Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 884 (#329) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 825 (#341) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -2.8 (#233) | HCA +2.8 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.131 (#519) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.937 (#47) | NetEff +21.6 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.393 (#445) | AdjNet -3.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.405 (#445) | AdjNet -3.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.432 (#453) | AdjO 66.0 | AdjD 69.0 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-15 | @ | North Dakota St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2024-11-19 | vs | Minot St. | - | Incomplete score |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Hagel | - | 1 | 16.0 | 14.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 12.0 | 11.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 54.3 | 50.0 |
| Kate Busek | - | 1 | 23.0 | 13.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 9.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 50.0 | 100.0 | -0.32 | 73.2 | 68.8 |
| Kate Cordes | - | 1 | 25.0 | 12.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 12.0 | 11.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Jayden Wiest | - | 1 | 16.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 42.9 | 50.0 | 0 | 0.17 | 57.1 | 57.1 |
| Jessika Lofstrom | - | 1 | 15.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | -76 | -7.6 | -9.2 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 50.0 | -0.68 | 104.2 | 125.0 |
| Megan Oswald | - | 1 | 19.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 13.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | - | 86.8 | 75.0 |
| Emily Kurkowski | - | 1 | 10.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | -36 | -4.5 | -7.2 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | -1.2 | 62.5 | 62.5 |
| Jailyn Martinson | - | 1 | 14.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 46.0 | 40.0 |
| Julia Thoms | - | 1 | 9.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | -2 | -0.4 | -1.7 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | -0.07 | 125.0 | 125.0 |
| Sarah Lenz | - | 1 | 15.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 20.0 | 33.3 | 0 | - | 30.0 | 30.0 |
| Samantha Paulsen | - | 1 | 14.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | -47 | -4.7 | -6.7 | 50.0 | 100.0 | 0 | -0.28 | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Savannah Hedin | - | 1 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 26.6 | 0.0 |
| Hali Savela | - | 1 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | -74 | -7.4 | -10.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -0.27 | 26.6 | 0.0 |
| Halle Crockett | - | 1 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.52 | 0 | 0 |
| Reagan Johnson | - | 1 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 80 | 8.9 | 12.6 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.11 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG