Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1016 (#145) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1012 (#167) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +0.4 (#204) | HCA +2.8 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.722 (#280) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.870 (#78) | NetEff +12.6 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.492 (#411) | AdjNet -0.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.493 (#414) | AdjNet -0.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.495 (#411) | AdjO 64.5 | AdjD 64.7 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-08 | @ | Delta St. | L | 63 - 68 |
| 2024-11-09 | @ | Mississippi Col. | W | 63 - 60 |
| 2024-11-15 | vs | Ark. Baptist | W | 62 - 40 |
| 2024-11-23 | vs | Talladega | W | 61 - 45 |
| 2024-11-30 | vs | Benedict | W | 70 - 61 |
| 2024-12-02 | vs | Allen | W | 79 - 70 |
| 2024-12-07 | vs | Blue Mountain (MS) | W | 65 - 55 |
| 2024-12-08 | @ | Trevecca Nazarene | L | 41 - 45 |
| 2024-12-14 | @ | Edward Waters | L | 53 - 58 |
| 2024-12-16 | @ | Savannah St. | L | 74 - 80 |
| 2024-12-19 | vs | Clark Atlanta | W | 77 - 67 |
| 2025-01-02 | @ | Albany St. (GA) | W | 58 - 48 |
| 2025-01-04 | @ | Fort Valley St. | L | 35 - 63 |
| 2025-01-11 | @ | Central St. (OH) | W | 61 - 58 |
| 2025-01-14 | @ | Kentucky St. | W | 72 - 64 |
| 2025-01-18 | vs | LeMoyne-Owen | W | 64 - 56 |
| 2025-01-25 | vs | Spring Hill | W | 63 - 46 |
| 2025-01-27 | vs | Tuskegee | L | 48 - 63 |
| 2025-02-01 | @ | Miles | L | 63 - 71 |
| 2025-02-02 | @ | Talladega | W | 75 - 54 |
| 2025-02-08 | @ | Spring Hill | W | 72 - 55 |
| 2025-02-10 | @ | Tuskegee | L | 51 - 59 |
| 2025-02-15 | @ | LeMoyne-Owen | W | 65 - 55 |
| 2025-02-22 | vs | Miles | L | 49 - 55 |
| 2025-02-24 | vs | Kentucky St. | W | 69 - 49 |
| 2025-02-26 | vs | Central St. (OH) | W | 54 - 50 |
| 2025-03-01 | vs | Fort Valley St. | W | 42 - 28 |
| 2025-03-06 | vs | LeMoyne-Owen | L | 61 - 63 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chantoryia Rivers | - | 28 | 26.1 | 11.0 | 8.0 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 1.7 | 9.6 | 10.2 | 29 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 43.3 | 27.8 | 61.8 | 0.21 | 48.7 | 45.2 |
| Dyani Bernstine | - | 27 | 26.3 | 10.7 | 7.2 | 2.8 | 2.7 | 0.9 | 3.6 | 8.9 | 11.7 | 58 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 37.2 | 14.3 | 66.5 | 0.82 | 46.3 | 37.4 |
| Taylor Lattimore | - | 28 | 22.4 | 7.2 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 0.2 | 2.1 | 7.7 | 3.9 | 32 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 26.9 | 28.4 | 67.1 | 0.25 | 40.3 | 34.5 |
| Breonna Carey | - | 28 | 17.6 | 6.8 | 3.3 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 2.5 | 7.1 | 3.2 | 42 | 1.5 | 2.7 | 36.2 | 9.4 | 62.7 | 0.09 | 41.4 | 36.9 |
| Europe Brown | - | 28 | 18.8 | 6.4 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 2.4 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 42 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 33.0 | 25.9 | 58.1 | -0.1 | 40.1 | 36.5 |
| Erica Richardson | - | 27 | 15.0 | 4.6 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 5.6 | -0.1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 31.8 | 23.2 | 62.5 | 0.13 | 38.4 | 36.1 |
| Cailynn Knox | - | 28 | 19.0 | 4.3 | 5.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 5.1 | 5.9 | 58 | 2.1 | 3.5 | 34.0 | 0.0 | 60.5 | 0.54 | 37.6 | 34.0 |
| Jeurnei Wright | - | 28 | 8.9 | 2.4 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 2.4 | 0.8 | -57 | -1.6 | -4.6 | 27.9 | 37.5 | 71.9 | -0.08 | 40.8 | 32.4 |
| Jahniya Brown | - | 28 | 8.4 | 2.1 | 2.4 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 2.2 | 2.2 | -19 | -0.5 | -1.4 | 24.2 | 33.3 | 84.6 | 0.1 | 40.2 | 29.8 |
| Santia Robinson | - | 27 | 10.4 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 3.0 | -0.2 | 9 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 24.4 | 13.3 | 63.2 | -0.25 | 31.0 | 26.8 |
| Kae'la Mitchell | - | 15 | 9.5 | 2.1 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 1.7 | 3.1 | -0.3 | 10 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 23.9 | 23.1 | 75.0 | -0.01 | 31.3 | 27.2 |
| Morgan Sullivan | - | 26 | 13.0 | 1.7 | 2.9 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 2.2 | 2.3 | -9 | -0.4 | -1.0 | 28.6 | 0.0 | 45.8 | 0.0 | 32.3 | 28.6 |
| Erin Isabell | - | 22 | 2.8 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 0.2 | -5 | -0.3 | -1.5 | 42.1 | 0 | 50.0 | -0.09 | 43.4 | 42.1 |
| Angela Middleton | - | 13 | 3.8 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 14 | 1.6 | 5.9 | 33.3 | 0 | 33.3 | 0.26 | 34.4 | 33.3 |
| Payton Anderson | - | 27 | 3.6 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 26.7 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 0.01 | 29.8 | 26.7 |
| Trinity Henderson | - | 21 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.5 | -0.1 | -54 | -3.0 | -13.1 | 27.3 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -0.81 | 29.5 | 27.3 |
| Maureen Okoli | - | 8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -8 | -1.0 | -4.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.15 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG