Lees-McRae
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 943 (#330) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 963 (#249) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -1.3 (#247) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.513 (#327) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.534 (#207) | NetEff +1.2 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.485 (#421) | AdjNet -0.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.486 (#423) | AdjNet -0.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.488 (#428) | AdjO 81.2 | AdjD 81.7 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-09 | vs | UVA Wise | W | 87 - 82 |
| 2024-11-10 | vs | Carson-Newman | L | 80 - 87 |
| 2024-11-14 | @ | Anderson (SC) | L | 77 - 92 |
| 2024-11-23 | @ | Young Harris | L | 59 - 71 |
| 2024-11-30 | vs | UNC Pembroke | L | 79 - 89 |
| 2024-12-04 | @ | King (TN) | L | 82 - 88 |
| 2024-12-07 | @ | Southern Wesleyan | W | 110 - 82 |
| 2024-12-14 | @ | Converse | L | 75 - 94 |
| 2024-12-17 | vs | Erskine | W | 102 - 91 |
| 2024-12-20 | @ | Coker | L | 85 - 89 |
| 2024-12-21 | @ | Embry-Riddle (FL) | L | 90 - 94 |
| 2025-01-04 | @ | Mount Olive | L | 82 - 97 |
| 2025-01-08 | vs | North Greenville | L | 65 - 67 |
| 2025-01-14 | @ | Belmont Abbey | W | 65 - 36 |
| 2025-01-16 | vs | JWU (Charlotte) | W | 104 - 59 |
| 2025-01-18 | vs | Johnson C. Smith | L | 77 - 89 |
| 2025-01-21 | @ | Chowan | W | 93 - 90 |
| 2025-01-25 | @ | Emmanuel (GA) | L | 72 - 89 |
| 2025-01-28 | vs | Converse | W | 107 - 82 |
| 2025-02-01 | vs | Shorter | W | 100 - 72 |
| 2025-02-05 | vs | King (TN) | L | 87 - 96 |
| 2025-02-08 | @ | Francis Marion | W | 107 - 101 |
| 2025-02-10 | vs | Brevard | W | 82 - 64 |
| 2025-02-12 | vs | Barton | W | 87 - 75 |
| 2025-02-14 | vs | Chowan | L | 68 - 82 |
| 2025-02-19 | @ | North Greenville | W | 71 - 70 |
| 2025-02-22 | vs | Young Harris | L | 74 - 80 |
| 2025-02-26 | vs | Belmont Abbey | W | 76 - 60 |
| 2025-03-02 | vs | Erskine | L | 85 - 88 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jerry Bracey II | - | 1 | 24.0 | 22.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 11.0 | 22.0 | -32 | -1.9 | -7.6 | 81.8 | 0 | 100.0 | 0.25 | 86.2 | 81.8 |
| Ja'Quavian Florence | - | 23 | 28.2 | 18.1 | 4.1 | 3.0 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 3.0 | 14.5 | 10.1 | 44 | 2.0 | 9.6 | 43.2 | 40.5 | 74.0 | -0.04 | 54.9 | 50.9 |
| Michael Wilson Jr. | - | 2 | 36.0 | 18.0 | 7.0 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 16.0 | 14.0 | -3 | -0.6 | -12.3 | 31.2 | 20.0 | 68.2 | 0.8 | 43.2 | 32.8 |
| CaDarrius Sowell | - | 2 | 28.0 | 14.5 | 5.0 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 11.5 | 10.5 | -32 | -1.3 | -4.0 | 47.8 | 60.0 | 66.7 | 0.25 | 56.6 | 54.3 |
| Moses Cheek | - | 1 | 19.0 | 14.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 11.0 | 3.0 | -92 | -4.8 | -23.0 | 54.5 | 33.3 | 0 | 0.07 | 63.6 | 63.6 |
| Grant Lovette | - | 1 | 25.0 | 14.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 10.0 | 81 | 3.9 | 18.8 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 100.0 | 1.07 | 64.3 | 60.0 |
| Christian Monroe | - | 1 | 22.0 | 14.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 9.0 | - | - | - | 57.1 | 60.0 | 100.0 | - | 84.1 | 78.6 |
| DJ Kent | - | 25 | 23.0 | 13.2 | 4.7 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 1.8 | 9.6 | 9.7 | -32 | -1.7 | -12.3 | 58.6 | 31.8 | 70.0 | 0.02 | 62.0 | 60.0 |
| Milan Skoric | - | 1 | 23.0 | 13.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 10.0 | 6.0 | -11 | -0.8 | -3.4 | 40.0 | 40.0 | 33.3 | 0.11 | 57.4 | 60.0 |
| Zion Brown | - | 1 | 21.0 | 12.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 11.0 | 9.0 | -69 | -3.5 | -44.3 | 45.5 | 33.3 | 0 | -0.05 | 54.5 | 54.5 |
| Anthony Parker | - | 13 | 17.3 | 11.5 | 3.0 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 10.3 | 5.9 | 116 | 6.1 | 101.3 | 40.3 | 37.6 | 60.0 | -0.14 | 53.0 | 52.2 |
| Ja'Hiem Handy | - | 1 | 25.0 | 11.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 12.0 | 4 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 66.7 | 0.0 | 60.0 | 1.13 | 67.1 | 66.7 |
| Jared Berry | - | 1 | 16.0 | 10.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 187 | 8.9 | 97.7 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.04 | 39.6 | 20.0 |
| Michael McCalister | - | 1 | 30.0 | 10.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 6.0 | 55 | 2.8 | 14.1 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.19 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Jacob Brown | - | 2 | 29.5 | 10.0 | 10.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 8.0 | 14.0 | 84 | 3.0 | 5.3 | 37.5 | 0 | 66.7 | 2.76 | 47.0 | 37.5 |
| John Haddock Rogers | - | 2 | 14.5 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 40 | 2.7 | 21.6 | 60.0 | 50.0 | 100.0 | 0.24 | 82.0 | 75.0 |
| Nico Ashley | - | 21 | 20.8 | 8.0 | 4.4 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 5.8 | 8.8 | -82 | -5.1 | -17.9 | 57.0 | 20.0 | 62.5 | -0.04 | 60.2 | 58.7 |
| Jayden Byrd | - | 1 | 15.0 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 7.0 | 50 | 2.5 | 8.3 | 33.3 | 25.0 | 60.0 | 1.14 | 48.8 | 41.7 |
| Makayl Rakestraw | - | 1 | 14.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | -25 | -3.6 | -16.5 | 100.0 | 0 | 100.0 | -0.09 | 106.4 | 100.0 |
| Brandon Brown | - | 22 | 17.6 | 7.5 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 2.0 | 6.7 | 4.5 | -37 | -7.4 | -37.1 | 39.5 | 35.4 | 73.0 | -0.22 | 50.8 | 47.3 |
| Nigel Okwakol | - | 25 | 16.1 | 7.1 | 2.6 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 4.5 | 5.4 | 77 | 9.6 | 77.7 | 53.1 | 43.5 | 69.6 | -0.28 | 62.1 | 57.5 |
| Savion Brown | - | 2 | 31.0 | 7.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 9.5 | -1.0 | -41 | -1.2 | -5.0 | 31.6 | 22.2 | 0 | 0.55 | 36.8 | 36.8 |
| Travis Pourciau | - | 25 | 14.0 | 5.8 | 4.0 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 3.7 | 6.9 | 21 | 1.5 | 6.5 | 59.8 | 0.0 | 62.5 | -0.15 | 62.2 | 59.8 |
| Oli Smith | - | 24 | 10.2 | 5.3 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 3.4 | 3.6 | 4 | 0.7 | 27.1 | 55.6 | 38.5 | 77.3 | -1.07 | 70.0 | 67.9 |
| Yassin Hussein | - | 1 | 21.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 41 | 1.6 | 11.3 | 33.3 | 0 | 75.0 | 0.1 | 52.5 | 33.3 |
| Dre Nelson | - | 24 | 23.2 | 4.1 | 4.8 | 2.8 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 3.7 | 8.5 | 9 | 0.6 | 2.7 | 43.8 | 31.2 | 47.6 | -0.25 | 49.9 | 49.4 |
| Drew Redmond | - | 19 | 11.3 | 4.1 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 4 | 0.5 | 9.7 | 47.8 | 35.0 | 85.7 | -0.63 | 54.9 | 53.0 |
| Cedric Patterson | - | 7 | 7.3 | 3.7 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 2.6 | 1.9 | - | - | - | 38.9 | 25.0 | 83.3 | - | 55.8 | 44.4 |
| Max Topham | - | 2 | 26.5 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | -50 | -1.9 | -6.2 | 21.4 | 16.7 | 0.0 | 0.16 | 23.5 | 25.0 |
| Isajah Deburgo | - | 24 | 10.0 | 3.3 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 2.5 | 2.6 | -38 | -3.2 | -35.4 | 41.7 | 9.1 | 74.4 | -0.25 | 51.8 | 42.5 |
| Matthew Knafelz | - | 25 | 9.6 | 3.1 | 3.0 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 2.1 | 4.6 | 11 | 1.0 | 128.2 | 61.5 | 0 | 63.6 | -1.29 | 63.2 | 61.5 |
| Jack Klinger | - | 1 | 16.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 116 | 5.3 | 64.6 | 100.0 | 0 | 50.0 | -0.0 | 79.8 | 100.0 |
| Max Peeler | - | 1 | 22.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 12 | 0.4 | 5.6 | 20.0 | 20.0 | 0 | 0.13 | 30.0 | 30.0 |
| Jakari Thompson | - | 2 | 11.5 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 3.0 | -70 | -5.4 | -42.9 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 100.0 | -0.14 | 86.8 | 75.0 |
| Justin Perry | - | 2 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.5 | -4 | -0.3 | -4.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | -0.2 | 150.0 | 150.0 |
| Kael Rillie | - | 2 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | -32 | -1.5 | -40.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | -0.28 | 150.0 | 150.0 |
| Caden Kreger | - | 10 | 2.7 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.8 | -0.4 | - | - | - | 16.7 | 23.1 | 100.0 | - | 29.1 | 25.0 |
| Dylan Casado | - | 10 | 2.7 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.8 | -0.4 | - | - | - | 16.7 | 23.1 | 100.0 | - | 29.1 | 25.0 |
| Chris Kitchings | - | 6 | 2.7 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 0.3 | - | - | - | 28.6 | 66.7 | 0 | - | 42.9 | 42.9 |
| Adam Norman | - | 22 | 2.8 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 3 | 3.0 | 39.6 | 50.0 | 25.0 | 0.0 | -1.33 | 50.4 | 53.6 |
| Gavin Bullock | - | 24 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 36.4 | 20.0 | 50.0 | - | 43.1 | 40.9 |
| Zundra Jackson | - | 3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Blair Crumbie | - | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Jack Dillard | - | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -5 | -1.2 | -44.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.15 | 0 | 0 |
| Ayden Baker | - | 2 | 4.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | -23 | -1.9 | -22.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.28 | 0 | 0 |
| Ryan Djoussa | - | 2 | 7.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | -111 | -4.0 | -62.3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.12 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Sheldon Joseph | - | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 32 | 2.5 | 213.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.06 | 0 | 0 |
| West Kellett | - | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2 | 0.3 | 13.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.05 | 0 | 0 |
| Caleb Mills | - | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 10 | 3.3 | 99.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.21 | 0 | 0 |
| Drake Jones | - | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 32 | 1.5 | 4.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.71 | 0 | 0 |
| Carter Bobbitt | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Mike Baker | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -3 | -0.2 | -4.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.4 | 0 | 0 |
| Valerian Bruce | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2 | 0.2 | 20.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.23 | 0 | 0 |
| William Bush | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -69 | -5.3 | -131.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.57 | 0 | 0 |
| Davis Byrnes | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 41 | 3.7 | 12.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.63 | 0 | 0 |
| Corey Gaines | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -12 | -0.8 | -5.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.16 | 0 | 0 |
| KD Gordon | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Jalen Jennings | - | 1 | 18.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | -1.0 | 11 | 0.6 | 2.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Larry Mitchell | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -28 | -3.1 | -59.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.6 | 0 | 0 |
| Malik Shepherd | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -2 | -0.2 | -3.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.56 | 0 | 0 |
| Josh Smith | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 21 | 1.8 | 3876.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.8 | 0 | 0 |
| Rob Spaulding IV | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 0.2 | 10.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.23 | 0 | 0 |
| Tony Webb | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3 | 0.6 | 30.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.23 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG