Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1006 (#177) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 911 (#425) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 928 (#510) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +0.1 (#232) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +0.7 (#316) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.406 (#388) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.999 (#32) | NetEff +56.3 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.382 (#472) | AdjNet -4.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.382 (#474) | AdjNet -4.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.434 (#463) | AdjO 76.2 | AdjD 79.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.518 (#265) | AdjO 79.9 | AdjD 79.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.431 (#374) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.440 (#362) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 884 (#382) | RD 108 | GP 19 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | @ | North Ala. | L | 84 - 90 |
| 2025-11-20 | vs | Edward Waters | L | 88 - 91 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Savannah St. | W | 94 - 75 |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Trevecca Nazarene | L | 72 - 89 |
| 2025-12-04 | @ | Allen | W | 84 - 83 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Benedict | L | 69 - 75 |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | Morehouse | W | 69 - 62 |
| 2025-12-17 | @ | Fort Valley St. | L | 81 - 83 |
| 2025-12-19 | @ | Clayton St. | L | 81 - 90 |
| 2026-01-03 | vs | Spring Hill | W | 105 - 90 |
| 2026-01-05 | vs | Albany St. (GA) | W | 92 - 72 |
| 2026-01-08 | @ | Miles | L | 71 - 82 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Tuskegee | L | 70 - 73 |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | Kentucky St. | L | 77 - 80 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | LeMoyne-Owen | L | 64 - 69 |
| 2026-01-19 | vs | Central St. (OH) | W | 83 - 80 |
| 2026-01-22 | @ | Edward Waters | L | 70 - 76 |
| 2026-01-30 | vs | Allen | L | 0 - 0 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Benedict | L | 0 - 0 |
| 2026-02-02 | @ | Clark Atlanta | L | 66 - 78 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Morehouse | W | 94 - 87 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elijah Greer Dawson | - | 18 | 35.1 | 20.1 | 4.4 | 4.2 | 2.3 | 0.3 | 4.2 | 14.5 | 12.6 | - | - | - | 42.9 | 23.7 | 84.9 | - | 55.2 | 44.6 |
| Elijah Lewis | - | 16 | 31.8 | 18.0 | 2.2 | 1.6 | 2.1 | 0.1 | 1.6 | 13.9 | 8.4 | - | - | - | 43.9 | 40.2 | 85.1 | - | 57.0 | 51.8 |
| Jarrell Love | - | 18 | 28.4 | 12.6 | 8.3 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 2.2 | 7.8 | 15.2 | - | - | - | 50.7 | 31.2 | 78.2 | - | 61.3 | 52.5 |
| Jaiden Lee | - | 18 | 25.2 | 8.6 | 4.9 | 2.4 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 2.1 | 6.4 | 8.7 | -28 | -1.8 | -24.3 | 51.7 | 17.6 | 71.1 | 1.41 | 57.1 | 53.0 |
| Chase Murray | - | 18 | 22.1 | 6.9 | 3.7 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 5.5 | 5.8 | 50 | 2.5 | 13.3 | 42.4 | 38.5 | 55.6 | 1.25 | 55.9 | 55.1 |
| Xavier Bell | - | 19 | 20.4 | 6.7 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 1.6 | 6.8 | 2.6 | - | - | - | 38.5 | 28.8 | 54.5 | - | 45.5 | 44.2 |
| Naby Ngom | - | 9 | 17.1 | 4.6 | 2.6 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 3.0 | 5.3 | - | - | - | 51.9 | 0.0 | 65.0 | - | 57.3 | 51.9 |
| Jerome Beya | - | 19 | 16.2 | 4.4 | 2.5 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 2.9 | 4.6 | - | - | - | 62.5 | 0.0 | 56.5 | - | 62.8 | 62.5 |
| Paul Pullins | - | 18 | 19.5 | 4.0 | 3.9 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 3.2 | 5.6 | - | - | - | 52.6 | 25.0 | 55.0 | - | 54.7 | 53.5 |
| Taber Brown | - | 12 | 6.0 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 1.6 | 0.2 | 7 | 0.3 | 5.6 | 26.3 | 9.1 | 80.0 | 1.91 | 35.4 | 28.9 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG