🐻⬇️🏀

Johnson C. Smith

Also known as: Johnson C. Smith
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 933 (#427) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 895 (#439) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 855 (#645) HCA +75 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → -8.9 (#244) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → -11.3 (#524) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.197 (#492) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -4.2 More → 0.346 (#321) NetEff -4.2
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -11.3 More → 0.215 (#515) AdjNet -11.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -11.3 More → 0.209 (#519) AdjNet -11.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 57.6 | AdjD 64.1 More → 0.358 (#500) AdjO 57.6 | AdjD 64.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 54.1 | AdjD 62.5 More → 0.317 (#604) AdjO 54.1 | AdjD 62.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.219 (#587) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.228 (#587) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 145 | GP 5 More → 827 (#446) RD 145 | GP 5

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-01-21 vs Shaw W 50 - 42
2026-01-29 @ Winston-Salem L 41 - 59
2026-02-02 @ Claflin L 44 - 63
2026-02-04 vs Livingstone L 67 - 76
2026-02-07 @ Livingstone L 51 - 63

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Salote Franklin - 5 28.5 12.0 11.2 2.0 1.2 0.6 2.0 9.2 15.8 18 1.1 13.6 54.3 100.0 45.0 0.67 54.7 55.4
La'Niya Simes - 5 24.4 9.4 9.6 1.0 1.8 0.0 3.4 10.8 7.6 16 0.9 11.8 37.0 0.0 63.6 -0.49 39.9 37.0
Rylee Ghent - 5 18.0 5.8 1.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.2 7.8 -1.0 -18 -1.0 -24.5 30.8 20.0 66.7 -0.6 34.8 32.1
Amya Graham - 5 11.1 4.8 2.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.8 3.6 2.8 -22 -1.6 -150.0 61.1 0 40.0 -0.6 59.4 61.1
Tameia Shaw - 5 19.4 4.2 1.8 1.4 1.2 0.2 1.6 7.4 -0.2 -53 -2.9 -63.7 18.9 20.0 66.7 0.42 25.6 20.3
Sabrina Lewis - 5 12.2 3.2 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 3.6 -0.2 -22 -2.4 -37.2 33.3 44.4 0 -3.15 44.4 44.4
Taylor Turner - 5 14.1 3.0 1.6 0.6 0.2 0.0 2.2 3.8 -0.6 -22 -1.6 -61.0 36.8 0.0 25.0 -0.5 36.1 36.8
Egypt Coleman - 5 7.0 2.6 1.2 0.2 0.6 0.0 0.6 2.2 1.8 -1 -0.1 -1.5 45.5 0 50.0 2.2 47.7 45.5
Nia Hunter - 5 12.1 2.0 0.8 0.4 0.6 0.0 1.0 4.0 -1.2 -2 -0.1 -4.0 20.0 0.0 28.6 0.37 21.7 20.0
Nyasia James - 5 20.6 1.8 1.6 1.4 0.8 0.0 1.0 3.0 1.6 -17 -0.9 -20.0 20.0 0.0 75.0 -0.81 26.8 20.0
Kamryn Williamson - 5 13.5 1.4 1.8 0.4 1.2 0.0 1.0 2.8 1.0 41 2.6 64.6 7.1 0.0 83.3 -0.68 21.0 7.1
Jhaid Westbrook - 5 14.9 0.4 2.2 0.6 0.6 0.0 1.4 1.4 1.0 9 0.6 12.6 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.77 12.7 14.3
Kyshonna Brown - 1 21.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 -4.0 -2 -0.1 -1.0 0.0 0 0 -2.58 0.0 0.0
Somer Wilson - 2 8.6 0.0 2.0 0.0 1.5 0.0 2.0 1.5 0.0 -52 -2.6 -24.0 0.0 0.0 0 -1.43 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG