Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 979 (#239) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1082 (#128) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 988 (#347) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +7.2 (#135) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +4.2 (#259) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.568 (#306) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.988 (#100) | NetEff +42.5 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.763 (#258) | AdjNet +10.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.768 (#260) | AdjNet +10.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.671 (#258) | AdjO 76.1 | AdjD 68.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.591 (#161) | AdjO 73.3 | AdjD 69.2 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.566 (#269) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.564 (#265) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 999 (#227) | RD 95 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-08 | vs | Dalton St. | W | 76 - 74 |
| 2025-11-17 | vs | Lindsey Wilson | W | 83 - 60 |
| 2025-11-21 | @ | Wingate | W | 83 - 81 |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Lenoir-Rhyne | L | 64 - 101 |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Claflin | W | 81 - 64 |
| 2025-12-04 | vs | Montevallo | W | 75 - 51 |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | AUM | W | 81 - 73 |
| 2025-12-11 | @ | West Ala. | L | 49 - 64 |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | UAH | L | 68 - 89 |
| 2025-12-18 | vs | West Florida | L | 61 - 65 |
| 2025-12-20 | vs | Valdosta St. | W | 87 - 83 |
| 2026-01-04 | @ | Trevecca Nazarene | L | 63 - 78 |
| 2026-01-08 | @ | Mississippi Col. | L | 87 - 97 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Delta St. | L | 67 - 73 |
| 2026-01-15 | vs | Union (TN) | W | 83 - 74 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Christian Brothers | W | 82 - 72 |
| 2026-01-22 | @ | AUM | W | 95 - 61 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Montevallo | L | 66 - 71 |
| 2026-01-29 | vs | UAH | L | 76 - 80 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | West Ala. | W | 77 - 51 |
| 2026-02-05 | @ | Valdosta St. | L | 73 - 79 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | West Florida | L | 64 - 68 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Gray | - | 22 | 28.3 | 14.0 | 3.6 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 10.8 | 7.8 | -64 | -2.8 | -24.0 | 50.0 | 40.4 | 71.7 | 1.18 | 59.4 | 57.6 |
| Tylon Chatman | - | 22 | 33.1 | 13.0 | 3.0 | 3.9 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 10.8 | 8.2 | 26 | 1.2 | 9.7 | 44.3 | 37.5 | 65.5 | 2.19 | 54.7 | 52.5 |
| Ben Ritger | - | 21 | 20.2 | 11.7 | 3.9 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 8.1 | 9.0 | 50 | 2.5 | 25.8 | 48.8 | 45.7 | 80.8 | 1.39 | 63.5 | 59.7 |
| Willie Walton | - | 22 | 30.6 | 10.8 | 6.7 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 8.2 | 10.5 | -42 | -1.8 | -14.0 | 45.6 | 37.3 | 73.3 | -0.36 | 59.6 | 56.9 |
| Dayveun Anderson | - | 22 | 32.3 | 9.7 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 2.2 | 7.9 | 9.0 | -45 | -2.1 | -16.4 | 39.7 | 28.8 | 91.9 | -0.95 | 53.2 | 45.1 |
| Tim Vaughn | - | 22 | 26.3 | 6.6 | 4.0 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 1.7 | 5.5 | 6.1 | 16 | 0.7 | 6.5 | 48.4 | 29.4 | 64.3 | -0.75 | 54.3 | 52.5 |
| Jamarcus Wilkins | - | 22 | 17.1 | 5.7 | 3.5 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 4.6 | 6.1 | 30 | 1.4 | 19.1 | 54.5 | 0 | 51.6 | 0.6 | 55.0 | 54.5 |
| Dylan Holt | - | 8 | 3.2 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 1.9 | -7 | -1.2 | -43.4 | 88.9 | 0 | 50.0 | -0.01 | 86.0 | 88.9 |
| Reese Frazier | - | 11 | 4.7 | 2.1 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2 | 0.2 | 8.4 | 58.8 | 37.5 | 0.0 | 0.86 | 64.3 | 67.6 |
| Hayden Moseley | - | 21 | 9.6 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 1.5 | 2.6 | 20 | 1.0 | 39.3 | 51.6 | 20.0 | 80.0 | -0.84 | 55.7 | 53.2 |
| Nic Hyche | - | 4 | 1.9 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.8 | -8 | -2.0 | -106.1 | 0 | 0 | 50.0 | -0.13 | 56.8 | 0 |
| Garrett Giles | - | 3 | 3.2 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | -8 | -4.0 | -106.1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.13 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Josiah Hubbard | - | 3 | 2.7 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | -7 | -3.5 | -92.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.13 | 0 | 0 |
| Brent Bowman | - | 2 | 4.7 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | -0.5 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG