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Kansas State

Also known as: Kansas State Wildcats, Kansas State
Program History

2018 Team Stats (19 games)

70.2
PPG
71.6
Opp
-1.4
Margin
45.2%
FG%
36.8%
3P%
71.9%
FT%
29.5
RPG
13.8
APG
11.8
TO
-
Est. poss./game
71.9
Adj PPG
61.4
Adj Opp PPG
#46
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2017-2018
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1342 (#23) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1234 (#29) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More โ†’ 1109 (#42) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More โ†’ +11.6 (#46) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More โ†’ +10.6 (#49) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.665 (#90) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +16.9 More โ†’ 0.876 (#44) AdjNet +16.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +17.1 More โ†’ 0.878 (#44) AdjNet +17.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 71.9 | AdjD 61.4 More โ†’ 0.723 (#46) AdjO 71.9 | AdjD 61.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 68.0 | AdjD 62.5 More โ†’ 0.623 (#68) AdjO 68.0 | AdjD 62.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.796 (#30) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.781 (#32) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 87 | GP 37 More โ†’ 1294 (#15) RD 87 | GP 37

2018 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2017-11-10 vs American University Eagles W 83 - 45
2017-11-14 vs Kansas City Roos W 72 - 51
2017-11-17 vs UC Irvine Anteaters W 71 - 49
2017-11-20 vs Northern Arizona Lumberjacks W 80 - 58
2017-11-23 vs Arizona State Sun Devils L 90 - 92
2017-11-24 @ George Washington Revolutionaries W 67 - 59
2017-11-29 vs Oral Roberts Golden Eagles W 77 - 68
2017-12-03 @ Vanderbilt Commodores W 84 - 79
2017-12-05 vs South Carolina Upstate Spartans W 86 - 49
2017-12-09 vs Tulsa Golden Hurricane L 54 - 61
2017-12-16 vs Southeast Missouri State Redhawks W 89 - 71
2017-12-20 @ Washington State Cougars W 68 - 65
2017-12-29 @ Iowa State Cyclones W 91 - 75
2018-01-01 vs West Virginia Mountaineers L 69 - 77
2018-01-06 @ Texas Tech Red Raiders L 58 - 74
2018-01-10 vs Oklahoma State Cowboys W 86 - 82
2018-01-13 @ Kansas Jayhawks L 72 - 73
2018-01-16 vs Oklahoma Sooners W 87 - 69
2018-01-20 vs TCU Horned Frogs W 73 - 68
2018-01-22 @ Baylor Bears W 90 - 83
2018-01-27 vs Georgia Bulldogs W 56 - 51
2018-01-29 vs Kansas Jayhawks L 56 - 70
2018-02-03 @ West Virginia Mountaineers L 51 - 89
2018-02-07 @ Texas Longhorns W 67 - 64
2018-02-10 vs Texas Tech Red Raiders L 47 - 66
2018-02-14 @ Oklahoma State Cowboys W 82 - 72
2018-02-17 vs Iowa State Cyclones W 78 - 66
2018-02-21 vs Texas Longhorns W 58 - 48
2018-02-24 @ Oklahoma Sooners L 77 - 86
2018-02-27 @ TCU Horned Frogs L 59 - 66
2018-03-03 vs Baylor Bears W 77 - 67
2018-03-08 vs TCU Horned Frogs W 66 - 64
2018-03-09 @ Kansas Jayhawks L 67 - 83
2018-03-16 @ Creighton Bluejays W 69 - 59
2018-03-18 vs UMBC Retrievers W 50 - 43
2018-03-22 @ Kentucky Wildcats W 61 - 58
2018-03-24 vs Loyola Chicago Ramblers L 62 - 78

2018 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Dean Wade Dean Wade - 33 32.8 16.2 6.2 2.7 1.5 0.8 1.4 6.0 19.9 134 21 6.4 8.6 52.8 45.6 77.0 3.49 118.0 59.3
Barry Brown Barry Brown G 37 34.7 15.9 3.2 3.2 1.8 0.1 2.6 7.6 14.1 108 25 4.3 5.7 40.4 28.4 76.1 2.31 88.9 44.5
Xavier Sneed Xavier Sneed - 37 31.4 11.1 5.1 1.8 1.6 0.3 1.1 6.1 12.7 100 25 4.0 5.5 44.9 38.1 75.0 1.32 81.9 55.6
Kamau Stokes Kamau Stokes G 30 27.0 9.0 2.5 3.4 1.2 0.0 1.9 4.6 9.7 72 20 3.6 5.8 36.5 28.4 77.3 0.58 86.3 44.9
Cartier Diarra Cartier Diarra G 37 23.8 7.1 2.5 2.0 0.8 0.1 1.9 3.4 7.1 100 25 4.0 7.3 46.8 48.2 69.8 3.89 90.0 57.5
Makol Mawien Makol Mawien F 37 20.1 6.8 3.4 0.3 0.5 1.1 1.1 3.0 8.1 83 25 3.3 7.0 56.2 28.6 73.5 1.12 99.6 57.1
Mike McGuirl Mike McGuirl G 12 12.5 3.3 1.5 0.9 0.2 0.1 0.5 3.2 2.3 -54 11 -4.9 -15.6 33.3 23.8 75.0 -3.08 45.2 39.7
Amaad Wainright Amaad Wainright G 36 13.1 2.8 2.3 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.5 1.3 4.4 -13 25 -0.5 -2.1 45.8 31.8 37.5 -2.41 89.9 53.1
Mawdo Sallah Mawdo Sallah F 21 7.7 1.8 1.9 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.5 3.3 62 13 4.8 31.2 36.4 0 33.3 1.03 123.7 36.4
L. Stockard III L. Stockard III F 36 8.6 1.8 1.7 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.9 2.4 -20 24 -0.8 -4.2 62.5 0 66.7 -2.98 91.8 62.5
Brian Patrick Brian Patrick G 26 7.8 1.6 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.2 1.1 1.5 -35 17 -2.1 -12.6 34.5 25.0 100.0 -5.1 70.3 44.8
Nigel Shadd Nigel Shadd F 7 7.1 1.3 2.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.4 2.7 - - - - 33.3 0 66.7 0.35 104.2 33.3
Pierson McAtee Pierson McAtee F 10 2.0 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.7 3 7 0.4 8.6 0.0 0.0 100.0 -1.01 138.9 0.0
James Love James Love C 15 4.6 0.7 0.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.3 1.1 -23 10 -2.3 -17.6 0.0 0 0.0 -2.45 112.6 0.0
Mason Schoen Mason Schoen G 12 1.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 -0.2 0 8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 -1.03 0.0 0.0
Kade Kinnamon Kade Kinnamon G 10 1.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 4 7 0.6 20.7 0 0 0 -0.3 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG