John Jay
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 964 (#316) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 931 (#334) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -23.7 (#367) | HCA +2.4 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.513 (#442) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.310 (#294) | NetEff -5.5 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.048 (#607) | AdjNet -25.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.038 (#610) | AdjNet -27.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.171 (#612) | AdjO 56.1 | AdjD 73.5 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-09 | @ | Rosemont | W | 87 - 43 |
| 2024-11-12 | @ | TCNJ | L | 59 - 92 |
| 2024-11-16 | @ | Sarah Lawrence | W | 66 - 57 |
| 2024-11-19 | vs | Saint Joseph (CT) | L | 66 - 79 |
| 2024-11-23 | vs | WestConn | L | 59 - 69 |
| 2024-11-26 | vs | Amherst | L | 47 - 88 |
| 2024-11-30 | @ | UMSV | L | 52 - 60 |
| 2024-12-06 | @ | Brooklyn | L | 37 - 66 |
| 2024-12-09 | vs | Arcadia | L | 51 - 63 |
| 2024-12-14 | vs | Houghton | L | 55 - 82 |
| 2024-12-30 | @ | St. Joseph's (L.I.) | L | 57 - 66 |
| 2025-01-06 | vs | Wesleyan (CT) | L | 47 - 84 |
| 2025-01-08 | @ | York (NY) | W | 63 - 29 |
| 2025-01-11 | vs | Hunter | L | 50 - 69 |
| 2025-01-15 | vs | Baruch | L | 57 - 68 |
| 2025-01-18 | @ | Lehman | W | 65 - 46 |
| 2025-01-22 | vs | CCNY | W | 70 - 32 |
| 2025-01-24 | vs | Medgar Evers | W | 73 - 51 |
| 2025-01-28 | vs | York (NY) | W | 76 - 51 |
| 2025-01-31 | @ | Hunter | L | 50 - 71 |
| 2025-02-04 | @ | Baruch | L | 66 - 69 |
| 2025-02-08 | vs | Brooklyn | W | 56 - 55 |
| 2025-02-12 | vs | Lehman | W | 64 - 49 |
| 2025-02-14 | @ | CCNY | W | 77 - 62 |
| 2025-02-18 | @ | Medgar Evers | W | 66 - 63 |
| 2025-02-22 | vs | Lehman | W | 67 - 51 |
| 2025-02-25 | @ | Hunter | L | 62 - 73 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashley Zeolla | - | 27 | 32.7 | 16.3 | 7.6 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 4.0 | 14.3 | 9.9 | 10 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 37.0 | 12.3 | 72.6 | -0.22 | 46.3 | 38.0 |
| Michaela Lattimore | - | 27 | 24.0 | 14.8 | 10.1 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 2.6 | 13.6 | 12.2 | 132 | 3.7 | 4.5 | 45.2 | 0 | 63.8 | 0.53 | 48.3 | 45.2 |
| Ayanna Edwards | - | 26 | 32.1 | 8.6 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 1.9 | 0.2 | 3.8 | 7.8 | 7.0 | 17 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 37.7 | 24.4 | 74.4 | 0.09 | 46.8 | 40.4 |
| Briana Minick | - | 27 | 19.0 | 5.3 | 4.4 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 2.4 | 6.3 | 3.5 | 122 | 3.5 | 5.1 | 31.0 | 20.8 | 68.8 | -0.29 | 37.5 | 32.5 |
| Natalie Simonds | - | 27 | 22.6 | 5.3 | 2.6 | 2.3 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 1.7 | 6.9 | 2.3 | 163 | 4.7 | 5.5 | 26.9 | 20.3 | 73.7 | 0.12 | 35.3 | 30.9 |
| Essence Richardson | - | 27 | 21.4 | 4.6 | 3.8 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 1.5 | 5.2 | 3.9 | 75 | 2.1 | 3.7 | 36.2 | 24.1 | 41.2 | -0.34 | 41.4 | 41.1 |
| Alexis Jones | - | 27 | 17.1 | 3.6 | 2.3 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 2.3 | 5.3 | 0.6 | 85 | 2.4 | 4.6 | 26.6 | 23.2 | 75.0 | 0.02 | 33.0 | 31.1 |
| Hadja Bah | - | 26 | 19.3 | 1.5 | 4.3 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 4.0 | -17 | -0.7 | -1.1 | 21.6 | 10.0 | 63.0 | -0.09 | 31.8 | 22.5 |
| Morgan Kimmi | - | 27 | 10.0 | 1.3 | 2.6 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 2.1 | 1.6 | -5 | -0.2 | -0.4 | 26.8 | 0 | 60.0 | -0.37 | 29.8 | 26.8 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG