Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1123 (#31) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1111 (#68) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +9.3 (#97) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.437 (#375) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.420 (#255) | NetEff -3.0 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.826 (#216) | AdjNet +13.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.832 (#217) | AdjNet +13.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.721 (#213) | AdjO 84.0 | AdjD 73.6 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-04 | @ | North Dakota St. | L | 59 - 96 |
| 2024-11-14 | @ | Mary | W | 82 - 69 |
| 2024-11-16 | @ | Sioux Falls | L | 69 - 80 |
| 2024-11-21 | @ | Minot St. | L | 74 - 86 |
| 2024-11-23 | vs | Northern St. | W | 79 - 64 |
| 2024-11-29 | @ | Minnesota St. | L | 80 - 85 |
| 2024-11-30 | @ | Augustana (SD) | W | 75 - 70 |
| 2024-12-16 | @ | Northern St. | W | 77 - 62 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Eagins | - | 1 | 35.0 | 24.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 14.0 | 17.0 | 3 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 64.3 | 60.0 | 0 | 0.81 | 85.7 | 85.7 |
| Caleb Van De Griend | - | 1 | 22.0 | 23.0 | 15.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 11.0 | 31.0 | 7 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 81.8 | 0.0 | 83.3 | 1.81 | 84.3 | 81.8 |
| Akoi Akoi | - | 1 | 34.0 | 23.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 15.0 | 16.0 | -34 | -1.3 | -2.2 | 60.0 | 25.0 | 66.7 | 0.38 | 65.2 | 63.3 |
| Jacari White | - | 1 | 24.0 | 22.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 11.0 | 19.0 | 279 | 4.2 | 93.2 | 72.7 | 71.4 | 50.0 | 0.2 | 92.6 | 95.5 |
| Kyreese Willingham | - | 1 | 36.0 | 20.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 16.0 | 16.0 | 13 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 50.0 | 33.3 | 75.0 | 1.29 | 56.3 | 53.1 |
| Taylen Ashley | - | 1 | 24.0 | 15.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 14.0 | 3.0 | -81 | -2.2 | -5.7 | 50.0 | 25.0 | 0 | 0.02 | 53.6 | 53.6 |
| Kyle Ingwerson | - | 1 | 27.0 | 15.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 11.0 | 8.0 | 13 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 45.5 | 37.5 | 100.0 | 0.49 | 63.1 | 59.1 |
| Noah Puetz | - | 1 | 28.0 | 15.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 11.0 | 7.0 | -12 | -0.5 | -1.5 | 54.5 | 25.0 | 66.7 | 0.32 | 60.9 | 59.1 |
| Jaxon Gunville | - | 1 | 23.0 | 15.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 11.0 | 6.0 | -43 | -1.5 | -2.8 | 45.5 | 55.6 | 0 | 0.94 | 68.2 | 68.2 |
| Caden Kirkman | - | 1 | 27.0 | 14.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 11.0 | 10.0 | 34 | 1.1 | 3.2 | 63.6 | 0 | 0.0 | 2.58 | 58.9 | 63.6 |
| Sam Rensch | - | 1 | 37.0 | 14.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 12.0 | 8.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 66.7 | 0.0 | 1.39 | 52.6 | 58.3 |
| Ayouba Berthe | - | 1 | 23.0 | 13.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 9.0 | 6.0 | 62 | 2.0 | 4.3 | 44.4 | 25.0 | 100.0 | -0.83 | 60.4 | 50.0 |
| Sam West | - | 1 | 31.0 | 13.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 8.0 | 18 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 60.0 | 50.0 | 0 | 2.68 | 65.0 | 65.0 |
| Tajavis Miller | - | 1 | 22.0 | 12.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 8.0 | - | - | - | 42.9 | 33.3 | 100.0 | - | 68.5 | 57.1 |
| Jalen Cook | - | 1 | 30.0 | 12.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 11.0 | 3.0 | 162 | 4.9 | 10.3 | 45.5 | 50.0 | 0 | -0.22 | 54.5 | 54.5 |
| Noah Feddersen | - | 1 | 23.0 | 11.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 10.0 | 11.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | - | 50.6 | 50.0 |
| Masen Miller | - | 1 | 17.0 | 11.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 10.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 60.0 | 0 | - | 68.8 | 68.8 |
| Creighton Morisch | - | 1 | 31.0 | 11.0 | 12.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 20.0 | -36 | -1.3 | -2.5 | 25.0 | 0 | 77.8 | 0.8 | 46.0 | 25.0 |
| Treyson Anderson | - | 1 | 12.0 | 10.0 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 14.0 | -44 | -1.9 | -45.0 | 57.1 | 0.0 | 40.0 | -0.23 | 54.3 | 57.1 |
| Kelton Coleman | - | 1 | 17.0 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 11.0 | 4.0 | -16 | -1.1 | -5.4 | 36.4 | 40.0 | 0 | -0.06 | 45.5 | 45.5 |
| Bennett Fried | - | 1 | 33.0 | 10.0 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 13.0 | -22 | -0.7 | -1.9 | 62.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 1.69 | 62.5 | 62.5 |
| Tanner Te Slaa | - | 1 | 33.0 | 10.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 12.0 | 4.0 | 56 | 1.5 | 3.6 | 33.3 | 28.6 | 0.0 | 0.48 | 40.2 | 41.7 |
| Jeremiah Burke | - | 1 | 18.0 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 10.0 | - | - | - | 75.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 84.6 | 75.0 |
| Shawn Warrior | - | 1 | 35.0 | 9.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 4.0 | -5 | -0.2 | -0.4 | 37.5 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 2.4 | 42.3 | 37.5 |
| Trey Brandt | - | 1 | 19.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 5.0 | 60 | 4.6 | 37.9 | 57.1 | 0 | 0 | -0.13 | 57.1 | 57.1 |
| Harrison Braudis | - | 1 | 26.0 | 8.0 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 8.0 | 86 | 3.1 | 6.5 | 25.0 | 50.0 | 100.0 | 1.46 | 45.0 | 37.5 |
| Will Opsahl | - | 1 | 30.0 | 8.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 7.0 | -19 | -0.5 | -1.9 | 37.5 | 50.0 | 0.0 | -0.01 | 47.4 | 50.0 |
| Kenji Scales | - | 1 | 16.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 9.0 | -37 | -1.9 | -4.4 | 66.7 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0.18 | 90.2 | 83.3 |
| David Harmon | - | 1 | 16.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | -16 | -1.1 | -3.2 | 50.0 | 100.0 | 0 | 0.82 | 58.3 | 58.3 |
| Patrick Bath | - | 1 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 64.4 | 66.7 |
| Andy Stefonowicz | - | 1 | 24.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | - | 62.5 | 62.5 |
| Darik Dissette | - | 1 | 21.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 0 | 0 | - | 66.7 | 66.7 |
| Luke Kasubke | - | 1 | 15.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 50.0 | 50.0 | - | 69.4 | 75.0 |
| Josh Baker | - | 1 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | -17 | -1.7 | -6.0 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.22 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Malcolm Jones | - | 1 | 12.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 13 | 1.0 | 6.6 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.04 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Brennan Watkins | - | 1 | 15.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 50.0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Malyk Rebetez | - | 1 | 16.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 22 | 1.8 | 39.3 | 0.0 | 0 | 50.0 | -0.52 | 26.6 | 0.0 |
| Jack Cartwright | - | 1 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | -13 | -1.1 | -8.3 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.14 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Brandon Hrncir | - | 1 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | -16 | -0.8 | -7.3 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Dylan Gichaba | - | 1 | 15.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 48 | 1.5 | 21.1 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.04 | 41.0 | 50.0 |
| Carson Smith | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -166 | -6.6 | -13.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.15 | 0 | 0 |
| Damari Wheeler-Thomas | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Eli Ehrke | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Sam Grant | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -6 | -3.0 | -45.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.12 | 0 | 0 |
| Jacoby Mehrman | - | 1 | 15.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 26 | 1.6 | 165.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.99 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Dylan Ruder | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.26 | 0 | 0 |
| Adam Scherbakov | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.39 | 0 | 0 |
| Jacob Taitte | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Braelyn Dale | - | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 61 | 8.7 | 357.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.99 | 0 | 0 |
| Max Groom | - | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -4 | -1.0 | -16.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.86 | 0 | 0 |
| Lual Lual | - | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | 30 | 5.0 | 130.9 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.89 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Daryl Rice Jr | - | 1 | 29.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Jaden Wysocki | - | 1 | 15.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | -50 | -2.2 | -10.7 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.09 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Holden Arnaman | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Chase Bartlett | - | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -50 | -3.8 | -51.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.22 | 0 | 0 |
| Colton Benson | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Drew Daniel | - | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | -63 | -4.5 | -17.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.33 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Puolrah Gong | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -5 | -1.7 | -30.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.01 | 0 | 0 |
| Dawson Rudolph | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -9 | -1.3 | -35.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.81 | 0 | 0 |
| Carson Schweim | - | 1 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3 | 0.2 | 4.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.37 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Tyrell Stuttley | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8 | 1.1 | 19.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.59 | 0 | 0 |
| Jacob Brandt | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Hayden Brown | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5 | 5.0 | 87.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.44 | 0 | 0 |
| Matt Eng | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 14 | 3.5 | 243.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.44 | 0 | 0 |
| Tameron Ferguson | - | 1 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | -18 | -0.5 | -1.1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1.46 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Jack Hastreiter | - | 1 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 13 | 0.7 | 4.6 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Brady Helgren | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 13 | 0.9 | 4.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.16 | 0 | 0 |
| Conner Kraft | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 40 | 4.4 | 24.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG