🐻⬇️🏀

Lander

Also known as: Lander
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1031 (#182) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 949 (#352) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 970 (#525) HCA +75 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → -2.8 (#203) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → -3.0 (#414) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.538 (#343) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -2.5 More → 0.411 (#298) NetEff -2.5
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +3.9 More → 0.609 (#352) AdjNet +3.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +3.9 More → 0.613 (#355) AdjNet +3.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 65.3 | AdjD 63.1 More → 0.550 (#356) AdjO 65.3 | AdjD 63.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 61.6 | AdjD 64.1 More → 0.442 (#480) AdjO 61.6 | AdjD 64.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.422 (#429) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.423 (#426) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 105 | GP 20 More → 954 (#291) RD 105 | GP 20

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-15 @ Carson-Newman L 59 - 72
2025-11-16 @ Lenoir-Rhyne L 61 - 79
2025-11-18 @ Newberry L 59 - 60
2025-11-26 vs Erskine W 72 - 57
2025-11-29 @ Virginia St. L 54 - 67
2025-11-30 @ Lincoln (PA) W 70 - 51
2025-12-03 @ Columbus St. L 61 - 77
2025-12-06 vs USC Beaufort L 60 - 62
2025-12-13 @ North Georgia L 61 - 72
2026-01-03 vs USC Aiken W 58 - 48
2026-01-10 vs Augusta W 66 - 65
2026-01-14 @ Flagler W 68 - 57
2026-01-17 vs Middle Georgia W 69 - 63
2026-01-21 @ Georgia College L 49 - 56
2026-01-23 vs Columbus St. L 56 - 70
2026-01-28 @ Clayton St. W 89 - 87
2026-02-02 @ USC Beaufort L 0 - 0
2026-02-07 vs North Georgia L 57 - 79

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Quadaija Langley - 17 30.9 16.1 3.1 1.5 2.3 0.1 3.2 14.6 5.2 30 1.5 6.1 38.6 37.8 83.6 -0.94 49.7 44.8
Trinity Thomas - 16 27.1 10.8 4.8 1.8 1.5 0.5 2.8 11.9 4.6 -37 -2.1 -9.0 33.7 38.0 70.8 -1.73 42.9 40.8
Lauren Crosland - 16 23.8 10.1 3.6 1.1 1.2 0.1 2.5 9.7 3.9 -5 -0.3 -1.3 36.8 32.7 70.5 -0.61 46.5 42.3
Alindria Dudley - 17 25.6 8.4 3.6 1.7 2.7 0.2 2.9 8.0 5.8 -17 -0.8 -5.8 41.2 32.1 66.7 1.31 47.5 44.5
Kennedy Johnson-Corley - 7 14.6 4.3 3.7 0.7 1.4 0.3 1.6 5.4 3.4 7 1.0 4.1 31.6 33.3 42.9 1.38 36.5 35.5
Serenity Echols - 17 21.1 3.9 4.2 0.5 1.1 0.0 1.3 4.9 3.5 -57 -3.0 -16.1 27.4 27.8 61.1 -1.25 36.4 33.3
Kayla Tilus - 17 14.7 3.5 2.6 0.5 0.9 0.2 1.3 4.5 2.1 -45 -2.4 -19.5 23.7 13.2 73.1 0.22 34.3 27.0
Lauryn Hunt - 16 21.0 3.5 5.1 0.6 1.0 0.3 2.4 3.8 4.4 14 0.7 3.6 41.7 0.0 66.7 0.66 43.8 41.7
Jazz Frierson - 17 10.4 2.1 1.9 0.5 0.6 0.1 1.5 2.9 0.8 -17 -0.8 -9.5 24.5 0 60.0 -1.39 31.1 24.5
Ansley Gartrell - 16 11.1 1.9 1.9 0.6 1.1 0.1 0.8 1.6 3.1 -21 -1.2 -9.8 42.3 0 53.3 -0.91 46.0 42.3
Kennedy Armistead - 13 5.0 1.2 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.8 0.8 0.5 -44 -2.8 -463.2 54.5 33.3 42.9 -0.31 56.8 59.1
Sabri Mitchell - 11 3.4 0.8 0.5 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 -1 -0.1 -1.1 42.9 0 42.9 2.13 44.6 42.9
Madison McCain - 15 5.9 0.7 1.3 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.3 1.1 1.1 -37 -2.2 -113.4 25.0 0 100.0 0.15 29.6 25.0
Camillea Gore - 11 3.3 0.4 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.9 16 1.2 33.1 28.6 0.0 0 1.66 28.6 28.6
Seriya Williams - 6 1.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 -0.3 -19 -3.2 -308.1 0.0 0 0 -1.15 0.0 0.0
Ainsley Anderson - 4 1.4 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 1 0.2 13.3 0.0 0 0 1.59 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG