Kent State
Model Outputs
2006-2007
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1201 (#60) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1120 (#91) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1098 (#44) | HCA +118 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +7.6 (#77) | HCA +3.6 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +8.0 (#71) | HCA +3.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.728 (#58) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.787 (#76) | AdjNet +11.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.792 (#76) | AdjNet +11.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.658 (#76) | AdjO 68.4 | AdjD 61.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.635 (#63) | AdjO 66.6 | AdjD 60.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.718 (#65) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.714 (#64) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1133 (#84) | RD 127 | GP 31 |
2007 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2006-11-10 | vs | South Dakota State Jackrabbits | W | 105 - 50 |
| 2006-11-11 | vs | IUPUI Jaguars | W | 81 - 74 |
| 2006-11-12 | @ | Ohio State Buckeyes | L | 59 - 81 |
| 2006-11-18 | vs | Detroit Mercy Titans | W | 61 - 48 |
| 2006-11-21 | vs | Temple Owls | W | 63 - 54 |
| 2006-11-25 | @ | Butler Bulldogs | L | 80 - 83 |
| 2006-11-29 | @ | Cleveland State Vikings | L | 59 - 66 |
| 2006-12-09 | @ | Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | W | 79 - 69 |
| 2006-12-19 | @ | Duke Blue Devils | L | 72 - 79 |
| 2006-12-22 | vs | Youngstown State Penguins | L | 58 - 62 |
| 2006-12-29 | vs | Shawnee State Bears | W | 70 - 47 |
| 2006-12-30 | vs | New Hampshire Wildcats | W | 74 - 47 |
| 2007-01-02 | @ | Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders | L | 73 - 81 |
| 2007-01-07 | @ | Miami (OH) Redhawks | L | 63 - 65 |
| 2007-01-10 | @ | Buffalo Bulls | W | 69 - 56 |
| 2007-01-14 | vs | Ohio Bobcats | W | 67 - 65 |
| 2007-01-17 | @ | Akron Zips | L | 68 - 78 |
| 2007-01-20 | vs | Bowling Green Falcons | W | 62 - 61 |
| 2007-01-24 | @ | Ball State Cardinals | W | 60 - 54 |
| 2007-01-27 | @ | Northern Illinois Huskies | W | 68 - 49 |
| 2007-01-31 | vs | Central Michigan Chippewas | W | 61 - 45 |
| 2007-02-03 | vs | Eastern Michigan Eagles | W | 82 - 46 |
| 2007-02-06 | vs | Toledo Rockets | W | 64 - 60 |
| 2007-02-11 | @ | Western Michigan Broncos | L | 57 - 79 |
| 2007-02-14 | vs | Miami (OH) Redhawks | W | 61 - 45 |
| 2007-02-17 | @ | George Mason Patriots | W | 68 - 62 |
| 2007-02-21 | vs | Buffalo Bulls | W | 68 - 64 |
| 2007-02-24 | @ | Ohio Bobcats | W | 73 - 71 |
| 2007-03-01 | @ | Bowling Green Falcons | W | 77 - 64 |
| 2007-03-04 | vs | Akron Zips | L | 64 - 66 |
| 2007-03-08 | vs | Western Michigan Broncos | W | 75 - 66 |
| 2007-03-09 | @ | Akron Zips | L | 54 - 61 |
2007 Roster
No roster data available for this season.