Lake Erie
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1085 (#61) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1086 (#94) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +12.4 (#52) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.683 (#229) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.633 (#153) | NetEff +5.1 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.868 (#176) | AdjNet +16.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.872 (#174) | AdjNet +16.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.764 (#158) | AdjO 89.0 | AdjD 76.1 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-08 | @ | Lake Superior St. | W | 77 - 70 |
| 2024-11-09 | @ | Ferris St. | L | 72 - 94 |
| 2024-11-15 | vs | Great Lake Christian | W | 111 - 54 |
| 2024-11-19 | vs | Clarion | W | 107 - 76 |
| 2024-11-22 | vs | Miami-Middletown | W | 125 - 74 |
| 2024-11-24 | @ | D'Youville | W | 96 - 84 |
| 2024-11-27 | vs | Slippery Rock | W | 103 - 82 |
| 2024-12-05 | @ | Thomas More | L | 75 - 79 |
| 2024-12-14 | vs | Malone | L | 86 - 91 |
| 2024-12-16 | vs | Ashland | W | 86 - 82 |
| 2025-01-02 | @ | Northwood | W | 87 - 75 |
| 2025-01-04 | @ | Hillsdale | L | 72 - 75 |
| 2025-01-09 | vs | Ky. Wesleyan | W | 85 - 67 |
| 2025-01-11 | @ | Tiffin | L | 70 - 78 |
| 2025-01-16 | vs | Thomas More | W | 87 - 75 |
| 2025-01-18 | vs | Hillsdale | W | 69 - 67 |
| 2025-01-23 | vs | Tiffin | W | 78 - 70 |
| 2025-01-25 | @ | Ashland | L | 68 - 97 |
| 2025-01-30 | @ | Malone | W | 71 - 66 |
| 2025-02-01 | vs | Ohio Dominican | W | 75 - 64 |
| 2025-02-06 | @ | Ohio Dominican | W | 68 - 60 |
| 2025-02-08 | @ | Cedarville | W | 74 - 51 |
| 2025-02-15 | vs | Cedarville | W | 74 - 66 |
| 2025-02-22 | @ | Walsh | W | 80 - 68 |
| 2025-02-24 | @ | Ky. Wesleyan | L | 74 - 86 |
| 2025-02-27 | vs | Northwood | L | 82 - 85 |
| 2025-03-01 | vs | Findlay | L | 102 - 105 |
| 2025-03-04 | @ | Thomas More | L | 92 - 99 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Erickson | - | 1 | 23.0 | 21.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 14.0 | 11.0 | -89 | -3.4 | -9.3 | 50.0 | 41.7 | 100.0 | 0.28 | 70.6 | 67.9 |
| Cameron Johnson | - | 27 | 21.9 | 14.3 | 4.9 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 11.3 | 9.1 | 62 | 2.6 | 13.0 | 49.0 | 27.0 | 80.8 | 0.86 | 56.9 | 53.0 |
| Derrick Anderson | - | 26 | 23.1 | 14.1 | 2.2 | 2.9 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 10.9 | 8.4 | 17 | 0.8 | 3.0 | 42.4 | 30.5 | 82.9 | 0.8 | 54.4 | 46.8 |
| Nathan Claerbaut | - | 1 | 29.0 | 12.0 | 11.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 21.0 | -98 | -3.8 | -12.2 | 75.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.52 | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Joshua Dames | - | 27 | 15.6 | 8.2 | 3.3 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 7.0 | 5.7 | 38 | 2.1 | 11.0 | 41.8 | 36.1 | 83.3 | 0.4 | 55.6 | 53.4 |
| Jimmy Scholler | - | 1 | 25.0 | 8.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 12.0 | -101 | -4.0 | -12.7 | 66.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -0.44 | 62.1 | 66.7 |
| Todd Simons | - | 27 | 15.8 | 7.5 | 3.9 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 5.9 | 7.3 | 51 | 3.2 | 15.4 | 48.1 | 34.0 | 60.8 | 0.43 | 55.6 | 53.8 |
| Caleb Piks | - | 26 | 22.1 | 7.0 | 3.7 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 5.5 | 7.2 | -41 | -2.0 | -9.5 | 46.5 | 38.2 | 65.8 | 0.69 | 57.6 | 55.6 |
| Jake Leibacher | - | 27 | 22.1 | 6.3 | 3.6 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 4.2 | 7.6 | 98 | 3.6 | 23.8 | 58.8 | 36.6 | 80.0 | 0.97 | 67.6 | 65.4 |
| Kai Bloom | - | 27 | 15.2 | 6.0 | 2.6 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.7 | 4.6 | 51 | 1.8 | 22.0 | 41.9 | 21.3 | 56.1 | -0.06 | 47.1 | 45.2 |
| Reece Hazelton | - | 1 | 15.0 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | -10 | -0.4 | -1.3 | 75.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.17 | 67.6 | 75.0 |
| Micah Bays | - | 26 | 13.3 | 6.0 | 1.9 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 5.1 | 4.4 | 57 | 2.2 | 18.3 | 39.1 | 24.7 | 67.3 | 0.22 | 50.4 | 45.9 |
| Donovan Brown-Boyd | - | 1 | 10.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | -31 | -2.4 | -16.8 | 50.0 | 100.0 | 50.0 | 0.08 | 66.5 | 75.0 |
| Kenny Turner | - | 1 | 20.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 10.0 | -63 | -21.0 | -800.0 | 100.0 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.32 | 60.2 | 100.0 |
| Josh Irwin | - | 25 | 6.0 | 3.2 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 2.4 | 2.2 | -145 | -13.2 | -84.0 | 56.7 | 36.4 | 58.3 | -0.09 | 60.5 | 60.0 |
| Deng Reng | - | 1 | 18.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | -121 | -4.8 | -16.7 | 25.0 | 0 | 33.3 | 0.11 | 28.2 | 25.0 |
| Gio Moore | - | 26 | 4.7 | 2.7 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 2.2 | 1.4 | 40 | 2.0 | 72.7 | 39.3 | 32.1 | 73.9 | -0.62 | 52.9 | 47.3 |
| Solomon Kuol | - | 21 | 3.8 | 2.5 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 2.1 | 1.0 | 42 | 8.4 | 237.2 | 44.4 | 38.5 | 75.0 | -0.97 | 56.7 | 55.6 |
| Brandon Claerbaut | - | 1 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | -82 | -4.6 | -291.6 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.78 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Alan Swenson | - | 26 | 7.7 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.2 | 2.5 | 35 | 2.3 | 25.0 | 36.8 | 16.0 | 85.7 | 0.04 | 43.3 | 40.4 |
| C.J. Hornbeak | - | 26 | 7.5 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 0.6 | -56 | -4.7 | -22.2 | 31.2 | 26.9 | 50.0 | -0.07 | 37.5 | 36.7 |
| Aidan Filippini | - | 27 | 11.7 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 2.7 | 64 | 2.5 | 34.2 | 34.0 | 7.7 | 64.7 | 0.03 | 40.4 | 35.1 |
| Griffin Turay | - | 25 | 4.5 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.4 | 1.4 | -87 | -5.4 | -103.2 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -0.38 | 50.2 | 50.0 |
| Ronnie Leonard | - | 25 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 29 | 2.2 | 166.9 | 37.5 | 28.6 | 50.0 | -0.99 | 45.0 | 43.8 |
| Trace Bishko | - | 24 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 21 | 1.5 | 101.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 85.7 | -0.94 | 22.9 | 0.0 |
| Aidan Slocum | - | 24 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | -33 | -11.0 | -542.5 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -1.44 | 30.7 | 25.0 |
| Owen Hardy | - | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | -60 | -2.5 | -18.7 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Chikasi Ofoma | - | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | -55 | -9.2 | -247.2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.89 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Joe Burge | - | 12 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Quincy Jones | - | 12 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Jerry Kline-Ruminski | - | 17 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Kohler Niedermaier | - | 17 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG