🐻⬇️🏀

LeTourneau

Also known as: LeTourneau
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 789 (#543) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 749 (#548) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +62 elo More → 785 (#701) HCA +62 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More → -12.9 (#338) HCA +2.4
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → -16.3 (#572) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.050 (#666) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -14.9 More → 0.102 (#486) NetEff -14.9
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -23.5 More → 0.062 (#581) AdjNet -23.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -23.8 More → 0.056 (#584) AdjNet -23.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 54.2 | AdjD 69.6 More → 0.198 (#586) AdjO 54.2 | AdjD 69.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 54.9 | AdjD 69.4 More → 0.211 (#661) AdjO 54.9 | AdjD 69.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.126 (#647) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.132 (#648) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 95 | GP 23 More → 745 (#519) RD 95 | GP 23

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-11 @ Howard Payne - Incomplete score
2025-11-15 vs Biblical Stud. (TX) - Incomplete score
2025-11-18 @ Houston Christian - Incomplete score
2025-11-21 @ Millsaps - Incomplete score
2025-11-22 @ Belhaven - Incomplete score
2025-11-25 @ Rhodes - Incomplete score
2025-12-02 vs Centenary (LA) - Incomplete score
2025-12-13 vs Biblical Stud. (TX) - Incomplete score
2025-12-22 @ Grambling - Incomplete score
2025-12-30 vs Manchester - Incomplete score
2026-01-11 @ McMurry - Incomplete score
2026-01-16 @ Dallas - Incomplete score
2026-01-17 @ Austin - Incomplete score
2026-01-23 vs Texas Lutheran - Incomplete score
2026-01-30 vs Dallas - Incomplete score
2026-01-31 vs Austin - Incomplete score
2026-02-03 vs Concordia (TX) - Incomplete score
2026-02-06 @ Ozarks (AR) - Incomplete score
2026-02-07 @ Hendrix - Incomplete score

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Mariana Espinosa - 17 31.8 11.3 5.4 3.0 2.1 0.2 4.4 10.5 7.1 -83 -3.3 -15.6 37.1 31.5 67.3 -1.76 47.5 43.5
Kylie Weeks - 17 32.6 10.9 4.0 2.6 3.6 0.2 2.5 9.8 9.1 -9 -0.4 -1.6 34.9 31.9 88.9 1.5 49.0 41.6
Robbi Martinez - 17 28.2 8.5 3.8 1.4 1.8 0.1 1.8 9.3 4.5 -43 -1.8 -8.0 35.4 27.7 73.7 -3.72 43.3 41.1
Makenzie Covey - 16 24.8 7.7 4.3 1.2 0.7 0.3 2.0 8.7 3.6 -20 -0.8 -5.5 41.7 0 63.6 -0.41 42.8 41.7
Brooklyn Iman - 4 19.6 7.0 5.2 1.5 2.0 0.0 2.5 6.0 7.2 - - - 29.2 0 58.3 0.73 40.5 29.2
Sallie Moser - 16 22.5 6.6 2.0 1.1 0.6 0.1 2.0 7.7 0.7 10 0.4 2.2 32.5 32.7 75.0 3.14 41.3 39.4
Kaylin Cervantes - 17 13.6 5.9 3.0 1.1 1.4 0.1 1.4 5.4 4.6 24 1.2 9.2 43.5 0.0 64.5 2.71 47.3 43.5
Madeline Underwood - 6 12.7 4.8 5.2 0.2 1.0 0.0 0.8 2.7 7.7 - - - 62.5 0 64.3 0.91 65.4 62.5
Fayth Fry - 17 15.4 4.6 2.9 0.4 0.4 0.0 1.1 4.5 2.8 -56 -2.7 -18.9 38.2 20.0 78.3 -2.82 45.3 39.5
Breeanna Hoffman - 16 11.7 1.4 1.4 0.6 1.0 0.0 1.6 2.6 0.3 36 1.9 23.9 19.5 0.0 50.0 1.66 23.8 19.5
Taylor Brown - 15 7.5 1.1 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.6 2.0 -0.3 -56 -9.3 -63.6 26.7 0.0 50.0 -2.48 27.5 26.7
Norah White - 13 2.9 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.4 0.8 -0.2 -25 -1.6 -72.8 20.0 0.0 50.0 -6.42 27.7 20.0
Bella Brown - 4 2.7 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.0 3 0.8 55.4 0.0 0.0 100.0 1.29 34.7 0.0
Jasmine Culpepper - 7 3.4 0.4 0.6 0.1 0.4 0.0 0.1 1.6 -0.1 -11 -1.4 -41.4 0.0 0.0 50.0 - 11.0 0.0
Kathryn Laurence - 14 2.9 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.1 1 0.1 2.9 16.7 20.0 0 -1.43 25.0 25.0
Aleia Huff - 6 5.0 0.0 1.3 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.7 -6 -1.0 -14.0 0.0 0 0 -2.98 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG