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Lees McRae

Season: 2022 2014 2013 2012 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005
Also known as: Lees McRae Bobcats
Program History

Model Outputs

2021-2022
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 955 (#543) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 938 (#562) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +115 elo More → 996 (#329) HCA +115 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → +6.2 (#440) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.4 More → -2.9 (#388) HCA +2.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 69.0 | AdjD 69.7 More → 0.485 (#291) AdjO 69.0 | AdjD 69.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.444 (#361) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.451 (#342) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 1 More → 932 (#326) RD 350 | GP 1

2022 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2021-11-27 @ East Tennessee State Buccaneers L 74 - 92

2022 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
J. Nichelson J. Nichelson - 1 27.0 16.0 5.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 22.0 - - - 0 0 0 -0.07 0 0
L. England L. England - 1 25.0 14.0 5.0 2.0 4.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 23.0 - - - 0 0 0 -0.09 0 0
Jaylin Stewart Jaylin Stewart G 1 21.0 12.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 16.0 - - - 0 0 0 -0.56 0 0
Sidney Dollar Sidney Dollar F 1 23.0 10.0 6.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 16.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Timon Jones Timon Jones G 1 25.0 8.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 10.0 51 1.6 2.0 0 0 0 0.47 0 0
Drew Gardner Drew Gardner F 1 29.0 6.0 4.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 11.0 - - - 0 0 0 -0.09 0 0
M. McConnell M. McConnell - 1 22.0 3.0 5.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 0.0 3.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
C. Harris C. Harris - 1 14.0 3.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 6.0 -42 -1.4 -1.9 0 0 0 0.37 0 0
D. Redmond D. Redmond - 1 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Gabe Bryant Gabe Bryant C 1 9.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Charlie Walker Charlie Walker G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - -54 -2.2 -5.4 - - - 0.84 - -
Follie Bogan Follie Bogan G 1 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Adam Norman Adam Norman G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
K. Holmes Jr. K. Holmes Jr. - 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -48 -1.5 -2.6 0 0 0 1.09 0 0
B. Sims Jr. B. Sims Jr. G 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 78 3.4 5.1 0 0 0 0.72 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG