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Kentucky

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Kentucky Wildcats, Kentucky
Program History
Coach: Mark Pope

2026 Team Stats (35 games)

79.9
PPG
74.5
Opp
+5.4
Margin
46.1%
FG%
34.0%
3P%
72.3%
FT%
37.4
RPG
15.6
APG
10.8
TO
80.9
Pace
84.7
AdjO
66.4
AdjD
#24
Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More β†’ 1246 (#29) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More β†’ 1199 (#52) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +109 elo More β†’ 1057 (#96) HCA +109 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.2 More β†’ +18.1 (#25) HCA +2.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.5 More β†’ +29.0 (#29) HCA +2.5
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More β†’ 0.714 (#62) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +7.2 More β†’ 0.668 (#123) NetEff +7.2
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +23.7 More β†’ 0.939 (#25) AdjNet +23.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +24.0 More β†’ 0.942 (#25) AdjNet +24.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 84.7 | AdjD 66.4 More β†’ 0.840 (#24) AdjO 84.7 | AdjD 66.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 78.9 | AdjD 69.2 More β†’ 0.707 (#39) AdjO 78.9 | AdjD 69.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More β†’ 0.931 (#30) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More β†’ 0.906 (#32) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 101 | GP 35 More β†’ 1232 (#49) RD 101 | GP 35

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-04 vs Nicholls Colonels W 77 - 51
2025-11-07 vs Valparaiso Beacons W 107 - 59
2025-11-11 @ Louisville Cardinals L 88 - 96
2025-11-14 vs Eastern Illinois Panthers W 99 - 53
2025-11-18 vs Michigan State Spartans L 66 - 83
2025-11-21 vs Loyola Maryland Greyhounds W 88 - 46
2025-11-26 vs Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles W 104 - 54
2025-12-02 vs North Carolina Tar Heels L 64 - 67
2025-12-05 vs Gonzaga Bulldogs L 59 - 94
2025-12-13 vs Indiana Hoosiers W 72 - 60
2025-12-20 vs St. John's Red Storm W 78 - 66
2025-12-23 vs Bellarmine Knights W 99 - 85
2026-01-03 @ Alabama Crimson Tide L 74 - 89
2026-01-07 vs Missouri Tigers L 68 - 73
2026-01-10 vs Mississippi State Bulldogs W 92 - 68
2026-01-14 @ LSU Tigers W 75 - 74
2026-01-17 @ Tennessee Volunteers W 80 - 78
2026-01-21 vs Texas Longhorns W 85 - 80
2026-01-24 vs Ole Miss Rebels W 72 - 63
2026-01-27 @ Vanderbilt Commodores L 55 - 80
2026-01-31 @ Arkansas Razorbacks W 85 - 77
2026-02-04 vs Oklahoma Sooners W 94 - 78
2026-02-07 vs Tennessee Volunteers W 74 - 71
2026-02-14 @ Florida Gators L 83 - 92
2026-02-17 vs Georgia Bulldogs L 78 - 86
2026-02-21 @ Auburn Tigers L 74 - 75
2026-02-24 @ South Carolina Gamecocks W 72 - 63
2026-02-28 vs Vanderbilt Commodores W 91 - 77
2026-03-03 @ Texas A&M Aggies L 85 - 96
2026-03-07 vs Florida Gators L 77 - 84
2026-03-11 vs LSU Tigers W 87 - 82
2026-03-12 @ Missouri Tigers W 78 - 72
2026-03-13 @ Florida Gators L 63 - 71
2026-03-20 vs Santa Clara Broncos W 89 - 84
2026-03-22 @ Iowa State Cyclones L 63 - 82

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
O. Oweh O. Oweh G 35 32.9 18.6 4.7 2.7 1.7 0.2 2.1 14.0 11.8 152 6.9 9.5 45.8 32.1 73.5 1.26 55.5 50.1
D. Aberdeen D. Aberdeen G 35 30.7 13.6 2.5 3.4 0.7 0.1 1.3 10.5 8.4 163 7.4 10.9 43.1 36.7 79.8 1.01 56.6 51.5
C. Chandler C. Chandler G 35 27.0 9.8 2.7 2.1 1.2 0.3 1.1 7.3 7.6 125 5.7 9.8 43.5 41.4 82.8 0.55 61.0 57.6
J. Lowe J. Lowe G 8 19.9 9.0 2.4 2.5 0.8 0.2 0.9 8.4 5.6 56 4.0 13.8 35.8 20.8 70.4 1.05 45.6 39.6
M. Dioubate M. Dioubate F 31 21.6 8.8 5.5 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.8 5.8 10.7 60 3.5 7.0 54.2 21.4 65.2 0.35 59.8 55.9
Malachi Moreno Malachi Moreno - 35 22.5 7.6 6.3 1.8 0.5 1.5 1.3 4.5 12.0 183 8.3 15.1 57.1 0.0 69.8 1.77 62.9 57.1
K. Williams K. Williams G 23 18.8 6.2 2.0 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.6 4.5 4.9 199 10.5 21.6 45.6 37.3 95.5 2.04 63.5 59.2
A. Jelavić A. Jelavić - 31 15.7 5.3 4.0 0.7 0.4 0.4 0.9 4.7 5.3 - - - 46.9 26.4 53.3 - 53.7 53.4
J. Quaintance J. Quaintance F 4 16.5 5.0 5.0 0.5 0.5 0.8 1.5 3.5 6.8 -47 -6.7 -82.5 57.1 0 30.8 -0.23 50.7 57.1
B. Garrison B. Garrison F 35 16.4 4.7 4.2 1.0 0.5 0.9 0.9 3.5 6.8 40 1.8 4.8 55.7 25.0 56.1 0.06 58.2 57.4
Jake Johnson Jake Johnson - 34 11.8 4.4 1.0 1.6 0.1 0.1 1.0 4.1 2.1 -60 -2.7 -4.9 38.6 33.3 82.4 -0.25 51.2 48.9
T. Noah T. Noah F 26 10.0 2.7 2.2 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.3 2.1 3.3 70 4.1 13.6 33.3 31.1 82.6 0.33 53.8 46.3
W. Horn W. Horn G 6 1.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.0 -0.5 7 1.0 33.7 16.7 16.7 0 0.09 25.0 25.0
Z. Tow Z. Tow - 6 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 7 1.0 33.7 0 0 50.0 0.09 56.8 0
Braydon Hawthorne Braydon Hawthorne F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - 15 0.9 3.9 - - - -0.42 - -
R. Potter R. Potter F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG