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Jessup

Season: 2025-2026 2024-2025 2023-2024
Also known as: Jessup
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 948 (#200) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. HCA +87 elo More โ†’ 944 (#208) HCA +87 elo
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +85 elo More โ†’ 948 (#202) HCA +85 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More โ†’ +7.1 (#165) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.7 More โ†’ +6.4 (#177) HCA +2.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.521 (#159) -
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 78.1 | AdjD 75.1 More โ†’ 0.567 (#188) AdjO 78.1 | AdjD 75.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 77.7 | AdjD 75.2 More โ†’ 0.557 (#188) AdjO 77.7 | AdjD 75.2
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 178 | GP 21 More โ†’ 930 (#210) RD 178 | GP 21

Rank through the season

League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.

Elo Points Off/Def Recency

2025-2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-14 @ Stanislaus St. - Incomplete score
2025-11-15 @ Cal St. East Bay - Incomplete score
2025-11-21 vs Cal St. Monterey Bay - Incomplete score
2025-11-22 vs Cal Poly Humboldt - Incomplete score
2025-11-26 vs Cal Maritime - Incomplete score
2025-12-04 vs Point Loma - Incomplete score
2025-12-06 vs Biola - Incomplete score
2025-12-16 @ Menlo - Incomplete score
2025-12-18 @ Dominican (CA) - Incomplete score
2025-12-20 vs Pacific Union - Incomplete score
2026-01-03 vs Hawaii Hilo - Incomplete score
2026-01-17 vs CUI - Incomplete score
2026-01-20 @ Fresno Pacific - Incomplete score
2026-01-22 vs Menlo - Incomplete score
2026-01-24 vs Dominican (CA) - Incomplete score
2026-01-29 @ CUI - Incomplete score
2026-01-31 @ Biola - Incomplete score
2026-02-13 @ Hawaii Hilo W 77 - 67
2026-02-14 @ Chaminade L 82 - 91
2026-02-17 @ Hawaii Pacific W 85 - 77
2026-02-24 vs Vanguard L 71 - 75
2026-02-28 vs Chaminade W 93 - 80

2025-2026 Roster

No roster data available for this season.