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King (TN)

Also known as: King (TN)
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1060 (#89) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1067 (#108) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → -3.5 (#235) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.078 (#551) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +0.0 More → 0.502 (#222) NetEff +0.0
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -19.2 More → 0.098 (#596) AdjNet -19.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -19.0 More → 0.095 (#596) AdjNet -19.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 57.4 | AdjD 69.9 More → 0.242 (#597) AdjO 57.4 | AdjD 69.9

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-09 @ Limestone L 48 - 63
2024-11-10 vs Lincoln Memorial W 68 - 54
2024-11-13 @ Emory & Henry L 52 - 76
2024-11-16 @ UVA Wise L 69 - 84
2024-11-20 @ Chattanooga L 34 - 75
2024-11-23 @ Livingstone L 62 - 66
2024-11-26 vs Mount Olive W 67 - 63
2024-12-04 vs Lees-McRae W 78 - 58
2024-12-07 vs Emmanuel (GA) W 63 - 57
2024-12-12 vs Brescia W 61 - 41
2024-12-14 @ North Greenville L 50 - 56
2024-12-17 vs Barton L 55 - 60
2024-12-21 @ Lenoir-Rhyne L 55 - 82
2025-01-04 @ Wofford L 38 - 73
2025-01-11 @ UNC Pembroke L 49 - 55
2025-01-14 @ Converse W 54 - 49
2025-01-18 vs Chowan W 58 - 50
2025-01-20 vs Shorter W 58 - 55
2025-01-22 @ Belmont Abbey L 48 - 64
2025-01-25 @ Francis Marion L 54 - 65
2025-01-28 vs North Greenville L 46 - 55
2025-02-01 @ Mount Olive W 73 - 51
2025-02-05 @ Lees-McRae L 58 - 69
2025-02-08 vs Southern Wesleyan W 74 - 48
2025-02-11 vs Belmont Abbey L 36 - 48
2025-02-13 @ Shorter L 55 - 62
2025-02-15 @ Erskine W 71 - 45
2025-02-19 @ Young Harris L 32 - 63
2025-02-26 vs Converse W 70 - 59
2025-03-02 vs Lees-McRae W 57 - 49
2025-03-03 @ Young Harris L 47 - 54

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Mariya Williams - 30 27.8 13.5 8.4 1.7 2.1 0.9 2.7 11.9 12.0 15 0.5 0.6 41.6 0.0 74.5 0.13 48.1 41.6
Sarah Thompson - 30 30.4 11.9 3.9 2.6 1.4 0.2 3.4 13.1 3.4 11 0.4 0.4 31.0 23.9 75.0 0.37 41.0 36.3
Le'aije Ellington - 3 28.3 6.7 4.0 1.7 2.3 0.0 3.0 6.3 5.3 -35 -0.9 -1.0 36.8 20.0 83.3 -0.09 46.2 39.5
Alexa Gramann - 20 23.2 6.6 3.4 0.8 1.0 0.3 1.5 4.5 6.2 4 0.3 0.3 50.5 0.0 75.5 0.1 57.7 50.5
Jaelyn West - 30 22.2 6.4 3.5 0.7 0.5 0.1 1.8 6.9 2.6 -27 -0.8 -0.9 32.5 28.4 69.8 -0.03 41.9 37.6
Ashley Allen - 31 26.7 5.9 5.9 0.8 1.8 0.5 1.5 4.3 9.2 -39 -1.1 -1.2 59.1 0 60.0 -0.18 60.3 59.1
Mariya Wiliams - 1 16.0 5.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 8.0 1.0 - - - 25.0 0 50.0 - 28.2 25.0
Alayna Smith - 29 15.7 4.2 3.9 0.4 0.3 0.3 1.4 3.0 4.8 -27 -0.9 -1.5 44.3 0.0 65.7 -0.15 51.9 44.3
Raven Addison - 29 9.2 2.2 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.0 1.0 3.9 -1.7 -25 -0.8 -1.7 22.3 17.0 50.0 -0.06 27.3 26.3
Jaden Potts - 29 15.1 1.0 0.8 1.0 0.5 0.0 1.1 1.7 0.5 26 1.0 2.3 20.4 19.6 0 0.22 29.6 29.6
Thea Palmore - 31 4.5 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 0.5 -13 -0.9 -1.8 29.2 0 87.5 -0.86 38.2 29.2
Kendall Cross - 29 3.9 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.6 -0.1 18 0.8 3.6 18.8 0.0 100.0 0.29 32.2 18.8
Michelle Gallegos - 26 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -0.1 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Kiley Beach - 28 0.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Samaya Armstead - 22 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Maddie Bryant - 18 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG