Juniata
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1026 (#182) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1004 (#230) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -8.3 (#275) | HCA +2.4 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.127 (#619) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.230 (#319) | NetEff -9.2 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.139 (#523) | AdjNet -15.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.126 (#525) | AdjNet -16.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.287 (#514) | AdjO 56.4 | AdjD 66.4 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-11 | vs | Penn St.-Altoona | W | 86 - 82 |
| 2024-11-16 | @ | Marywood | L | 53 - 63 |
| 2024-11-19 | vs | Lycoming | W | 66 - 57 |
| 2024-11-23 | @ | Scranton | L | 38 - 84 |
| 2024-11-25 | @ | Misericordia | L | 57 - 59 |
| 2024-12-04 | @ | Elizabethtown | L | 64 - 86 |
| 2024-12-07 | vs | Wilkes | W | 64 - 40 |
| 2024-12-14 | vs | Messiah | L | 50 - 65 |
| 2024-12-30 | vs | King's (PA) | W | 70 - 55 |
| 2024-12-31 | vs | Salisbury | W | 57 - 50 |
| 2025-01-04 | @ | Lebanon Valley | L | 41 - 53 |
| 2025-01-08 | vs | Moravian | W | 66 - 52 |
| 2025-01-11 | @ | Goucher | L | 99 - 103 |
| 2025-01-15 | @ | Catholic | L | 74 - 90 |
| 2025-01-18 | @ | Drew | L | 54 - 55 |
| 2025-01-22 | vs | Susquehanna | L | 53 - 75 |
| 2025-01-25 | vs | Scranton | L | 58 - 85 |
| 2025-01-29 | vs | Elizabethtown | L | 70 - 81 |
| 2025-02-01 | @ | Wilkes | W | 68 - 56 |
| 2025-02-05 | @ | Lycoming | W | 60 - 52 |
| 2025-02-08 | vs | Drew | L | 58 - 62 |
| 2025-02-12 | vs | Catholic | L | 48 - 74 |
| 2025-02-15 | vs | Goucher | W | 90 - 87 |
| 2025-02-19 | @ | Susquehanna | L | 48 - 82 |
| 2025-02-22 | @ | Moravian | W | 69 - 57 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Haily Sherman | - | 25 | 30.4 | 16.2 | 5.0 | 1.1 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 2.0 | 15.3 | 7.8 | -35 | -1.5 | -1.9 | 43.6 | 27.7 | 67.7 | -0.11 | 49.1 | 47.0 |
| Steph Emert | - | 22 | 27.7 | 12.9 | 4.3 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 0.3 | 2.4 | 10.6 | 8.1 | 5 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 37.6 | 33.3 | 83.5 | 0.21 | 51.8 | 44.4 |
| Bri Bodtorf | - | 25 | 31.9 | 10.2 | 6.1 | 4.8 | 2.2 | 0.6 | 4.0 | 10.9 | 9.0 | -36 | -1.1 | -1.3 | 36.4 | 19.7 | 72.1 | 0.07 | 42.8 | 39.0 |
| Laney Gerdich | - | 25 | 26.1 | 8.4 | 7.4 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 1.3 | 6.3 | 10.0 | -43 | -1.3 | -1.7 | 52.5 | 0.0 | 72.9 | -0.18 | 56.8 | 52.5 |
| Emily Mccann | - | 13 | 14.5 | 3.4 | 2.2 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 3.1 | 2.6 | -30 | -0.9 | -1.5 | 27.5 | 21.1 | 75.0 | -0.06 | 43.5 | 32.5 |
| Sarah Betts | - | 21 | 11.1 | 3.4 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 2.9 | 2.1 | -5 | -0.2 | -0.5 | 42.6 | 38.5 | 78.9 | 0.31 | 51.9 | 46.7 |
| Olivia Berg | - | 25 | 26.5 | 3.1 | 2.5 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 2.4 | 4.5 | 1.4 | -8 | -0.2 | -0.4 | 20.5 | 17.6 | 76.0 | -0.06 | 31.3 | 25.9 |
| Deja Gillo | - | 23 | 16.9 | 3.0 | 2.2 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 1.9 | 3.8 | 1.0 | -49 | -2.3 | -3.6 | 23.9 | 19.6 | 71.4 | -0.3 | 35.0 | 30.1 |
| Emma Coolidge | - | 24 | 12.0 | 2.9 | 2.7 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 3.2 | 1.9 | 6 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 37.2 | 22.2 | 52.6 | -0.34 | 40.5 | 38.5 |
| Emelie Nonemaker | - | 20 | 6.3 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 13 | 0.9 | 2.9 | 53.3 | 0 | 55.6 | 0.4 | 55.4 | 53.3 |
| Cate Clarke | - | 2 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | -11 | -1.8 | -10.3 | 0.0 | 0 | 50.0 | -0.15 | 26.6 | 0.0 |
| Gemma Navickas | - | 14 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.1 | -22 | -1.7 | -7.5 | 28.6 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.07 | 25.4 | 28.6 |
| Dani Scipioni | - | 14 | 2.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | -11 | -2.2 | -10.1 | 50.0 | 0 | 100.0 | -0.09 | 69.4 | 50.0 |
| Aleya Eisenberg | - | 7 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Cate Clark | - | 12 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | -0.1 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0 | 0 | - | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Michaela Owens | - | 16 | 1.6 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.3 | -28 | -1.9 | -7.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 100.0 | 0.41 | 53.2 | 0.0 |
| Mckenna Kelley | - | 2 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Paytan Henry | - | 7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Chloe Sauer | - | 9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Kathryn Della | - | 7 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | -0.3 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Halie Green | - | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -34 | -5.7 | -22.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.52 | 0 | 0 |
| Cassidy Sadler | - | 4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG