King (TN)
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 937 (#424) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 926 (#395) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 930 (#583) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -8.0 (#240) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -0.6 (#377) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.078 (#551) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.177 (#372) | NetEff -11.8 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.098 (#596) | AdjNet -19.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.095 (#596) | AdjNet -19.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.242 (#597) | AdjO 57.4 | AdjD 69.9 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.416 (#512) | AdjO 61.4 | AdjD 65.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.335 (#498) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.357 (#482) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 944 (#315) | RD 97 | GP 23 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-03 | @ | Chattanooga | L | 34 - 82 |
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Lincoln Memorial | L | 45 - 92 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Middle Georgia | L | 54 - 80 |
| 2025-11-18 | vs | UVA Wise | L | 64 - 81 |
| 2025-11-20 | vs | Emory & Henry | W | 76 - 70 |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | Belmont Abbey | L | 60 - 66 |
| 2025-12-03 | @ | Tusculum | W | 68 - 63 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Lees-McRae | W | 68 - 61 |
| 2025-12-16 | vs | Converse | W | 82 - 51 |
| 2025-12-19 | @ | Wofford | L | 42 - 92 |
| 2025-12-31 | vs | Lenoir-Rhyne | L | 53 - 79 |
| 2026-01-02 | @ | ETSU | L | 47 - 72 |
| 2026-01-03 | vs | UNC Pembroke | L | 68 - 72 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Southern Wesleyan | W | 72 - 58 |
| 2026-01-14 | vs | Lees-McRae | L | 65 - 74 |
| 2026-01-19 | @ | Chowan | L | 69 - 76 |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Young Harris | L | 61 - 63 |
| 2026-01-27 | vs | Belmont Abbey | L | 59 - 90 |
| 2026-01-29 | @ | Shorter | W | 68 - 60 |
| 2026-02-04 | vs | Ferrum | W | 74 - 56 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Barton | L | 61 - 71 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aliyah Hawkins | - | 21 | 34.1 | 11.1 | 3.3 | 3.7 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 2.9 | 9.5 | 7.1 | -11 | -0.6 | -1.7 | 37.0 | 37.0 | 76.3 | -2.11 | 51.6 | 47.0 |
| Jaelyn West | - | 19 | 26.8 | 10.6 | 4.2 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 1.8 | 10.7 | 4.5 | -11 | -0.6 | -2.4 | 32.5 | 29.5 | 82.5 | 1.01 | 45.6 | 41.4 |
| Alayna Smith | - | 14 | 22.6 | 9.9 | 6.4 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 2.1 | 7.4 | 9.6 | -36 | -2.4 | -6.9 | 48.5 | 0 | 60.9 | 1.25 | 53.0 | 48.5 |
| Mary Elizabeth Fox | - | 18 | 28.7 | 9.4 | 5.6 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 2.6 | 8.6 | 6.6 | -85 | -5.0 | -16.9 | 35.5 | 28.2 | 56.1 | -1.28 | 45.9 | 42.6 |
| Le'Aije Ellington | - | 16 | 23.5 | 7.1 | 3.9 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 1.6 | 7.2 | 4.4 | 15 | 0.9 | 5.8 | 36.5 | 27.6 | 65.0 | -1.03 | 45.6 | 43.5 |
| Riley Nelson | - | 10 | 18.0 | 6.4 | 3.7 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 4.1 | 7.0 | -11 | -0.3 | -2.4 | 48.8 | 33.3 | 75.0 | 1.52 | 60.0 | 52.4 |
| Emma Larios | - | 12 | 25.1 | 6.0 | 2.1 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 6.3 | 3.2 | -3 | -0.2 | -1.1 | 28.9 | 20.8 | 69.2 | 0.76 | 41.2 | 35.5 |
| Kamiyah Love | - | 7 | 15.8 | 4.9 | 2.0 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 4.4 | 2.1 | 16 | 2.0 | 31.7 | 38.7 | 37.0 | 0 | -2.13 | 54.8 | 54.8 |
| Samantha Lee | - | 21 | 18.7 | 4.4 | 3.5 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 5.0 | 3.2 | -28 | -1.6 | -8.7 | 32.4 | 26.1 | 81.2 | -0.99 | 41.5 | 38.1 |
| Raven Addison | - | 13 | 14.1 | 3.6 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 4.5 | -0.1 | -14 | -1.0 | -30.6 | 24.1 | 15.2 | 66.7 | -1.13 | 34.9 | 28.4 |
| Ashley Allen | - | 18 | 20.4 | 3.5 | 3.8 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 3.3 | 5.0 | -33 | -1.7 | -9.3 | 48.3 | 0 | 31.2 | -0.32 | 47.0 | 48.3 |
| Chloe Reynolds | - | 1 | 2.2 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 75.0 | - | 85.2 | 0 |
| Fallon Taylor | - | 10 | 10.0 | 2.8 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 2.9 | 0.1 | -11 | -1.4 | -28.8 | 34.5 | 25.0 | 42.9 | 0.42 | 43.6 | 43.1 |
| Thea Palmore | - | 5 | 16.7 | 1.6 | 3.4 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 2.4 | -83 | -13.8 | -88.9 | 33.3 | 0 | 100.0 | -2.59 | 40.5 | 33.3 |
| Kendall Cross | - | 15 | 7.3 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 0.0 | -29 | -1.9 | -27.2 | 22.7 | 16.7 | 64.7 | -0.52 | 37.3 | 25.0 |
| Piper Helle | - | 2 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.5 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 26.6 | 0.0 |
| Chassity Mandley | - | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Addison Holly | - | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG