Jessup
Also known as: Jessup
Program History
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 948 (#200) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 944 (#208) | HCA +87 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 948 (#202) | HCA +85 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | +7.1 (#165) | HCA +2.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | +6.4 (#177) | HCA +2.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.521 (#159) | - |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.567 (#188) | AdjO 78.1 | AdjD 75.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.557 (#188) | AdjO 77.7 | AdjD 75.2 |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 930 (#210) | RD 178 | GP 21 |
Rank through the season
League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.
Elo
Points Off/Def Recency
2025-2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Stanislaus St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Cal St. East Bay | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-21 | vs | Cal St. Monterey Bay | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Cal Poly Humboldt | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-26 | vs | Cal Maritime | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-04 | vs | Point Loma | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Biola | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-16 | @ | Menlo | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-18 | @ | Dominican (CA) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-20 | vs | Pacific Union | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-03 | vs | Hawaii Hilo | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | CUI | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-20 | @ | Fresno Pacific | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-22 | vs | Menlo | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Dominican (CA) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-29 | @ | CUI | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Biola | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-13 | @ | Hawaii Hilo | W | 77 - 67 |
| 2026-02-14 | @ | Chaminade | L | 82 - 91 |
| 2026-02-17 | @ | Hawaii Pacific | W | 85 - 77 |
| 2026-02-24 | vs | Vanguard | L | 71 - 75 |
| 2026-02-28 | vs | Chaminade | W | 93 - 80 |
2025-2026 Roster
No roster data available for this season.