Lake Erie
Model Outputs
2023-2024
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 936 (#289) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 888 (#308) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -11.7 (#298) | HCA +2.7 |
2024 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-11-15 | @ | Mercyhurst | L | 36 - 84 |
| 2023-11-18 | @ | Lake Superior St. | W | 64 - 59 |
| 2023-11-30 | @ | Ashland | L | 38 - 84 |
| 2023-12-02 | @ | Malone | L | 49 - 84 |
| 2023-12-05 | @ | Ohio Wesleyan | L | 55 - 85 |
| 2023-12-09 | vs | Trevecca Nazarene | L | 45 - 91 |
| 2023-12-11 | vs | Ky. Wesleyan | L | 55 - 91 |
| 2023-12-16 | vs | Roberts Wesleyan | L | 62 - 78 |
| 2023-12-19 | @ | Kent St. | L | 20 - 84 |
| 2023-12-30 | vs | Wheeling | L | 49 - 65 |
| 2024-01-04 | @ | Findlay | L | 44 - 88 |
| 2024-01-06 | vs | Notre Dame (OH) | L | 54 - 56 |
| 2024-01-11 | @ | Cedarville | L | 60 - 69 |
| 2024-01-13 | vs | Ursuline | L | 50 - 66 |
| 2024-01-18 | @ | Ohio Dominican | L | 45 - 62 |
| 2024-01-20 | vs | Thomas More | L | 48 - 74 |
| 2024-01-25 | @ | Ky. Wesleyan | L | 45 - 75 |
| 2024-01-27 | @ | Trevecca Nazarene | L | 51 - 104 |
| 2024-02-01 | vs | Malone | L | 33 - 75 |
| 2024-02-03 | vs | Ashland | L | 45 - 92 |
| 2024-02-08 | vs | Northwood | L | 62 - 63 |
| 2024-02-10 | vs | Hillsdale | L | 52 - 69 |
| 2024-02-15 | vs | Ohio Dominican | L | 64 - 77 |
| 2024-02-17 | @ | Ursuline | W | 58 - 55 |
| 2024-02-21 | @ | Northwood | L | 43 - 76 |
| 2024-02-24 | @ | Tiffin | W | 61 - 54 |
| 2024-02-29 | vs | Walsh | L | 62 - 81 |
2024 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GRACIE LYON | - | 1 | 32.0 | 15.0 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 12.0 | 13.0 | -31 | -2.2 | -3.2 | 41.7 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -0.24 | 45.7 | 41.7 |
| ANNA IBOS | - | 3 | 29.0 | 14.0 | 3.7 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 8.7 | 7.7 | - | - | - | 46.2 | 53.8 | 78.6 | -0.23 | 65.3 | 59.6 |
| ALEXIS LEHMKUHL | - | 3 | 21.3 | 9.3 | 4.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 7.7 | 7.0 | - | - | - | 43.5 | 50.0 | 77.8 | 0.07 | 51.9 | 45.7 |
| KYLIE MAXWELL | - | 3 | 25.0 | 7.3 | 6.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 2.7 | 9.0 | 2.7 | -39 | -2.4 | -3.4 | 33.3 | 22.2 | 50.0 | -0.49 | 38.2 | 37.0 |
| EMMA FOUCH | - | 3 | 24.7 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 6.0 | 2.0 | -22 | -1.4 | -2.3 | 11.1 | 15.4 | 90.0 | -0.16 | 33.5 | 16.7 |
| NINA SHAFFER | - | 3 | 25.7 | 4.7 | 2.0 | 2.7 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 7.0 | 1.3 | 12 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 23.8 | 30.0 | 50.0 | 0.31 | 32.0 | 31.0 |
| RYAN ELBERT | - | 2 | 27.0 | 4.0 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 3.5 | 5.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 40.0 | 40.0 |
| RILEY MEDLEY | - | 2 | 20.5 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 3.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 16.7 | 0.0 | 66.7 | - | 34.7 | 16.7 |
| SOPHIE CHIPPS | - | 3 | 15.0 | 3.0 | 3.7 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 3.3 | -22 | -1.5 | -2.4 | 22.2 | 20.0 | 66.7 | -0.09 | 38.7 | 27.8 |
| GABRIELLE RUSSELL | - | 3 | 17.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 3.3 | -2.3 | - | - | - | 10.0 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 0.01 | 13.8 | 15.0 |
| Aislyn Hurst | - | 7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Riley Montagner | - | 7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -39 | -3.2 | -11.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.43 | 0 | 0 |
| Abby Henegar | - | 7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG