๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

Jefferson

Model Outputs

2026-2027
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1003 (#101) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. HCA +137 elo More โ†’ 990 (#113) HCA +137 elo
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +138 elo More โ†’ 989 (#108) HCA +138 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.2 More โ†’ +3.4 (#95) HCA +2.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.2 More โ†’ +2.4 (#95) HCA +2.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.505 (#93) -
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 57.1 | AdjD 58.0 More โ†’ 0.522 (#112) AdjO 57.1 | AdjD 58.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 57.1 | AdjD 58.0 More โ†’ 0.480 (#116) AdjO 57.1 | AdjD 58.0
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 219 | GP 1 More โ†’ 984 (#106) RD 219 | GP 1

2026-2027 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-11-09 vs Millersville W 62 - 54

2026-2027 Roster

No roster data available for this season.