Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 932 (#429) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 924 (#398) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 928 (#510) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +0.2 (#265) | HCA +2.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +0.7 (#316) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.406 (#388) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.999 (#32) | NetEff +56.3 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.382 (#472) | AdjNet -4.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.382 (#474) | AdjNet -4.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.434 (#463) | AdjO 76.2 | AdjD 79.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.518 (#265) | AdjO 79.9 | AdjD 79.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.432 (#374) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.441 (#362) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 889 (#383) | RD 107 | GP 19 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | @ | North Ala. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-20 | vs | Edward Waters | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Savannah St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Trevecca Nazarene | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-04 | @ | Allen | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Benedict | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | Morehouse | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-17 | @ | Fort Valley St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-19 | @ | Clayton St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-03 | vs | Spring Hill | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-05 | vs | Albany St. (GA) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-08 | @ | Miles | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Tuskegee | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | Kentucky St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | LeMoyne-Owen | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-19 | vs | Central St. (OH) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-22 | @ | Edward Waters | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-30 | vs | Allen | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Benedict | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-02 | @ | Clark Atlanta | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Morehouse | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elijah Greer Dawson | - | 17 | 35.9 | 20.6 | 4.5 | 4.4 | 2.4 | 0.2 | 4.2 | 15.1 | 12.8 | - | - | - | 42.6 | 24.3 | 84.4 | -1.11 | 54.7 | 44.3 |
| Elijah Lewis | - | 15 | 31.7 | 17.1 | 2.1 | 1.6 | 2.2 | 0.1 | 1.7 | 13.5 | 7.9 | - | - | - | 43.3 | 39.0 | 83.6 | 1.31 | 55.9 | 50.7 |
| Jarrell Love | - | 17 | 28.9 | 12.6 | 8.6 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 2.2 | 7.6 | 15.8 | - | - | - | 52.3 | 30.8 | 77.3 | 0.47 | 62.3 | 53.8 |
| Jaiden Lee | - | 17 | 24.6 | 9.0 | 4.8 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 2.1 | 6.6 | 8.6 | -28 | -1.8 | -24.3 | 52.2 | 18.8 | 71.1 | -0.72 | 57.6 | 53.5 |
| Xavier Bell | - | 18 | 20.0 | 6.5 | 2.4 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 6.8 | 2.5 | - | - | - | 37.7 | 27.1 | 54.5 | 1.24 | 44.4 | 43.0 |
| Chase Murray | - | 17 | 22.3 | 6.5 | 3.7 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 5.5 | 5.4 | 50 | 2.5 | 13.3 | 39.8 | 35.0 | 55.6 | 0.24 | 52.4 | 51.1 |
| Naby Ngom | - | 8 | 18.7 | 5.1 | 2.8 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 3.4 | 5.8 | - | - | - | 51.9 | 0.0 | 65.0 | -1.26 | 57.3 | 51.9 |
| Jerome Beya | - | 18 | 15.5 | 4.3 | 2.6 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 2.9 | 4.6 | - | - | - | 62.3 | 0.0 | 57.1 | 0.98 | 62.7 | 62.3 |
| Paul Pullins | - | 17 | 20.1 | 4.2 | 4.1 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 3.4 | 5.8 | - | - | - | 52.6 | 25.0 | 55.0 | -2.67 | 54.7 | 53.5 |
| Taber Brown | - | 11 | 6.4 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 1.7 | 0.2 | 7 | 0.3 | 5.6 | 26.3 | 9.1 | 80.0 | 0.55 | 35.4 | 28.9 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG