2.01 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG