Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 884 (#329) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 825 (#341) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -2.8 (#233) | HCA +2.8 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.131 (#519) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.937 (#47) | NetEff +21.6 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.393 (#445) | AdjNet -3.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.405 (#445) | AdjNet -3.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.432 (#453) | AdjO 66.0 | AdjD 69.0 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-15 | @ | North Dakota St. | L | 50 - 88 |
| 2024-11-19 | vs | Minot St. | W | 81 - 64 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Hagel | - | 2 | 13.5 | 10.0 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 56.3 | 50.0 |
| Kate Cordes | - | 2 | 23.5 | 7.0 | 4.5 | 4.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 12.0 | 3.5 | - | - | - | 29.2 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 29.2 | 29.2 |
| Jayden Wiest | - | 2 | 18.0 | 6.5 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 6.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 41.7 | 42.9 | 0 | 0.17 | 54.2 | 54.2 |
| Kate Busek | - | 2 | 20.0 | 6.5 | 4.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 5.5 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 50.0 | 100.0 | -0.32 | 73.2 | 68.8 |
| Jailyn Martinson | - | 2 | 12.5 | 6.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 4.5 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 44.4 | 50.0 | 100.0 | - | 58.1 | 50.0 |
| Samantha Paulsen | - | 2 | 12.5 | 5.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.5 | 3.0 | -47 | -4.7 | -6.7 | 57.1 | 66.7 | 0 | -0.28 | 71.4 | 71.4 |
| Emily Kurkowski | - | 2 | 10.5 | 4.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 3.5 | 1.5 | -36 | -4.5 | -7.2 | 42.9 | 25.0 | 100.0 | -1.2 | 57.1 | 50.0 |
| Jessika Lofstrom | - | 2 | 15.0 | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 3.0 | -76 | -7.6 | -9.2 | 60.0 | 50.0 | 50.0 | -0.68 | 68.0 | 70.0 |
| Megan Oswald | - | 2 | 16.5 | 4.0 | 5.5 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 8.5 | - | - | - | 25.0 | 50.0 | 83.3 | - | 60.2 | 37.5 |
| Julia Thoms | - | 2 | 12.5 | 3.5 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 3.0 | 0.0 | -2 | -0.4 | -1.7 | 33.3 | 33.3 | 100.0 | -0.07 | 50.9 | 41.7 |
| Reagan Johnson | - | 2 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 80 | 8.9 | 12.6 | 33.3 | 100.0 | 0 | 0.11 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Hali Savela | - | 2 | 12.0 | 2.5 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 5.0 | -74 | -7.4 | -10.6 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 75.0 | -0.27 | 52.5 | 33.3 |
| Kate Coates | - | 1 | 22.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 12.0 | -4.0 | - | - | - | 8.3 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 8.3 | 8.3 |
| Sarah Lenz | - | 2 | 11.5 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 3.0 | 0.5 | - | - | - | 16.7 | 25.0 | 0 | - | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Halle Crockett | - | 2 | 8.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.52 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Savannah Hedin | - | 1 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 26.6 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG