Lake Erie
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 936 (#289) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 888 (#308) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -8.5 (#274) | HCA +2.8 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.024 (#601) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.170 (#318) | NetEff -12.1 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.069 (#611) | AdjNet -22.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.067 (#612) | AdjNet -22.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.226 (#605) | AdjO 57.5 | AdjD 71.0 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-08 | @ | Youngstown St. | L | 39 - 95 |
| 2024-11-19 | vs | Clarion | L | 73 - 90 |
| 2024-11-21 | vs | D'Youville | L | 60 - 61 |
| 2024-11-23 | @ | Roberts Wesleyan | W | 81 - 79 |
| 2024-12-05 | @ | Thomas More | L | 47 - 67 |
| 2024-12-14 | vs | Malone | L | 56 - 72 |
| 2024-12-16 | vs | Ashland | L | 40 - 70 |
| 2024-12-19 | vs | Salem (WV) | W | 79 - 63 |
| 2025-01-02 | @ | Northwood | L | 74 - 98 |
| 2025-01-04 | @ | Hillsdale | L | 46 - 75 |
| 2025-01-09 | vs | Ky. Wesleyan | L | 55 - 85 |
| 2025-01-11 | @ | Slippery Rock | L | 57 - 60 |
| 2025-01-16 | vs | Thomas More | L | 48 - 56 |
| 2025-01-18 | vs | Ohio Dominican | L | 62 - 80 |
| 2025-01-23 | vs | Ursuline | L | 54 - 90 |
| 2025-01-25 | @ | Ashland | L | 43 - 65 |
| 2025-01-30 | @ | Malone | L | 39 - 82 |
| 2025-02-04 | @ | Ohio Dominican | L | 52 - 69 |
| 2025-02-06 | vs | Cedarville | L | 52 - 58 |
| 2025-02-13 | @ | Cedarville | L | 61 - 81 |
| 2025-02-15 | @ | Ursuline | L | 55 - 59 |
| 2025-02-20 | @ | Walsh | L | 64 - 86 |
| 2025-02-22 | vs | Tiffin | W | 72 - 59 |
| 2025-02-24 | @ | Ky. Wesleyan | L | 57 - 88 |
| 2025-02-27 | vs | Northwood | L | 58 - 72 |
| 2025-03-01 | vs | Findlay | L | 64 - 83 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lilee Carlson | - | 26 | 29.8 | 11.7 | 3.5 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 9.5 | 7.5 | -42 | -1.7 | -1.8 | 45.5 | 21.2 | 63.6 | -0.41 | 51.8 | 47.8 |
| Gracie Lyon | - | 20 | 23.9 | 11.7 | 5.0 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 2.3 | 11.4 | 5.2 | 63 | 2.1 | 2.7 | 40.4 | 29.6 | 63.6 | 0.4 | 45.5 | 42.1 |
| Kennadi Harris | - | 26 | 23.7 | 7.9 | 3.2 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 2.2 | 9.8 | 0.9 | -26 | -1.0 | -1.3 | 25.8 | 19.0 | 82.3 | -0.05 | 36.2 | 30.1 |
| Anna Ibos | - | 26 | 24.7 | 7.2 | 3.3 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 1.5 | 6.7 | 4.3 | -53 | -2.1 | -2.6 | 35.3 | 25.0 | 79.7 | -0.23 | 46.7 | 40.2 |
| Nina Shaffer | - | 26 | 27.3 | 6.0 | 1.8 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 0.1 | 2.2 | 5.7 | 3.7 | -42 | -1.4 | -1.5 | 38.5 | 29.0 | 65.6 | -0.78 | 47.8 | 45.3 |
| Riley Montagner | - | 25 | 9.8 | 3.9 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 3.7 | 1.5 | -47 | -1.4 | -4.5 | 34.8 | 34.5 | 82.4 | -0.57 | 48.8 | 45.1 |
| Kylie Maxwell | - | 26 | 19.2 | 3.7 | 4.2 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 2.2 | 3.7 | 5.0 | -31 | -0.8 | -1.3 | 38.5 | 20.0 | 55.9 | -0.61 | 43.3 | 40.1 |
| Megan Mares | - | 25 | 10.9 | 2.2 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 2.6 | 2.5 | 8 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 35.4 | 20.0 | 46.2 | 0.54 | 38.2 | 36.9 |
| Emma Fouch | - | 26 | 10.6 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 7 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 30.0 | 32.4 | 60.0 | -0.26 | 43.2 | 41.0 |
| Katie Grexa | - | 26 | 7.8 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 1.6 | 1.2 | -46 | -2.0 | -7.1 | 43.9 | 25.0 | 66.7 | -0.6 | 50.4 | 48.8 |
| Caitlin Titler | - | 25 | 7.8 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 2.1 | 0.0 | -27 | -1.4 | -4.3 | 26.4 | 19.0 | 53.3 | -0.36 | 33.6 | 30.2 |
| Noel Weathers | - | 5 | 3.4 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 44.4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.28 | 44.4 | 44.4 |
| Micheala Dean-dunn | - | 2 | 8.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | -0.5 | -21 | -0.7 | -2.4 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.38 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Lakelyn Joslin | - | 8 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.1 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Sophie Chipps | - | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 32 | 2.7 | 5.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.21 | 0 | 0 |
| Jaicee Wallace | - | 3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.47 | 0 | 0 |
| Aislyn Hurst | - | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG