🐻⬇️🏀

Kentucky

Season:
Also known as: Kentucky Wildcats, Kentucky
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026 latest available
Catalog

No materialized model snapshot for 1986 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1246 (#29) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1199 (#52) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +109 elo More → 1057 (#96) HCA +109 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.2 More → +18.1 (#25) HCA +2.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.5 More → +29.0 (#29) HCA +2.5
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.714 (#62) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +7.2 More → 0.668 (#123) NetEff +7.2
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +23.7 More → 0.939 (#25) AdjNet +23.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +24.0 More → 0.942 (#25) AdjNet +24.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 84.7 | AdjD 66.4 More → 0.840 (#24) AdjO 84.7 | AdjD 66.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 78.9 | AdjD 69.2 More → 0.707 (#39) AdjO 78.9 | AdjD 69.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.931 (#30) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.906 (#32) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 101 | GP 35 More → 1232 (#49) RD 101 | GP 35

1986 Schedule & Results

No games found for this season.

1986 Roster

No roster data available for this season.