Lafayette
2026-2027 Team Stats (4 games)
Model Outputs
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 676 (#348) | Preseason prior 689 (returning production + recruiting): last season 812, returning -18, transfers -76, freshmen -30 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 825 (#351) | HCA +206 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 829 (#351) | HCA +205 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | -15.0 (#338) | HCA +2.2 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | -14.9 (#336) | HCA +2.2 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.101 (#336) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.244 (#330) | AdjNet -14.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.232 (#329) | AdjNet -15.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.274 (#340) | AdjO 63.5 | AdjD 72.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.277 (#339) | AdjO 63.5 | AdjD 72.2 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.218 (#342) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.218 (#342) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 798 (#348) | RD 201 | GP 2 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More โ | 0.207 (#357) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
Rank through the season
League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | @ | Butler Bulldogs | L | 60 - 96 |
| 2026-11-05 | vs | King's Monarchs | W | 104 - 67 |
| 2026-11-07 | @ | Saint Joseph's Hawks | L | 57 - 67 |
| 2026-11-10 | vs | Penn State Lehigh Valley Nittany Lions | W | 89 - 46 |
| 2026-11-14 | @ | St. Bonaventure Bonnies | - | Preview |
| 2026-11-18 | vs | Binghamton Bearcats | - | Preview |
| 2026-11-21 | @ | Syracuse Orange | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cooper Kesler
|
G | 4 | 29.0 | 15.8 | 2.2 | 2.8 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 2.2 | 10.0 | 8.8 | -45 | 2 | -22.5 | -24.5 | 55.0 | 54.5 | 70.0 | -1.29 | 70.9 | 70.0 |
Beckett Currie
|
G | 4 | 26.5 | 12.2 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 2.0 | 10.2 | 3.0 | -23 | 2 | -11.5 | -14.9 | 41.5 | 33.3 | 75.0 | -0.18 | 55.0 | 52.4 |
Shareef Jackson
|
F | 4 | 19.0 | 9.0 | 4.2 | 2.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 6.8 | 7.2 | -31 | 2 | -15.5 | -25.0 | 59.3 | 0 | 57.1 | -1.08 | 59.8 | 59.3 |
Jasraj Gill
|
F | 4 | 22.5 | 8.8 | 8.2 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.2 | 7.2 | 12.5 | -32 | 2 | -16.0 | -22.1 | 55.2 | 16.7 | 100.0 | -0.88 | 58.6 | 56.9 |
Owen Kelly
|
G | 4 | 21.5 | 7.0 | 3.5 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 6.8 | 5.5 | -38 | 2 | -19.0 | -28.2 | 44.4 | 22.2 | 50.0 | -1.52 | 48.7 | 48.1 |
Luke Bevilacqua
|
F | 3 | 8.0 | 5.0 | 2.7 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 2.7 | 6.7 | -2 | 1 | -2.0 | -19.4 | 62.5 | 0.0 | 38.5 | -1.44 | 54.7 | 62.5 |
Patrick D'Arcy
|
G | 4 | 11.8 | 4.0 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 4.8 | 1.2 | -16 | 2 | -8.0 | -21.8 | 31.6 | 25.0 | 100.0 | -1.09 | 40.2 | 36.8 |
Folabomi Fayemi
|
G | 3 | 7.3 | 3.7 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 5.3 | 5 | 1 | 5.0 | 63.8 | 60.0 | 0.0 | 71.4 | 0.0 | 68.1 | 60.0 |
Malik Rasul
|
F | 3 | 8.0 | 3.7 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 3.3 | 3.0 | 3 | 1 | 3.0 | 28.6 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -0.25 | 50.6 | 50.0 |
Ashton Wallace
|
G | 3 | 7.3 | 3.3 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.7 | 5 | 1 | 5.0 | 63.8 | 66.7 | 50.0 | 0 | 0.07 | 83.3 | 83.3 |
Misha Bednostin
|
C | 4 | 14.2 | 3.2 | 3.8 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 5.0 | -13 | 2 | -6.5 | -18.5 | 75.0 | 0 | 25.0 | -0.74 | 66.6 | 75.0 |
Kaimani Murdock
|
F | 4 | 12.8 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 3.5 | 2.0 | -19 | 2 | -9.5 | -30.2 | 21.4 | 23.1 | 0.0 | -0.89 | 30.2 | 32.1 |
Aaron Sievert
|
G | 2 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 | - | - | - | - | 25.0 | 25.0 | 50.0 | - | 41.0 | 37.5 |
Shelton Henton
|
G | 4 | 13.2 | 1.5 | 2.8 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 2.8 | -42 | 2 | -21.0 | -60.9 | 16.7 | 18.2 | 0 | -1.67 | 25.0 | 25.0 |
Luke Azzinaro
|
F | 3 | 7.7 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 5 | 1 | 5.0 | 107.1 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.17 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
AJ Collins
|
G | 3 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 3 | 1 | 3.0 | 126.3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
2026-2027 Shot Zones
192 located field-goal attempts in 3 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Cooper KeslerBeckett CurrieJasraj GillShareef JacksonOwen KellyAaron Sievert
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 27-37 | 73.0 | 54 | Jasraj Gill 22% (12 pts) | Shareef Jackson 19% (10 pts) | Owen Kelly 30% (3 misses) | Jasraj Gill 20% (2 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 30-59 | 50.8 | 60 | Shareef Jackson 23% (14 pts) | Beckett Currie 17% (10 pts) | Shareef Jackson 38% (11 misses) | Beckett Currie 10% (3 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 2-5 | 40.0 | 4 | Cooper Kesler 50% (2 pts) | Jasraj Gill 50% (2 pts) | Cooper Kesler 67% (2 misses) | Patrick D'Arcy 33% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 1-3 | 33.3 | 2 | Cooper Kesler 100% (2 pts) | - | Cooper Kesler 100% (2 misses) | - |
| Mid-range right | 2-7 | 28.6 | 4 | Jasraj Gill 100% (4 pts) | - | Beckett Currie 60% (3 misses) | Owen Kelly 20% (1 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 2-13 | 15.4 | 6 | Aaron Sievert 50% (3 pts) | Cooper Kesler 50% (3 pts) | Owen Kelly 36% (4 misses) | Cooper Kesler 18% (2 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 1-3 | 33.3 | 3 | Cooper Kesler 100% (3 pts) | - | Beckett Currie 50% (1 misses) | Patrick D'Arcy 50% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 5-27 | 18.5 | 15 | Cooper Kesler 60% (9 pts) | Ashton Wallace 20% (3 pts) | Beckett Currie 36% (8 misses) | Kaimani Murdock 23% (5 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 2-8 | 25.0 | 6 | Beckett Currie 50% (3 pts) | Cooper Kesler 50% (3 pts) | Cooper Kesler 50% (3 misses) | Jasraj Gill 33% (2 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 13-30 | 43.3 | 39 | Beckett Currie 38% (15 pts) | Cooper Kesler 38% (15 pts) | Beckett Currie 47% (8 misses) | Kaimani Murdock 12% (2 misses) |