Jefferson
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1001 (#162) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1018 (#159) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +2.6 (#183) | HCA +2.8 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.911 (#179) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.926 (#54) | NetEff +19.7 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.734 (#306) | AdjNet +8.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.743 (#307) | AdjNet +9.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.619 (#316) | AdjO 66.9 | AdjD 61.5 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-09 | vs | Queens (NY) | W | 69 - 48 |
| 2024-11-10 | @ | Molloy | W | 68 - 63 |
| 2024-11-13 | vs | Dominican (NY) | W | 77 - 67 |
| 2024-11-16 | vs | Kutztown | W | 82 - 68 |
| 2024-11-20 | @ | East Stroudsburg | W | 69 - 58 |
| 2024-12-01 | @ | West Chester | L | 73 - 79 |
| 2024-12-03 | vs | Goldey-Beacom | W | 69 - 52 |
| 2024-12-07 | @ | Holy Family | L | 64 - 74 |
| 2024-12-13 | vs | Millersville | L | 51 - 58 |
| 2024-12-15 | @ | Bloomsburg | L | 66 - 67 |
| 2024-12-21 | @ | St. Thomas Aquinas | W | 56 - 55 |
| 2025-01-04 | @ | Dominican (NY) | L | 63 - 72 |
| 2025-01-11 | vs | Felician | W | 59 - 56 |
| 2025-01-14 | @ | Wilmington (DE) | W | 85 - 47 |
| 2025-01-16 | vs | Lincoln (PA) | L | 66 - 75 |
| 2025-01-18 | vs | Bridgeport | W | 63 - 31 |
| 2025-01-22 | vs | Chestnut Hill | W | 70 - 55 |
| 2025-01-25 | @ | Post | W | 63 - 37 |
| 2025-01-28 | @ | Georgian Court | W | 75 - 60 |
| 2025-02-01 | vs | Bloomfield | W | 75 - 62 |
| 2025-02-05 | @ | Goldey-Beacom | W | 77 - 58 |
| 2025-02-08 | @ | Caldwell | W | 48 - 45 |
| 2025-02-12 | vs | Wilmington (DE) | W | 70 - 48 |
| 2025-02-15 | @ | Chestnut Hill | W | 62 - 49 |
| 2025-02-19 | vs | Caldwell | W | 58 - 33 |
| 2025-02-22 | vs | Georgian Court | W | 70 - 31 |
| 2025-02-24 | vs | Dist. Columbia | W | 69 - 57 |
| 2025-03-01 | vs | Holy Family | W | 75 - 64 |
| 2025-03-04 | vs | Felician | W | 75 - 57 |
| 2025-03-08 | vs | Caldwell | W | 63 - 54 |
| 2025-03-09 | vs | Holy Family | L | 68 - 77 |
| 2025-03-14 | @ | Daemen | L | 48 - 70 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cassie Murphy | - | 32 | 32.9 | 15.9 | 9.7 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 3.0 | 13.3 | 13.3 | 152 | 5.1 | 5.1 | 44.8 | 33.3 | 85.0 | 0.67 | 51.8 | 45.0 |
| Emma Kuczynski | - | 32 | 36.2 | 13.5 | 4.3 | 2.7 | 1.7 | 0.1 | 1.5 | 11.9 | 8.9 | 150 | 5.0 | 4.6 | 43.5 | 34.7 | 73.2 | 0.55 | 54.0 | 52.6 |
| Emily Spratt | - | 31 | 32.9 | 11.5 | 5.4 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 2.3 | 10.5 | 7.5 | 173 | 4.3 | 4.3 | 43.6 | 9.1 | 80.2 | 0.33 | 48.9 | 43.7 |
| Gabby Recinto | - | 32 | 26.1 | 8.2 | 6.9 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 2.0 | 6.7 | 10.6 | 178 | 4.3 | 5.1 | 46.7 | 35.0 | 60.9 | 0.76 | 51.7 | 48.4 |
| Sam Yencha | - | 16 | 15.5 | 6.4 | 4.5 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 5.4 | 5.7 | 49 | 6.1 | 7.9 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 81.0 | 0.49 | 54.1 | 50.0 |
| Tori Nigro | - | 31 | 31.9 | 6.3 | 2.7 | 4.6 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 2.5 | 6.3 | 5.9 | 191 | 4.7 | 4.4 | 35.2 | 0.0 | 70.0 | 0.31 | 42.0 | 35.2 |
| Carolyn Sipprell | - | 31 | 15.0 | 3.5 | 2.8 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 3.5 | 2.8 | 81 | 2.0 | 3.3 | 43.1 | 20.0 | 75.0 | 0.01 | 46.5 | 44.0 |
| Kaci Mikulski | - | 25 | 6.8 | 2.8 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 49 | 1.6 | 5.8 | 48.2 | 45.9 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 62.9 | 63.4 |
| Kaya Burkhart | - | 26 | 6.9 | 2.1 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.2 | 0.6 | 7 | 0.3 | 1.5 | 39.3 | 27.3 | 66.7 | -0.15 | 44.9 | 42.0 |
| Jordyn Thomas | - | 30 | 4.5 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 104 | 2.8 | 6.2 | 38.0 | 0.0 | 75.0 | 0.2 | 39.6 | 38.0 |
| Janice Ashong | - | 28 | 2.2 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 18 | 0.9 | 6.4 | 31.2 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0.12 | 38.5 | 34.4 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG