Lancaster Bible
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1076 (#96) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1034 (#198) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -24.4 (#373) | HCA +2.4 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.222 (#569) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.439 (#254) | NetEff -1.7 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.018 (#646) | AdjNet -34.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.014 (#649) | AdjNet -36.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.124 (#641) | AdjO 51.8 | AdjD 73.3 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-09 | vs | Delaware Valley | L | 61 - 69 |
| 2024-11-15 | vs | Lehman | W | 66 - 53 |
| 2024-11-16 | @ | Trinity Washington | W | 69 - 38 |
| 2024-11-19 | vs | Haverford | W | 60 - 50 |
| 2024-11-22 | @ | Franklin & Marshall | L | 51 - 64 |
| 2024-11-23 | @ | Delaware Valley | L | 61 - 75 |
| 2024-11-26 | @ | Penn College | L | 55 - 62 |
| 2024-11-30 | @ | Penn St. Harrisburg | L | 60 - 66 |
| 2024-12-04 | vs | Penn St. Brandywine | W | 62 - 54 |
| 2024-12-07 | vs | Rosemont | W | 79 - 46 |
| 2024-12-14 | vs | East. Mennonite | L | 53 - 62 |
| 2024-12-30 | @ | Centenary (NJ) | L | 54 - 65 |
| 2025-01-08 | @ | Cairn | W | 64 - 43 |
| 2025-01-11 | vs | Bryn Athyn | L | 51 - 62 |
| 2025-01-14 | vs | Notre Dame (MD) | L | 65 - 74 |
| 2025-01-16 | vs | Penn St. Harrisburg | W | 48 - 46 |
| 2025-01-18 | @ | St. Mary's (MD) | L | 57 - 65 |
| 2025-01-22 | vs | Penn College | W | 63 - 58 |
| 2025-01-25 | @ | Rosemont | W | 73 - 46 |
| 2025-01-28 | @ | Penn St. Brandywine | L | 49 - 52 |
| 2025-02-05 | vs | Cairn | W | 63 - 42 |
| 2025-02-08 | @ | Bryn Athyn | L | 48 - 77 |
| 2025-02-13 | @ | Notre Dame (MD) | L | 63 - 66 |
| 2025-02-15 | vs | St. Mary's (MD) | L | 42 - 65 |
| 2025-02-19 | @ | Penn St. Harrisburg | L | 51 - 60 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serene Calderon | - | 25 | 34.4 | 12.3 | 7.5 | 4.3 | 2.7 | 0.4 | 5.2 | 11.4 | 10.6 | -91 | -3.8 | -3.5 | 38.5 | 23.1 | 72.5 | -0.65 | 46.1 | 40.0 |
| Jenna Dombach | - | 25 | 35.4 | 12.2 | 5.2 | 3.0 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 3.3 | 10.9 | 7.6 | -59 | -2.4 | -2.2 | 40.3 | 34.2 | 76.7 | -0.25 | 51.1 | 47.6 |
| Rachel Nolt | - | 25 | 34.5 | 11.5 | 9.0 | 2.1 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 3.2 | 14.2 | 7.2 | -89 | -2.5 | -2.4 | 34.4 | 21.4 | 64.4 | -0.44 | 38.4 | 36.5 |
| Natalie Wenger | - | 22 | 27.5 | 7.0 | 4.3 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 6.9 | 3.9 | -35 | -1.6 | -1.8 | 36.2 | 0 | 57.0 | -0.13 | 41.5 | 36.2 |
| Bella Eufemia | - | 2 | 35.5 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 8.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 37.5 | 14.3 | 33.3 | - | 40.4 | 40.6 |
| Isabella Eufemia | - | 23 | 30.3 | 6.0 | 4.6 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 6.1 | 6.3 | -52 | -1.6 | -1.7 | 34.0 | 18.2 | 62.0 | -0.14 | 42.0 | 37.6 |
| Keilani Araniva | - | 19 | 22.1 | 5.4 | 2.9 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 6.0 | 2.7 | - | - | - | 41.2 | 0 | 75.0 | - | 43.2 | 41.2 |
| Natane White | - | 20 | 13.3 | 5.0 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 3.8 | 1.8 | -78 | -4.9 | -7.5 | 41.3 | 45.5 | 65.0 | -1.07 | 59.7 | 58.0 |
| Faith Hammond | - | 4 | 15.2 | 2.8 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 1.5 | - | - | - | 18.8 | 33.3 | 100.0 | -0.07 | 31.0 | 21.9 |
| Katie Lewis | - | 1 | 9.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | -44 | -2.8 | -8.9 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.83 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Katelyn Lewis | - | 18 | 5.7 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 2.3 | 0.4 | -44 | -2.8 | -8.9 | 31.0 | 25.0 | 0 | -0.83 | 40.5 | 40.5 |
| Chloe Belford | - | 5 | 9.8 | 1.6 | 2.2 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 2.0 | 1.6 | -9 | -1.8 | -4.6 | 40.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.02 | 36.8 | 40.0 |
| Eden Belford | - | 4 | 5.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.8 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 36.2 | 0.0 |
| Faith Rex | - | 4 | 3.8 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.0 | -0.5 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Abby Burns | - | 15 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | -0.2 | -20 | -0.6 | -1.2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.71 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Maggie Clouser | - | 7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Raven Hunter | - | 7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 48 | 5.3 | 5.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | 0 | 0 |
| Peyton Henshaw | - | 6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG