🐻⬇️🏀

Lee

Also known as: Lee
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1052 (#131) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1079 (#132) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 988 (#347) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → +11.7 (#99) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → +4.2 (#259) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.568 (#306) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +42.5 More → 0.988 (#100) NetEff +42.5
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +10.1 More → 0.763 (#258) AdjNet +10.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +10.2 More → 0.768 (#260) AdjNet +10.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 76.1 | AdjD 68.3 More → 0.671 (#258) AdjO 76.1 | AdjD 68.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 73.3 | AdjD 69.2 More → 0.591 (#161) AdjO 73.3 | AdjD 69.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.566 (#269) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.564 (#265) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 95 | GP 22 More → 1002 (#228) RD 95 | GP 22

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-08 vs Dalton St. - Incomplete score
2025-11-17 vs Lindsey Wilson - Incomplete score
2025-11-21 @ Wingate - Incomplete score
2025-11-22 @ Lenoir-Rhyne - Incomplete score
2025-11-25 vs Claflin - Incomplete score
2025-12-04 vs Montevallo - Incomplete score
2025-12-06 vs AUM - Incomplete score
2025-12-11 @ West Ala. - Incomplete score
2025-12-13 @ UAH - Incomplete score
2025-12-18 vs West Florida - Incomplete score
2025-12-20 vs Valdosta St. - Incomplete score
2026-01-04 @ Trevecca Nazarene - Incomplete score
2026-01-08 @ Mississippi Col. - Incomplete score
2026-01-10 @ Delta St. - Incomplete score
2026-01-15 vs Union (TN) - Incomplete score
2026-01-17 vs Christian Brothers - Incomplete score
2026-01-22 @ AUM - Incomplete score
2026-01-24 @ Montevallo - Incomplete score
2026-01-29 vs UAH - Incomplete score
2026-01-31 vs West Ala. - Incomplete score
2026-02-05 @ Valdosta St. - Incomplete score
2026-02-07 @ West Florida - Incomplete score

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Zach Gray - 22 28.3 14.0 3.6 1.5 0.3 0.3 1.0 10.8 7.8 -64 -2.8 -24.0 50.0 40.4 71.7 -1.57 59.4 57.6
Tylon Chatman - 22 33.1 13.0 3.0 3.9 0.8 0.0 1.7 10.8 8.2 26 1.2 9.7 44.3 37.5 65.5 2.13 54.7 52.5
Ben Ritger - 21 20.2 11.7 3.9 1.0 0.7 0.7 0.9 8.1 9.0 50 2.5 25.8 48.8 45.7 80.8 2.74 63.5 59.7
Willie Walton - 22 30.6 10.8 6.7 1.0 1.0 0.5 1.3 8.2 10.5 -42 -1.8 -14.0 45.6 37.3 73.3 -0.92 59.6 56.9
Dayveun Anderson - 22 32.3 9.7 4.0 4.0 1.1 0.2 2.2 7.9 9.0 -45 -2.1 -16.4 39.7 28.8 91.9 -2.02 53.2 45.1
Tim Vaughn - 22 26.3 6.6 4.0 1.7 1.0 0.1 1.7 5.5 6.1 16 0.7 6.5 48.4 29.4 64.3 0.52 54.3 52.5
Jamarcus Wilkins - 22 17.1 5.7 3.5 1.3 0.8 0.8 1.5 4.6 6.1 30 1.4 19.1 54.5 0 51.6 1.87 55.0 54.5
Reese Frazier - 11 4.7 2.1 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.5 1.5 1.5 2 0.2 8.4 58.8 37.5 0.0 0.28 64.3 67.6
Dylan Holt - 8 3.2 2.1 0.6 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.1 1.9 -7 -1.2 -43.4 88.9 0 50.0 - 86.0 88.9
Hayden Moseley - 21 9.6 1.8 1.6 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.4 1.5 2.6 20 1.0 39.3 51.6 20.0 80.0 1.4 55.7 53.2
Nic Hyche - 4 1.9 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 -8 -2.0 -106.1 0 0 50.0 - 56.8 0
Garrett Giles - 3 3.2 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 -8 -4.0 -106.1 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Josiah Hubbard - 3 2.7 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.3 -7 -3.5 -92.8 0 0 0 0.22 0 0
Brent Bowman - 2 4.7 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.5 -0.5 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG