James Madison
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1032 (#236) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1108 (#128) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1010 (#361) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +7.9 (#247) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.998 (#104) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.978 (#91) | AdjNet +32.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.980 (#91) | AdjNet +32.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.917 (#69) | AdjO 88.2 | AdjD 61.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.513 (#374) | AdjO 73.2 | AdjD 72.6 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.683 (#224) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.657 (#252) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1088 (#208) | RD 350 | GP 1 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-05 | vs | Wash. & Lee | W | 70 - 56 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabe Newhof | - | 1 | 18.2 | 20.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 21.0 | - | - | - | 88.9 | 0 | 80.0 | - | 89.3 | 88.9 |
| Justin McBride | - | 1 | 25.4 | 12.0 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 14.0 | -6 | -0.3 | -1.3 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 85.7 | 3.32 | 49.7 | 33.3 |
| Paul Jones III | - | 1 | 17.4 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 42.9 | 40.0 | 0.0 | - | 53.8 | 57.1 |
| Christian Brown | - | 1 | 10.8 | 7.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 15.0 | 76 | 4.5 | 30.1 | 100.0 | 0 | 50.0 | 2.45 | 90.2 | 100.0 |
| Cliff Davis | - | 1 | 26.4 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 33.3 | 100.0 | - | 64.4 | 50.0 |
| Bradley Douglas | - | 1 | 20.2 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 16.7 | 25.0 | 100.0 | - | 36.3 | 25.0 |
| Preston Fowler | - | 1 | 20.2 | 5.0 | 9.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 8.0 | - | - | - | 25.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 29.6 | 25.0 |
| Eli Wilborn | - | 1 | 10.1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 0 | 0 | - | 66.7 | 66.7 |
| Paul Lewis | - | 1 | 19.8 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 16.7 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 16.7 | 16.7 |
| Eddie Ricks III | - | 1 | 22.6 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 20.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 20.0 | 20.0 |
| Justin Taylor | - | 1 | 9.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 53 | 4.1 | 31.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.63 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG