Lafayette
Model Outputs
1993-1994
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 737 (#268) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 791 (#261) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 904 (#249) | HCA +119 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -12.0 (#267) | HCA +3.9 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -12.7 (#276) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.291 (#234) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.144 (#266) | AdjNet -15.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.142 (#265) | AdjNet -15.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.278 (#264) | AdjO 70.0 | AdjD 80.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.344 (#257) | AdjO 70.2 | AdjD 77.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.228 (#267) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.239 (#267) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 783 (#265) | RD 147 | GP 27 |
1994 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1993-11-27 | vs | Vermont | L | 72 - 79 |
| 1993-12-01 | @ | Princeton | L | 43 - 73 |
| 1993-12-04 | @ | Brown | L | 85 - 88 |
| 1993-12-07 | vs | Columbia | W | 70 - 53 |
| 1993-12-11 | @ | Rider | L | 75 - 87 |
| 1993-12-13 | @ | Syracuse | L | 75 - 104 |
| 1993-12-28 | @ | Iona | W | 88 - 80 |
| 1993-12-29 | N | George Mason | L | 83 - 99 |
| 1994-01-02 | @ | Florida State | L | 87 - 105 |
| 1994-01-06 | vs | Yale | W | 85 - 69 |
| 1994-01-15 | vs | Bucknell | L | 67 - 80 |
| 1994-01-17 | @ | Pennsylvania | L | 71 - 88 |
| 1994-01-19 | vs | Navy | W | 77 - 76 |
| 1994-01-22 | @ | Holy Cross | L | 83 - 95 |
| 1994-01-26 | vs | Fordham | W | 82 - 75 |
| 1994-01-29 | vs | Army | W | 95 - 74 |
| 1994-02-02 | @ | Lehigh | L | 80 - 85 |
| 1994-02-05 | vs | Colgate | L | 72 - 76 |
| 1994-02-09 | @ | Bucknell | L | 76 - 100 |
| 1994-02-12 | @ | Navy | W | 68 - 63 |
| 1994-02-16 | vs | Holy Cross | L | 90 - 99 |
| 1994-02-19 | @ | Fordham | L | 68 - 73 |
| 1994-02-21 | @ | Colgate | L | 63 - 84 |
| 1994-02-23 | vs | Lehigh | L | 74 - 81 |
| 1994-02-26 | @ | Army | L | 57 - 79 |
| 1994-03-04 | N | Fordham | W | 83 - 65 |
| 1994-03-05 | N | Colgate | L | 73 - 76 |
1994 Roster
No roster data available for this season.