Kutztown
Model Outputs
2026-2027
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1108 (#55) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1115 (#55) | HCA +137 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1063 (#54) | HCA +138 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -1.9 (#128) | HCA +2.2 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -2.9 (#132) | HCA +2.2 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.258 (#133) | - |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.519 (#115) | AdjO 54.5 | AdjD 63.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.470 (#119) | AdjO 54.5 | AdjD 63.6 |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1103 (#60) | RD 198 | GP 2 |
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-07 | @ | Saint Joseph's | L | 27 - 95 |
| 2026-11-10 | @ | Lock Haven | W | 71 - 61 |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ariana Smuda | - | 1 | 36.8 | 15.0 | 11.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 12.0 | 17.0 | - | - | - | - | 58.3 | 100.0 | 0 | - | 62.5 | 62.5 |
| Madison Siggins | - | 1 | 27.1 | 11.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 13.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | 30.8 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 38.4 | 30.8 |
| Kitty Randa | - | 1 | 18.7 | 11.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 12.0 | - | - | - | - | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | - | 110.0 | 110.0 |
| Bella Quinn | - | 1 | 19.5 | 10.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 14.0 | - | - | - | - | 28.6 | 0.0 | 75.0 | - | 47.5 | 28.6 |
| Taylor Gurysh | - | 1 | 30.6 | 9.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | - | 37.5 | 16.7 | 100.0 | - | 50.7 | 43.8 |
| Maggie Coleman | - | 1 | 11.3 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | - | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | - | 116.7 | 116.7 |
| Stella Higgins | - | 1 | 34.4 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 10.0 | - | - | - | - | 66.7 | 0 | 0.0 | - | 58.1 | 66.7 |
| Laura Crocona | - | 1 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 113.6 | 0 |
| Alexa Windish | - | 1 | 13.5 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | -3.0 | - | - | - | - | 25.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Josephine Vourliotis | - | 1 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG