Johnson C. Smith
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 933 (#427) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 895 (#439) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 855 (#645) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -8.9 (#244) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -11.3 (#524) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.197 (#492) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.346 (#321) | NetEff -4.2 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.215 (#515) | AdjNet -11.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.209 (#519) | AdjNet -11.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.358 (#500) | AdjO 57.6 | AdjD 64.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.317 (#604) | AdjO 54.1 | AdjD 62.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.219 (#587) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.228 (#587) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 827 (#446) | RD 145 | GP 5 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Shaw | W | 50 - 42 |
| 2026-01-29 | @ | Winston-Salem | L | 41 - 59 |
| 2026-02-02 | @ | Claflin | L | 44 - 63 |
| 2026-02-04 | vs | Livingstone | L | 67 - 76 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Livingstone | L | 51 - 63 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salote Franklin | - | 5 | 28.5 | 12.0 | 11.2 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 2.0 | 9.2 | 15.8 | 18 | 1.1 | 13.6 | 54.3 | 100.0 | 45.0 | 0.67 | 54.7 | 55.4 |
| La'Niya Simes | - | 5 | 24.4 | 9.4 | 9.6 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 3.4 | 10.8 | 7.6 | 16 | 0.9 | 11.8 | 37.0 | 0.0 | 63.6 | -0.49 | 39.9 | 37.0 |
| Rylee Ghent | - | 5 | 18.0 | 5.8 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 7.8 | -1.0 | -18 | -1.0 | -24.5 | 30.8 | 20.0 | 66.7 | -0.6 | 34.8 | 32.1 |
| Amya Graham | - | 5 | 11.1 | 4.8 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 3.6 | 2.8 | -22 | -1.6 | -150.0 | 61.1 | 0 | 40.0 | -0.6 | 59.4 | 61.1 |
| Tameia Shaw | - | 5 | 19.4 | 4.2 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 1.6 | 7.4 | -0.2 | -53 | -2.9 | -63.7 | 18.9 | 20.0 | 66.7 | 0.42 | 25.6 | 20.3 |
| Sabrina Lewis | - | 5 | 12.2 | 3.2 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 3.6 | -0.2 | -22 | -2.4 | -37.2 | 33.3 | 44.4 | 0 | -3.15 | 44.4 | 44.4 |
| Taylor Turner | - | 5 | 14.1 | 3.0 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 2.2 | 3.8 | -0.6 | -22 | -1.6 | -61.0 | 36.8 | 0.0 | 25.0 | -0.5 | 36.1 | 36.8 |
| Egypt Coleman | - | 5 | 7.0 | 2.6 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 2.2 | 1.8 | -1 | -0.1 | -1.5 | 45.5 | 0 | 50.0 | 2.2 | 47.7 | 45.5 |
| Nia Hunter | - | 5 | 12.1 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | -1.2 | -2 | -0.1 | -4.0 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 28.6 | 0.37 | 21.7 | 20.0 |
| Nyasia James | - | 5 | 20.6 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1.6 | -17 | -0.9 | -20.0 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 75.0 | -0.81 | 26.8 | 20.0 |
| Kamryn Williamson | - | 5 | 13.5 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.8 | 1.0 | 41 | 2.6 | 64.6 | 7.1 | 0.0 | 83.3 | -0.68 | 21.0 | 7.1 |
| Jhaid Westbrook | - | 5 | 14.9 | 0.4 | 2.2 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 9 | 0.6 | 12.6 | 14.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.77 | 12.7 | 14.3 |
| Kyshonna Brown | - | 1 | 21.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | -4.0 | -2 | -0.1 | -1.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -2.58 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Somer Wilson | - | 2 | 8.6 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | -52 | -2.6 | -24.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.43 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG