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LSU

Also known as: LSU Tigers
Program History

2015 Team Stats (8 games)

64.8
PPG
71.9
Opp
-7.1
Margin
41.1%
FG%
21.4%
3P%
69.3%
FT%
33.9
RPG
10.0
APG
17.1
TO
-
Est. poss./game
66.5
Adj PPG
55.0
Adj Opp PPG
#56
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2014-2015
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1277 (#52) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1159 (#68) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +86 elo More โ†’ 1043 (#112) HCA +86 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More โ†’ +12.6 (#57) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.7 More โ†’ +14.7 (#39) HCA +2.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.626 (#115) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +20.5 More โ†’ 0.914 (#53) AdjNet +20.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +21.0 More โ†’ 0.919 (#53) AdjNet +21.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 66.5 | AdjD 55.0 More โ†’ 0.740 (#56) AdjO 66.5 | AdjD 55.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 65.9 | AdjD 57.9 More โ†’ 0.674 (#57) AdjO 65.9 | AdjD 57.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.788 (#53) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.777 (#54) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 121 | GP 31 More โ†’ 1174 (#58) RD 121 | GP 31

2015 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2014-11-14 vs Little Rock Trojans L 54 - 70
2014-11-15 vs Sam Houston Bearkats W 71 - 45
2014-11-17 vs Jackson State Lady Tigers W 52 - 44
2014-11-19 vs Tulane Green Wave L 45 - 51
2014-11-22 vs Rutgers Scarlet Knights L 57 - 64
2014-11-25 vs Santa Clara Broncos L 67 - 69
2014-11-26 vs UTEP Miners - Preview
2014-11-27 @ Kansas State Wildcats - Preview
2014-12-03 vs Louisiana Tech Lady Techsters W 73 - 59
2014-12-14 vs SE Louisiana Lady Lions W 75 - 42
2014-12-16 @ Long Beach State Beach L 44 - 59
2014-12-19 @ UC Santa Barbara Gauchos W 78 - 45
2014-12-28 vs UNC Greensboro Spartans W 82 - 61
2014-12-29 @ Miami Hurricanes L 71 - 76
2015-01-02 @ Florida Gators W 68 - 65
2015-01-04 vs South Carolina Gamecocks L 51 - 75
2015-01-08 vs Vanderbilt Commodores W 64 - 44
2015-01-11 @ Texas A&M Aggies L 48 - 55
2015-01-15 @ Mississippi State Bulldogs W 71 - 69
2015-01-18 vs Kentucky Wildcats W 84 - 79
2015-01-22 @ Tennessee Lady Volunteers L 58 - 75
2015-01-29 vs Ole Miss Rebels W 70 - 41
2015-02-02 vs Missouri Tigers W 74 - 65
2015-02-05 @ Auburn Tigers W 60 - 49
2015-02-08 vs Alabama Crimson Tide W 51 - 39
2015-02-12 @ South Carolina Gamecocks L 62 - 86
2015-02-19 vs Georgia Lady Bulldogs W 64 - 52
2015-02-22 @ Arkansas Razorbacks L 41 - 63
2015-02-26 @ Ole Miss Rebels L 57 - 58
2015-03-01 vs Texas A&M Aggies W 80 - 63
2015-03-06 vs Texas A&M Aggies W 71 - 65
2015-03-07 @ South Carolina Gamecocks L 54 - 74
2015-03-21 @ South Florida Bulls L 64 - 73

2015 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
D. Ballard D. Ballard G 7 32.7 17.3 7.4 2.7 3.1 0.7 4.4 15.4 11.4 - - - - 40.7 20.0 76.2 - 47.8 41.2
R. Louis R. Louis G 8 31.0 12.0 4.6 2.4 1.0 0.5 3.6 13.4 3.5 - - - - 37.4 0.0 57.1 - 40.2 37.4
D. Harden D. Harden - 7 26.6 10.6 2.0 0.3 1.9 0.1 2.3 11.1 1.4 - - - - 35.9 24.2 90.9 - 44.7 41.0
E. Brower E. Brower F 8 27.6 6.1 7.1 1.1 1.1 0.9 2.0 5.2 9.1 - - - - 54.8 0 100.0 - 56.6 54.8
R. Hill R. Hill G 8 21.6 5.2 0.6 1.2 0.8 0.0 0.8 4.2 2.9 - - - - 44.1 0.0 85.7 - 52.3 44.1
A. Pedersen A. Pedersen G 8 21.0 4.6 1.0 0.8 0.5 0.2 1.4 4.9 0.9 - - - - 41.0 23.1 50.0 - 45.4 44.9
A. Bethel A. Bethel - 8 19.4 3.5 3.0 0.6 1.4 0.4 0.6 2.6 5.6 - - - - 38.1 0 75.0 - 49.9 38.1
J. Deemer J. Deemer G 8 9.6 3.1 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.2 3.2 0.9 - - - - 34.6 21.4 57.1 - 43.0 40.4
J. Rhodes J. Rhodes G 7 9.1 2.4 1.1 0.6 0.9 0.0 0.4 2.0 2.6 - - - - 57.1 0 25.0 - 53.9 57.1
S. Amichia S. Amichia F 6 9.8 2.3 2.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 1.2 1.8 2.0 - - - - 63.6 0 0.0 - 53.0 63.6
A. Jones A. Jones - 7 8.9 2.1 2.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 1.0 2.0 1.6 - - - - 35.7 0 83.3 - 45.1 35.7
A. Fareo A. Fareo C 2 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 -0.5 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG