Kalamazoo
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 863 (#568) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 788 (#601) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 752 (#773) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -19.6 (#363) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -21.9 (#698) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.184 (#682) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.069 (#61) | NetEff -21.7 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.117 (#623) | AdjNet -17.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.111 (#623) | AdjNet -17.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.238 (#609) | AdjO 69.1 | AdjD 81.9 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.191 (#746) | AdjO 65.5 | AdjD 81.4 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.108 (#745) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.112 (#747) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 658 (#631) | RD 112 | GP 21 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | @ | Grinnell | L | 74 - 102 |
| 2025-11-09 | @ | Loras | L | 52 - 105 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Dominican (IL) | W | 83 - 75 |
| 2025-11-16 | vs | Colorado Col. | L | 67 - 83 |
| 2025-11-21 | vs | Bluffton | L | 67 - 72 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Earlham | W | 73 - 68 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | UChicago | L | 64 - 103 |
| 2025-12-10 | @ | Wabash | W | 85 - 84 |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Illinois Tech | L | 83 - 91 |
| 2025-12-29 | @ | Oberlin | L | 56 - 79 |
| 2025-12-30 | @ | CWRU | L | 80 - 97 |
| 2026-01-07 | @ | Adrian | L | 55 - 77 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Albion | L | 71 - 81 |
| 2026-01-14 | vs | Calvin | L | 47 - 81 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Olivet | L | 68 - 95 |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Hope | L | 66 - 74 |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Alma | L | 65 - 79 |
| 2026-01-28 | @ | Trine | L | 62 - 81 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Olivet | L | 75 - 82 |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | Hope | L | 62 - 75 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Calvin | L | 55 - 91 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Richardson | - | 1 | 33.0 | 23.0 | 2.0 | 11.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 15.0 | 26.0 | -22 | -1.1 | -3.8 | 66.7 | 50.0 | 0 | 1.82 | 76.7 | 76.7 |
| Porter Kretschman | - | 1 | 26.0 | 14.0 | 11.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 25.0 | -33 | -1.6 | -5.9 | 85.7 | 0 | 66.7 | -0.79 | 84.1 | 85.7 |
| Asher Nofziger | - | 1 | 28.5 | 13.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 11.0 | 11.0 | 4 | 0.2 | 1.9 | 27.3 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.51 | 46.2 | 27.3 |
| Gavin Carter | - | 1 | 32.7 | 12.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 15.0 | 7 | 0.4 | 2.7 | 44.4 | 50.0 | 100.0 | 1.77 | 60.7 | 55.6 |
| Lucas Hanifan | - | 16 | 30.0 | 11.7 | 3.6 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 0.1 | 1.8 | 11.0 | 5.9 | -137 | -7.6 | -37.6 | 34.1 | 24.2 | 72.6 | -2.6 | 46.0 | 40.3 |
| Sean Shenker | - | 1 | 23.0 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 60 | 3.2 | 12.2 | 40.0 | 42.9 | 0 | 3.62 | 55.0 | 55.0 |
| Carter Bandemer | - | 18 | 28.1 | 10.3 | 3.7 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 8.6 | 6.1 | -91 | -4.5 | -28.1 | 39.6 | 35.4 | 62.5 | 0.06 | 53.1 | 50.6 |
| Patrick Perez | - | 19 | 22.0 | 10.3 | 3.8 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 1.9 | 8.7 | 5.7 | -41 | -2.0 | -12.1 | 47.0 | 27.9 | 62.2 | 3.69 | 52.7 | 50.6 |
| Russell MacFarlane | - | 1 | 18.6 | 10.0 | 13.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 9.0 | 12.0 | -79 | -4.0 | -156.0 | 55.6 | 0 | 0 | -0.76 | 55.6 | 55.6 |
| Orion Samikoglu | - | 1 | 29.9 | 10.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 11.0 | 4.0 | -14 | -0.7 | -19.2 | 36.4 | 33.3 | 0 | -1.73 | 45.5 | 45.5 |
| Dougie Blackwood | - | 3 | 13.8 | 10.0 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 8.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 45.8 | 37.5 | 83.3 | - | 56.3 | 52.1 |
| TJ Satcher | - | 1 | 16.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 27 | 1.5 | 43.0 | 60.0 | 50.0 | 0 | 0.9 | 80.0 | 80.0 |
| Connor Kouki | - | 19 | 21.5 | 6.9 | 3.2 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 6.2 | 4.0 | -51 | -2.4 | -17.2 | 38.1 | 25.0 | 57.7 | 1.95 | 46.5 | 42.8 |
| Nelson Sompa | - | 19 | 27.4 | 6.0 | 2.9 | 3.7 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 2.0 | 5.5 | 6.4 | -75 | -3.6 | -19.9 | 43.3 | 25.0 | 59.4 | -3.43 | 48.3 | 45.7 |
| Nick Brashear | - | 1 | 9.7 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 8 | 0.5 | 55.2 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 75.0 | -0.14 | 108.7 | 150.0 |
| Mike Okello | - | 1 | 19.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 6.0 | 18 | 0.9 | 6.9 | 37.5 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.82 | 37.5 | 37.5 |
| JJ Stevens | - | 15 | 12.6 | 5.8 | 3.9 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 1.4 | 4.5 | 5.4 | 3 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 49.3 | 20.0 | 54.1 | -1.04 | 52.2 | 50.0 |
| Jackson Keefer | - | 19 | 17.4 | 5.1 | 2.5 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 5.7 | 2.2 | -29 | -1.4 | -9.4 | 30.6 | 28.2 | 75.0 | 4.4 | 42.8 | 40.7 |
| Gavin Van Kampen | - | 17 | 15.9 | 4.6 | 3.6 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 1.7 | 3.8 | 4.7 | -89 | -4.9 | -93.5 | 41.5 | 0.0 | 61.0 | -1.06 | 47.6 | 41.5 |
| Zander Nash | - | 13 | 16.5 | 4.4 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 1.3 | 2.8 | 4.6 | -15 | -1.1 | -11.0 | 43.2 | 53.8 | 75.0 | 1.73 | 59.9 | 52.7 |
| Terrion Benson | - | 1 | 11.7 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 10 | 0.5 | 12.7 | 40.0 | 0 | 0 | 2.17 | 40.0 | 40.0 |
| Christian Drummond | - | 1 | 18.8 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 40.0 | 40.0 |
| Kayden Neiderquill | - | 1 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 10 | 1.7 | 98.8 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | 0.01 | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Caleb Caul | - | 13 | 8.6 | 2.9 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 2.2 | 1.8 | -49 | -3.5 | -53.8 | 25.0 | 12.5 | 71.9 | 0.64 | 45.2 | 26.8 |
| Corey Shively | - | 1 | 5.4 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Logan Walton | - | 1 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 16 | 2.3 | 87.9 | 33.3 | 0 | 0 | 2.0 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Ben VanSumeren | - | 19 | 9.5 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 2.3 | 1.5 | -47 | -2.2 | -28.9 | 27.9 | 14.3 | 63.6 | -1.19 | 35.5 | 31.4 |
| Trey Bolling | - | 11 | 4.8 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 1.6 | -35 | -2.7 | -133.8 | 54.5 | 0 | 58.3 | 0.43 | 58.4 | 54.5 |
| John Kaul | - | 7 | 7.7 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 1.9 | 0.0 | 40 | 5.0 | 62.9 | 7.7 | 11.1 | 50.0 | 3.1 | 16.9 | 11.5 |
| Ryan Kranz | - | 1 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -60 | -4.0 | -50.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.26 | 0 | 0 |
| Noah Deitch | - | 1 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 0.1 | 8.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.08 | 0 | 0 |
| Kamran Dubois | - | 1 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3 | 0.8 | 32.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.24 | 0 | 0 |
| Kyle Kihlberg | - | 1 | 10.7 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -28 | -1.4 | -15.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.08 | 0 | 0 |
| Lee Hardy | - | 1 | 18.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | -35 | -1.8 | -11.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.35 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG