Kentucky St.
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 890 (#449) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 822 (#489) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 871 (#635) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -13.1 (#322) | HCA +2.9 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -3.2 (#415) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.199 (#491) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 1.000 (#12) | NetEff +60.0 |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.061 (#411) | NetEff -18.8 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.210 (#518) | AdjNet -11.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.207 (#522) | AdjNet -11.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.345 (#512) | AdjO 63.6 | AdjD 70.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.389 (#536) | AdjO 60.9 | AdjD 65.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.364 (#477) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.356 (#483) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 834 (#432) | RD 93 | GP 27 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-04 | vs | Shorter | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-05 | @ | Western Ky. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-10 | vs | Walsh | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Union (TN) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-17 | @ | Edward Waters | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-20 | vs | Allen | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Benedict | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | Tuskegee | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-29 | vs | Spring Hill | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-01 | vs | Lee | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-03 | @ | Bowling Green | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Savannah St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | Clark Atlanta | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-15 | vs | Davis & Elkins | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-03 | vs | Tuskegee | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Spring Hill | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-14 | vs | Lane | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Central St. (OH) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-19 | @ | LeMoyne-Owen | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-22 | @ | Allen | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-23 | @ | Benedict | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-29 | vs | Edward Waters | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Savannah St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-02 | vs | Fort Valley St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-05 | @ | Fort Valley St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Clark Atlanta | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amina Seck | - | 20 | 18.6 | 12.3 | 7.0 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 9.7 | 11.2 | -21 | -1.2 | -6.5 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 66.2 | 0.2 | 53.9 | 50.0 |
| Aaliyah Hayes | - | 19 | 24.7 | 8.8 | 3.2 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 2.6 | 8.7 | 2.8 | -22 | -1.2 | -6.4 | 36.7 | 28.8 | 69.4 | -0.38 | 46.2 | 43.1 |
| Amyah Adair-Mars | - | 20 | 27.7 | 7.2 | 4.9 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 2.1 | 6.2 | 6.4 | -49 | -2.5 | -12.1 | 40.8 | 35.7 | 58.2 | 1.23 | 48.3 | 44.8 |
| Alycia Triplett | - | 20 | 21.3 | 6.8 | 6.2 | 0.9 | 2.5 | 0.4 | 2.1 | 7.3 | 7.3 | -21 | -1.2 | -6.2 | 35.4 | 0.0 | 68.9 | -2.68 | 40.5 | 35.4 |
| Morganne Postell | - | 18 | 16.7 | 6.8 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 5.5 | 2.2 | -22 | -1.4 | -7.1 | 43.4 | 36.8 | 71.4 | 2.45 | 52.3 | 47.0 |
| Shiyah Forte | - | 9 | 19.6 | 6.1 | 4.0 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 1.7 | 4.9 | 5.2 | -3 | -0.4 | -80.0 | 43.2 | 0 | 70.8 | -0.35 | 50.4 | 43.2 |
| Amaya Asher | - | 19 | 19.7 | 5.3 | 1.9 | 2.3 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 2.4 | 5.3 | 3.1 | -46 | -2.7 | -14.8 | 37.0 | 21.4 | 57.1 | -0.04 | 43.3 | 40.0 |
| Brittany Campbell | - | 20 | 22.8 | 3.4 | 2.5 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 0.0 | 2.6 | 4.0 | 2.4 | -30 | -1.6 | -13.2 | 30.9 | 33.3 | 50.0 | 0.31 | 37.1 | 34.6 |
| Diara McBroom | - | 20 | 18.6 | 3.2 | 3.1 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 0.0 | 2.8 | 4.4 | 2.6 | 17 | 0.9 | 7.3 | 27.3 | 0.0 | 54.8 | 0.98 | 32.0 | 27.3 |
| Saniah Sandlin | - | 20 | 8.7 | 3.1 | 2.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 3.1 | 1.4 | -17 | -1.0 | -17.8 | 37.1 | 100.0 | 55.2 | -0.1 | 42.1 | 37.9 |
| Alexis Hayes | - | 18 | 12.9 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 2.4 | 0.9 | -56 | -3.3 | -30.4 | 23.3 | 20.0 | 68.8 | -1.68 | 36.0 | 29.1 |
| TaMaiya Mims | - | 10 | 8.7 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 1.7 | -0.4 | -25 | -3.1 | -25.5 | 35.3 | 0.0 | 62.5 | -6.26 | 41.4 | 35.3 |
| Jazmin Chambers | - | 5 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 3 | 0.8 | 36.4 | 33.3 | 33.3 | 0 | -0.55 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG