Lafayette
2026-2027 Team Stats (3 games)
61.7
PPG
64.3
Opp
-2.7
Margin
38.1%
FG%
33.9%
3P%
75.7%
FT%
34.0
RPG
13.3
APG
19.7
TO
68.6
Est. poss./game
58.8
Adj PPG
66.3
Adj Opp PPG
#252
Scoring Rank
Model Outputs
2026-2027
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 891 (#233) | Preseason prior 919 (returning production + recruiting): last season 900, returning +76, transfers -58, freshmen +0 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 929 (#228) | HCA +169 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 930 (#228) | HCA +169 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -8.7 (#252) | HCA +1.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -8.6 (#250) | HCA +1.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.345 (#189) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.347 (#223) | AdjNet -7.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.394 (#203) | AdjNet -4.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.356 (#252) | AdjO 58.8 | AdjD 66.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.357 (#251) | AdjO 58.9 | AdjD 66.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.363 (#227) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.363 (#227) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 931 (#218) | RD 179 | GP 3 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More → | 0.351 (#225) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
Rank through the season
League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.
Recency Ensemble
Log Adjusted
Elo
Points Off/Def Recency
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | @ | St. John's Red Storm | L | 37 - 95 |
| 2026-11-05 | vs | Wagner Seahawks | W | 88 - 34 |
| 2026-11-11 | vs | NJIT Highlanders | L | 60 - 64 |
| 2026-11-15 | @ | Marist Red Foxes | - | Preview |
| 2026-11-18 | @ | Saint Peter's Peacocks | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Johari Hall
|
F | 3 | 21.3 | 12.7 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 5.7 | 14.0 | 5 | 3 | 1.7 | 3.2 | 47.1 | 66.7 | 76.9 | 1.59 | 66.8 | 52.9 |
Haylie Adamski
|
G | 3 | 34.3 | 11.7 | 2.7 | 0.3 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.7 | 11.0 | 3.0 | -24 | 3 | -8.0 | -9.3 | 39.4 | 33.3 | 33.3 | -2.55 | 51.0 | 51.5 |
N. Pickering
|
G | 3 | 32.7 | 9.0 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 0.3 | 4.7 | 8.7 | 3.0 | 2 | 3 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 38.5 | 42.9 | 66.7 | 0.21 | 47.1 | 44.2 |
Emma Heaney
|
G | 3 | 18.3 | 8.7 | 4.3 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 7.0 | 7.3 | -13 | 3 | -4.3 | -9.3 | 38.1 | 60.0 | 70.0 | -2.4 | 51.2 | 45.2 |
Tasha Chudy
|
F | 3 | 28.0 | 6.7 | 6.7 | 4.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 3.7 | 6.3 | 9.3 | -12 | 3 | -4.0 | -5.7 | 36.8 | 25.0 | 100.0 | -0.09 | 47.2 | 39.5 |
Haley Poser
|
G | 3 | 29.7 | 6.7 | 3.0 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 1.7 | 5.3 | 6.7 | 7 | 3 | 2.3 | 3.1 | 37.5 | 14.3 | 87.5 | -1.49 | 51.2 | 40.6 |
Carley Voce
|
G | 3 | 19.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 2.0 | 0.3 | 2.3 | 3.7 | 2.0 | -18 | 3 | -6.0 | -12.6 | 18.2 | 25.0 | 100.0 | -1.01 | 44.0 | 27.3 |
Jordyn Mays
|
F | 2 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 8 | 2 | 4.0 | 50.4 | 100.0 | 0 | 50.0 | -1.66 | 79.8 | 100.0 |
Maddison Krug
|
F | 3 | 10.0 | 1.0 | 4.3 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 5.3 | -4 | 3 | -1.3 | -5.4 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -2.24 | 38.7 | 33.3 |
Sophia Brooks
|
F | 2 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 3 | 2 | 1.5 | 27.0 | 0 | 0 | 50.0 | -0.39 | 56.8 | 0 |
Brynn Beffert
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Teresa Kiewiet
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Rosie Scognamiglio
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Sofia Valente
|
F | 2 | 4.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | 6 | 2 | 3.0 | 28.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.31 | 0 | 0 |
Talia Zurinskas
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
2026-2027 Shot Zones
147 located field-goal attempts in 3 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Haylie AdamskiN. PickeringEmma HeaneyTasha ChudyHaley PoserCarley Voce
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 13-26 | 50.0 | 26 | Emma Heaney 38% (10 pts) | Haylie Adamski 23% (6 pts) | Emma Heaney 31% (4 misses) | Johari Hall 23% (3 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 20-48 | 41.7 | 40 | N. Pickering 30% (12 pts) | Haley Poser 25% (10 pts) | N. Pickering 32% (9 misses) | Tasha Chudy 21% (6 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 2-11 | 18.2 | 4 | Haylie Adamski 100% (4 pts) | - | Carley Voce 22% (2 misses) | Emma Heaney 22% (2 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 0-0 | - | 0 | - | - | - | - |
| Mid-range right | 1-3 | 33.3 | 2 | Tasha Chudy 100% (2 pts) | - | Haylie Adamski 50% (1 misses) | Johari Hall 50% (1 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 5-11 | 45.5 | 15 | Emma Heaney 40% (6 pts) | Haylie Adamski 40% (6 pts) | Emma Heaney 33% (2 misses) | N. Pickering 33% (2 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 3-8 | 37.5 | 9 | Emma Heaney 33% (3 pts) | Johari Hall 33% (3 pts) | Haylie Adamski 60% (3 misses) | Haley Poser 20% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 1-15 | 6.7 | 3 | Haylie Adamski 100% (3 pts) | - | Haylie Adamski 50% (7 misses) | Haley Poser 29% (4 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 1-4 | 25.0 | 3 | Haley Poser 100% (3 pts) | - | Tasha Chudy 67% (2 misses) | Carley Voce 33% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 10-21 | 47.6 | 30 | Haylie Adamski 50% (15 pts) | Carley Voce 20% (6 pts) | Haylie Adamski 45% (5 misses) | Carley Voce 27% (3 misses) |