Lake Erie
Model Outputs
2026-2027
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1193 (#23) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1184 (#23) | HCA +102 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1100 (#21) | HCA +102 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +7.9 (#51) | HCA +3.1 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +7.0 (#50) | HCA +3.1 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.681 (#50) | - |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.633 (#54) | AdjO 79.4 | AdjD 80.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.573 (#49) | AdjO 79.3 | AdjD 80.3 |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1193 (#22) | RD 181 | GP 3 |
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-30 | vs | Winona St. | W | 73 - 72 |
| 2026-11-01 | vs | Tampa | L | 93 - 107 |
| 2026-11-01 | @ | Hawaii Pacific | W | 90 - 84 |
| 2026-11-09 | vs | Penn St.-Du Bois | W | 151 - 41 |
| 2026-11-13 | @ | Lake Superior St. | L | 81 - 95 |
2026-2027 Roster
No roster data available for this season.