Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1163 (#50) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1150 (#62) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1088 (#82) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +3.0 (#142) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +8.8 (#230) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.722 (#280) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.866 (#153) | NetEff +12.6 |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.373 (#310) | NetEff -3.8 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.492 (#411) | AdjNet -0.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.493 (#414) | AdjNet -0.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.495 (#411) | AdjO 64.5 | AdjD 64.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.651 (#120) | AdjO 67.7 | AdjD 60.8 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.699 (#173) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.701 (#171) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1174 (#59) | RD 120 | GP 17 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Rust | W | 68 - 65 |
| 2025-11-20 | vs | Edward Waters | W | 73 - 71 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Savannah St. | W | 85 - 58 |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | Spring Hill | W | 64 - 49 |
| 2025-11-29 | vs | Tuskegee | W | 65 - 52 |
| 2025-12-04 | @ | Allen | L | 74 - 75 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Benedict | W | 73 - 59 |
| 2025-12-17 | @ | Fort Valley St. | W | 72 - 49 |
| 2026-01-03 | vs | Spring Hill | W | 64 - 59 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Tuskegee | W | 67 - 52 |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | Kentucky St. | W | 80 - 69 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | LeMoyne-Owen | W | 63 - 60 |
| 2026-01-19 | vs | Central St. (OH) | W | 69 - 28 |
| 2026-01-22 | @ | Edward Waters | L | 46 - 69 |
| 2026-01-30 | vs | Allen | L | 0 - 0 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Benedict | L | 0 - 0 |
| 2026-02-02 | @ | Clark Atlanta | W | 77 - 69 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dyani Bernstine | - | 15 | 27.3 | 13.3 | 6.3 | 2.9 | 3.8 | 0.5 | 3.4 | 9.6 | 13.8 | - | - | - | 42.4 | 7.7 | 69.1 | - | 51.7 | 42.7 |
| Europe Brown | - | 15 | 24.8 | 10.3 | 2.5 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 0.1 | 2.9 | 9.1 | 4.1 | 84 | 3.8 | 18.5 | 43.8 | 26.3 | 54.3 | 1.44 | 49.3 | 47.4 |
| Lauren Lain | - | 15 | 27.5 | 9.7 | 5.7 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 1.7 | 10.0 | 7.5 | - | - | - | 42.0 | 0.0 | 51.4 | - | 43.6 | 42.0 |
| Alexis Rowe | - | 15 | 23.9 | 7.8 | 4.6 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 0.2 | 1.3 | 6.4 | 7.9 | - | - | - | 47.9 | 0.0 | 62.5 | - | 51.5 | 47.9 |
| Kamil Washum | - | 14 | 21.9 | 6.9 | 3.0 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 0.0 | 2.9 | 6.5 | 3.6 | - | - | - | 37.4 | 33.3 | 81.8 | - | 48.2 | 43.4 |
| Kameria Piggee | - | 15 | 16.5 | 4.9 | 3.9 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 4.2 | 4.9 | - | - | - | 46.0 | 0 | 46.9 | - | 47.4 | 46.0 |
| Madison Thomas | - | 15 | 15.9 | 4.7 | 2.4 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 1.6 | 5.5 | 2.0 | -73 | -4.1 | -40.3 | 35.4 | 7.7 | 36.7 | -0.71 | 36.8 | 36.0 |
| Ceriah Evans | - | 15 | 13.3 | 4.6 | 3.3 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 4.9 | 3.1 | - | - | - | 38.4 | 50.0 | 70.6 | - | 42.9 | 39.0 |
| Jeurnei Wright | - | 13 | 9.0 | 2.8 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 3.4 | 0.5 | 85 | 4.2 | 98.9 | 31.8 | 20.0 | 46.2 | 1.01 | 37.2 | 35.2 |
| Jahniya Brown | - | 15 | 11.9 | 2.1 | 2.7 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.7 | 2.8 | 67 | 3.4 | 21.5 | 27.5 | 33.3 | 38.5 | -0.44 | 35.0 | 33.8 |
| Kylah Bell | - | 10 | 7.0 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 1.7 | 0.8 | - | - | - | 29.4 | 40.0 | 40.0 | - | 37.4 | 35.3 |
| Maureen Okoli | - | 12 | 5.0 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 1.6 | 0.2 | - | - | - | 42.1 | 20.0 | 0 | - | 44.7 | 44.7 |
| Erin Isabell | - | 6 | 3.5 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.8 | -0.2 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 50.0 | 0.0 | - | 42.5 | 50.0 |
| Queen Benjamin | - | 10 | 2.4 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 0.8 | - | - | - | 22.2 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 27.9 | 22.2 |
| Ja'Nya Foster | - | 4 | 2.9 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.2 | -0.2 | 8 | 0.3 | 2.0 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1.07 | 20.0 | 20.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG