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Keystone

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2017 2016
Also known as: Keystone
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 857 (#321) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 777 (#356) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +64 elo More → 950 (#277) HCA +64 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.5 More → -14.3 (#366) HCA +2.5
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.7 More → -10.5 (#345) HCA +2.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.290 (#308) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -17.1 More → 0.122 (#366) AdjNet -17.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -17.2 More → 0.120 (#365) AdjNet -17.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 69.5 | AdjD 81.7 More → 0.247 (#359) AdjO 69.5 | AdjD 81.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 72.7 | AdjD 77.5 More → 0.393 (#299) AdjO 72.7 | AdjD 77.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.240 (#349) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.266 (#343) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 196 | GP 27 More → 819 (#328) RD 196 | GP 27

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-08 @ VTSU Lyndon - Incomplete score
2025-11-09 vs VTSU Randolph - Incomplete score
2025-11-12 @ Marywood - Incomplete score
2025-11-15 @ Wilkes - Incomplete score
2025-11-18 @ SUNY Cobleskill L 56 - 74
2025-11-22 @ Utica - Incomplete score
2025-12-03 @ Cairn L 75 - 94
2025-12-06 vs Penn St. Harrisburg - Incomplete score
2025-12-13 vs SUNY Potsdam W 102 - 76
2025-12-15 vs Misericordia L 62 - 88
2025-12-16 vs Nazareth - Incomplete score
2025-12-18 vs Saint Elizabeth L 73 - 75
2025-12-30 vs Alvernia L 70 - 85
2026-01-03 @ Valley Forge W 84 - 76
2026-01-07 vs Penn College - Incomplete score
2026-01-10 @ Lancaster Bible L 74 - 96
2026-01-17 vs Gallaudet W 109 - 69
2026-01-21 @ Penn St. Brandywine - Incomplete score
2026-01-24 vs Notre Dame (MD) - Incomplete score
2026-01-28 vs Penn St.-Berks L 78 - 86
2026-01-31 @ St. Mary's (MD) L 54 - 67
2026-02-04 vs SUNY ESF - Incomplete score
2026-02-07 @ Wilson L 73 - 81
2026-02-10 vs Penn St.-Abington L 64 - 77
2026-02-14 @ Rosemont W 64 - 59
2026-02-18 @ St. Mary's (MD) W 80 - 71
2026-02-21 @ Penn St. Brandywine L 63 - 69

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jden Golding - 26 33.8 17.0 6.2 3.2 1.3 0.2 3.0 14.1 10.7 -77 19 -4.1 -17.9 44.7 29.5 69.6 0.21 51.7 47.1
Ahmodrion Jones - 26 32.8 13.5 6.0 2.9 0.9 0.4 2.7 12.8 8.1 -139 19 -7.3 -40.3 36.5 23.5 73.5 -0.61 45.6 40.0
PJ Murphy - 26 27.0 12.3 3.9 1.2 1.2 0.2 0.8 11.5 6.4 -115 19 -6.1 -34.6 37.7 27.7 76.3 -1.86 48.0 43.7
Josh Brown - 13 30.8 8.9 4.9 1.4 1.0 0.2 2.0 7.5 6.9 -117 11 -10.6 -74.6 44.3 33.3 60.0 -2.05 52.6 50.5
Kamdyn Ayers - 20 30.4 8.8 3.7 4.3 2.2 0.1 3.2 6.1 9.8 -70 14 -5.0 -34.4 56.6 23.1 61.8 0.9 59.8 57.8
Tyler Ditton - 26 14.8 6.8 1.3 0.2 0.5 0.1 0.7 5.5 2.7 -36 19 -1.9 -18.4 40.6 36.4 75.9 1.37 56.8 54.2
Niame Scott - 7 19.3 6.7 3.1 1.1 0.1 0.0 1.6 6.4 3.1 3 8 0.4 1.9 31.1 23.5 62.5 0.37 42.3 35.6
Demetrius Thomas - 23 21.4 5.6 6.3 0.6 0.3 0.4 1.0 3.9 8.3 -44 16 -2.8 -20.2 56.7 25.0 47.2 -0.62 56.5 57.2
Conor Patton - 25 9.7 2.6 2.2 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.5 1.4 4.0 -33 20 -1.6 -24.1 69.4 40.0 70.0 0.02 73.7 72.2
Jeramiah Maxwell-Lawus - 25 10.8 2.2 2.5 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.8 2.3 3.1 -43 19 -2.3 -26.1 39.7 0.0 37.5 -1.23 40.1 39.7
Lukas Stone - 4 5.8 0.8 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 -5 2 -2.5 -9.7 50.0 50.0 0 - 75.0 75.0
Shateek Humbert - 7 2.1 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 1.0 0.0 - - - - 28.6 0.0 50.0 - 31.7 28.6
Derek Rivera - 11 6.0 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 1.2 -0.5 -33 10 -3.3 -137.7 15.4 9.1 0 -4.06 19.2 19.2
Nick Williams - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG