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Lake Erie

Also known as: Lake Erie
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1085 (#61) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1086 (#94) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More → +12.4 (#52) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.683 (#229) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +5.1 More → 0.633 (#153) NetEff +5.1
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +16.3 More → 0.868 (#176) AdjNet +16.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +16.5 More → 0.872 (#174) AdjNet +16.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 89.0 | AdjD 76.1 More → 0.764 (#158) AdjO 89.0 | AdjD 76.1

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-08 @ Lake Superior St. W 77 - 70
2024-11-09 @ Ferris St. L 72 - 94
2024-11-15 vs Great Lake Christian W 111 - 54
2024-11-19 vs Clarion W 107 - 76
2024-11-22 vs Miami-Middletown W 125 - 74
2024-11-24 @ D'Youville W 96 - 84
2024-11-27 vs Slippery Rock W 103 - 82
2024-12-05 @ Thomas More L 75 - 79
2024-12-14 vs Malone L 86 - 91
2024-12-16 vs Ashland W 86 - 82
2025-01-02 @ Northwood W 87 - 75
2025-01-04 @ Hillsdale L 72 - 75
2025-01-09 vs Ky. Wesleyan W 85 - 67
2025-01-11 @ Tiffin L 70 - 78
2025-01-16 vs Thomas More W 87 - 75
2025-01-18 vs Hillsdale W 69 - 67
2025-01-23 vs Tiffin W 78 - 70
2025-01-25 @ Ashland L 68 - 97
2025-01-30 @ Malone W 71 - 66
2025-02-01 vs Ohio Dominican W 75 - 64
2025-02-06 @ Ohio Dominican W 68 - 60
2025-02-08 @ Cedarville W 74 - 51
2025-02-15 vs Cedarville W 74 - 66
2025-02-22 @ Walsh W 80 - 68
2025-02-24 @ Ky. Wesleyan L 74 - 86
2025-02-27 vs Northwood L 82 - 85
2025-03-01 vs Findlay L 102 - 105
2025-03-04 @ Thomas More L 92 - 99

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Ethan Erickson - 1 23.0 21.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 14.0 11.0 -89 -3.4 -9.3 50.0 41.7 100.0 0.28 70.6 67.9
Cameron Johnson - 27 21.9 14.3 4.9 1.4 0.7 0.3 1.2 11.3 9.1 62 2.6 13.0 49.0 27.0 80.8 0.86 56.9 53.0
Derrick Anderson - 26 23.1 14.1 2.2 2.9 1.1 0.1 1.2 10.9 8.4 17 0.8 3.0 42.4 30.5 82.9 0.8 54.4 46.8
Nathan Claerbaut - 1 29.0 12.0 11.0 3.0 0.0 4.0 1.0 8.0 21.0 -98 -3.8 -12.2 75.0 0 0 0.52 75.0 75.0
Joshua Dames - 27 15.6 8.2 3.3 0.8 1.3 0.0 0.9 7.0 5.7 38 2.1 11.0 41.8 36.1 83.3 0.4 55.6 53.4
Jimmy Scholler - 1 25.0 8.0 5.0 6.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 6.0 12.0 -101 -4.0 -12.7 66.7 0.0 0.0 -0.44 62.1 66.7
Todd Simons - 27 15.8 7.5 3.9 1.4 0.9 0.2 0.8 5.9 7.3 51 3.2 15.4 48.1 34.0 60.8 0.43 55.6 53.8
Caleb Piks - 26 22.1 7.0 3.7 1.3 0.8 0.4 0.6 5.5 7.2 -41 -2.0 -9.5 46.5 38.2 65.8 0.69 57.6 55.6
Jake Leibacher - 27 22.1 6.3 3.6 0.9 1.3 0.2 0.4 4.2 7.6 98 3.6 23.8 58.8 36.6 80.0 0.97 67.6 65.4
Kai Bloom - 27 15.2 6.0 2.6 1.5 1.2 0.0 1.0 5.7 4.6 51 1.8 22.0 41.9 21.3 56.1 -0.06 47.1 45.2
Reece Hazelton - 1 15.0 6.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 4.0 7.0 -10 -0.4 -1.3 75.0 0.0 0.0 1.17 67.6 75.0
Micah Bays - 26 13.3 6.0 1.9 1.0 1.2 0.1 0.7 5.1 4.4 57 2.2 18.3 39.1 24.7 67.3 0.22 50.4 45.9
Donovan Brown-Boyd - 1 10.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 -31 -2.4 -16.8 50.0 100.0 50.0 0.08 66.5 75.0
Kenny Turner - 1 20.0 4.0 5.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 10.0 -63 -21.0 -800.0 100.0 0 0.0 -1.32 60.2 100.0
Josh Irwin - 25 6.0 3.2 1.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.6 2.4 2.2 -145 -13.2 -84.0 56.7 36.4 58.3 -0.09 60.5 60.0
Deng Reng - 1 18.0 3.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 4.0 4.0 -121 -4.8 -16.7 25.0 0 33.3 0.11 28.2 25.0
Gio Moore - 26 4.7 2.7 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.2 2.2 1.4 40 2.0 72.7 39.3 32.1 73.9 -0.62 52.9 47.3
Solomon Kuol - 21 3.8 2.5 0.8 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.6 2.1 1.0 42 8.4 237.2 44.4 38.5 75.0 -0.97 56.7 55.6
Brandon Claerbaut - 1 2.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 -82 -4.6 -291.6 50.0 0 0 -0.78 50.0 50.0
Alan Swenson - 26 7.7 2.0 1.2 1.3 0.6 0.0 0.5 2.2 2.5 35 2.3 25.0 36.8 16.0 85.7 0.04 43.3 40.4
C.J. Hornbeak - 26 7.5 1.9 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.5 2.5 0.6 -56 -4.7 -22.2 31.2 26.9 50.0 -0.07 37.5 36.7
Aidan Filippini - 27 11.7 1.6 1.8 1.3 0.7 0.0 1.0 1.7 2.7 64 2.5 34.2 34.0 7.7 64.7 0.03 40.4 35.1
Griffin Turay - 25 4.5 1.5 1.1 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.3 1.4 1.4 -87 -5.4 -103.2 50.0 0.0 50.0 -0.38 50.2 50.0
Ronnie Leonard - 25 1.5 0.6 0.4 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.2 29 2.2 166.9 37.5 28.6 50.0 -0.99 45.0 43.8
Trace Bishko - 24 1.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.0 21 1.5 101.0 0.0 0.0 85.7 -0.94 22.9 0.0
Aidan Slocum - 24 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 -33 -11.0 -542.5 25.0 0.0 50.0 -1.44 30.7 25.0
Owen Hardy - 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 -60 -2.5 -18.7 0.0 0 0 0.1 0.0 0.0
Chikasi Ofoma - 1 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 -55 -9.2 -247.2 0.0 0 0 -0.89 0.0 0.0
Joe Burge - 12 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Quincy Jones - 12 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Jerry Kline-Ruminski - 17 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Kohler Niedermaier - 17 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG