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Kent State

Also known as: Kent State Golden Flashes
Program History

2013 Team Stats (2 games)

72.5
PPG
69.5
Opp
+3.0
Margin
45.6%
FG%
36.6%
3P%
70.6%
FT%
39.0
RPG
11.0
APG
15.5
TO
-
Est. poss./game
70.3
Adj PPG
67.2
Adj Opp PPG
#122
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2012-2013
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1104 (#104) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1064 (#121) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +102 elo More โ†’ 1069 (#83) HCA +102 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.1 More โ†’ +3.1 (#125) HCA +3.1
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ +2.3 (#132) HCA +3.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.630 (#105) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +4.2 More โ†’ 0.617 (#129) AdjNet +4.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +4.2 More โ†’ 0.618 (#131) AdjNet +4.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 70.3 | AdjD 67.2 More โ†’ 0.568 (#122) AdjO 70.3 | AdjD 67.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 69.6 | AdjD 67.1 More โ†’ 0.557 (#112) AdjO 69.6 | AdjD 67.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.608 (#109) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.606 (#107) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 104 | GP 34 More โ†’ 1074 (#117) RD 104 | GP 34

2013 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2012-11-09 vs Drexel Dragons W 66 - 62
2012-11-13 vs Temple Owls L 66 - 80
2012-11-16 vs Chicago State Cougars W 92 - 63
2012-11-18 vs Valparaiso Beacons L 83 - 88
2012-11-20 vs Bethune-Cookman Wildcats W 69 - 68
2012-11-24 @ Nebraska Cornhuskers W 74 - 60
2012-11-28 @ Youngstown State Penguins W 85 - 78
2012-12-01 vs Princeton Tigers L 50 - 62
2012-12-04 @ Bucknell Bison L 60 - 76
2012-12-09 @ Xavier Musketeers L 55 - 62
2012-12-20 vs St. Francis (PA) Red Flash W 77 - 48
2012-12-22 vs Arkansas State Red Wolves W 73 - 69
2012-12-30 vs Fairmont State Falcons W 77 - 75
2013-01-02 @ Cleveland State Vikings W 72 - 55
2013-01-09 vs Toledo Rockets L 58 - 70
2013-01-12 @ Ball State Cardinals W 61 - 47
2013-01-16 @ Buffalo Bulls W 80 - 68
2013-01-19 vs Akron Zips L 67 - 71
2013-01-23 @ Bowling Green Falcons L 55 - 70
2013-01-26 vs Ohio Bobcats L 68 - 69
2013-01-30 @ Northern Illinois Huskies L 65 - 67
2013-02-02 vs Eastern Michigan Eagles W 77 - 62
2013-02-06 @ Western Michigan Broncos L 76 - 82
2013-02-09 vs Central Michigan Chippewas W 87 - 72
2013-02-13 vs Miami (OH) Redhawks W 87 - 70
2013-02-16 @ Ohio Bobcats L 75 - 78
2013-02-23 @ Loyola Chicago Ramblers W 70 - 63
2013-02-27 vs Buffalo Bulls W 83 - 81
2013-03-02 @ Miami (OH) Redhawks W 78 - 58
2013-03-05 vs Bowling Green Falcons W 69 - 61
2013-03-08 @ Akron Zips W 68 - 64
2013-03-14 vs Buffalo Bulls W 70 - 68
2013-03-15 @ Akron Zips L 59 - 62
2013-03-20 vs Fairfield Stags W 73 - 71
2013-03-24 @ Loyola Maryland Greyhounds L 59 - 73

2013 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Chris Evans Chris Evans F 35 32.7 16.2 7.7 2.1 1.9 0.7 2.7 2.6 23.2 89 31 2.9 3.9 46.7 36.7 72.2 0.81 262.4 52.7
Randal Holt Randal Holt G 35 32.3 14.7 3.2 2.4 1.3 0.1 2.2 2.8 16.6 110 31 3.5 4.9 41.8 41.8 92.9 3.71 233.0 53.6
Kris Brewer Kris Brewer G 35 30.1 9.1 2.8 2.7 0.9 0.3 2.7 1.5 11.6 81 31 2.6 3.9 41.5 30.8 80.0 0.34 240.2 49.1
Darren Goodson Darren Goodson F 34 20.2 8.4 3.8 1.6 0.3 0.1 1.2 1.9 11.0 59 30 2.0 4.2 49.2 41.2 65.2 -0.43 191.0 54.6
Bryson Pope Bryson Pope G 35 18.7 4.8 3.6 0.6 0.7 0.3 0.9 0.9 8.1 -38 31 -1.2 -3.1 40.6 12.5 68.0 -3.62 195.3 42.2
Mark Henniger Mark Henniger F 35 20.5 4.7 3.6 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.8 0.7 7.9 50 31 1.6 3.6 32.0 0 61.5 0.21 266.9 32.0
Devareaux Manley Devareaux Manley G 32 11.2 4.6 1.0 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.5 5.6 3 29 0.1 0.4 43.8 42.9 75.0 -1.74 416.7 62.5
Melvin Tabb Melvin Tabb F 35 13.6 3.9 3.1 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.7 0.7 6.5 31 31 1.0 3.5 41.7 0 66.7 2.51 216.2 41.7
Kellon Thomas Kellon Thomas G 35 12.5 2.7 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.8 0.5 4.0 -39 30 -1.3 -4.9 33.3 20.0 70.0 -2.54 209.8 36.1
Chris Ortiz Chris Ortiz F 22 9.5 2.2 2.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.7 3.7 -25 21 -1.2 -6.6 37.5 25.0 80.0 -4.55 131.9 43.8
Khaliq Spicer Khaliq Spicer C 25 6.1 1.0 1.2 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.1 2.4 -34 20 -1.7 -11.6 100.0 0 0.0 -4.19 512.3 100.0
Earvin Morris Earvin Morris G 17 5.2 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 1.5 -18 11 -1.6 -13.5 0.0 0.0 0 -2.74 350.0 0.0
Brian Frank Brian Frank F 6 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 - - - - 0 0 0 -2.4 0 0
Justin Brunswick Justin Brunswick - 5 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG