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Lees-McRae

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Lees-McRae
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 943 (#330) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 899 (#442) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 929 (#508) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → -10.6 (#288) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → -10.4 (#463) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.513 (#327) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -23.1 More → 0.082 (#281) NetEff -23.1
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -0.5 More → 0.485 (#421) AdjNet -0.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -0.5 More → 0.486 (#423) AdjNet -0.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 81.2 | AdjD 81.7 More → 0.488 (#428) AdjO 81.2 | AdjD 81.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 71.3 | AdjD 78.3 More → 0.346 (#506) AdjO 71.3 | AdjD 78.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.301 (#467) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.308 (#471) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 95 | GP 23 More → 873 (#388) RD 95 | GP 23

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-15 vs UVA Wise L 82 - 97
2025-11-16 @ Carson-Newman L 79 - 98
2025-11-18 vs Greensboro W 101 - 63
2025-11-20 vs Bluefield Univ. W 88 - 78
2025-11-22 vs Chowan L 80 - 104
2025-11-25 @ North Greenville L 72 - 83
2025-12-02 vs Livingstone W 73 - 70
2025-12-06 vs King (TN) W 84 - 76
2025-12-13 vs Southern Wesleyan W 82 - 74
2025-12-16 @ Belmont Abbey L 66 - 76
2025-12-19 vs Barry L 68 - 91
2025-12-20 @ Fla. Southern L 70 - 116
2025-12-31 @ Lincoln Memorial L 69 - 80
2026-01-03 vs Francis Marion L 64 - 77
2026-01-07 vs Converse W 84 - 81
2026-01-10 @ Barton L 67 - 88
2026-01-14 @ King (TN) W 95 - 86
2026-01-17 vs Mount Olive L 85 - 87
2026-01-19 vs Erskine W 78 - 49
2026-01-28 @ Ferrum L 67 - 85
2026-01-31 @ Shorter W 80 - 68
2026-02-04 vs North Greenville L 69 - 73
2026-02-07 @ Young Harris L 62 - 91

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Carl Cleveland - 1 35.7 25.0 11.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 15.0 22.0 62 3.0 38.5 60.0 25.0 66.7 0.94 65.9 63.3
Justin Payne - 1 27.2 17.0 3.0 5.0 2.0 0.0 3.0 9.0 15.0 100 4.8 89.0 55.6 66.7 75.0 2.31 79.0 77.8
Dwight Canady, Jr. - 22 31.8 15.4 3.0 1.2 1.0 0.2 1.5 12.0 7.3 26 2.0 28.4 41.8 36.8 74.7 1.74 56.9 53.2
Cameron Bleshoy - 1 35.7 14.0 7.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 3.0 4.0 17.0 90 4.3 56.6 100.0 100.0 62.5 1.51 93.1 112.5
Isajah Deburgo - 22 23.3 11.1 3.1 2.4 1.1 0.2 1.6 8.6 7.8 -120 -5.7 -126.6 43.4 34.5 75.6 0.18 54.4 48.4
Cedric Patterson - 17 20.6 11.0 2.4 1.9 0.9 0.0 1.1 8.6 6.4 -23 -1.6 -47.5 37.4 28.6 83.1 -1.29 52.5 43.5
Chase McDuffie - 21 20.8 9.3 4.0 0.4 0.9 0.3 1.4 7.5 5.9 -75 -3.8 -124.2 51.3 16.7 65.9 1.28 55.4 53.2
Nigel Okwakol - 17 24.6 9.1 3.1 2.0 0.7 0.2 1.2 6.6 7.3 -117 -7.8 -85.0 50.4 36.7 81.1 -0.68 59.9 55.3
Yerald Mieses - 19 24.4 7.5 5.3 4.0 0.6 0.1 2.1 6.4 9.1 -63 -3.5 -28.1 40.2 35.9 67.4 0.25 50.3 45.9
Justin Bramao - 22 21.2 6.2 4.4 1.2 0.7 0.6 1.2 4.6 7.3 -61 -2.9 -40.7 55.9 40.0 45.7 -2.56 56.0 56.9
Kelvin Hunter - 1 28.4 6.0 3.0 5.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 9.0 5.0 52 2.5 73.0 33.3 0 0 0.45 33.3 33.3
Daniel Agu - 21 14.3 5.5 3.0 0.4 0.9 0.8 1.5 4.0 5.0 -51 -2.7 -167.7 50.0 20.0 65.2 0.26 55.2 50.6
Kenny Vera - 8 8.7 3.9 1.2 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.8 3.4 1.9 - - - 37.0 28.6 83.3 - 52.3 48.1
Sean Standifer - 8 6.7 3.2 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.9 1.9 2.4 - - - 40.0 25.0 85.7 - 61.4 46.7
Ira Wilson - 21 12.4 2.8 2.7 1.2 0.4 0.5 0.6 2.3 4.7 -14 -0.7 -11.6 47.9 0.0 92.9 0.64 54.5 47.9
Dylan Casado - 1 2.3 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 1.0 - - - 33.3 0.0 0 - 33.3 33.3
Kwynsie Pittsnogle - 1 2.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
Jack Carter - 8 8.1 1.9 1.6 0.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 1.4 2.4 -35 -3.9 -60.7 45.5 0 55.6 -0.67 50.1 45.5
Caden Kreger - 12 4.7 1.5 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.4 1.4 0.3 - - - 29.4 33.3 42.9 - 44.8 44.1
Gavin Bullock - 19 9.5 1.4 1.1 1.0 0.5 0.3 0.5 1.5 2.3 -25 -1.7 -458.0 35.7 14.3 50.0 -0.25 41.2 39.3
Brent Randleman - 10 7.9 0.8 0.7 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.2 1.8 0.2 -5 -1.7 -116.5 22.2 0.0 0 -0.64 22.2 22.2
Brayden Baker - 1 12.1 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 -1 -0.1 -1.6 0 0 0 0.01 0 0
Roderick Gardner - 1 4.3 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 -5 -0.7 -6.2 0 0 0 -1.17 0 0
Chris Kitchings - 1 2.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG