Jacksonville Dolphins
2026-2027 Team Stats (3 games)
Model Outputs
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 989 (#168) | Preseason prior 1016 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1065, returning +9, transfers -58, freshmen +0 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 1019 (#144) | HCA +169 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 1019 (#144) | HCA +169 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | +0.5 (#157) | HCA +1.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | +0.4 (#158) | HCA +1.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.409 (#170) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.496 (#159) | AdjNet -0.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.522 (#154) | AdjNet +1.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.567 (#128) | AdjO 71.0 | AdjD 66.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.565 (#128) | AdjO 71.0 | AdjD 66.6 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.529 (#152) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.528 (#152) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 998 (#156) | RD 179 | GP 3 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More โ | 0.515 (#152) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
Rank through the season
League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-03 | @ | Florida International Panthers | W | 75 - 64 |
| 2026-11-05 | @ | Miami Hurricanes | L | 63 - 79 |
| 2026-11-11 | @ | Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | L | 78 - 89 |
| 2026-11-14 | vs | Warner Royals | W | 81 - 40 |
| 2026-11-20 | vs | Trinity College of Jacksonville Eagles | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Coco Rudolph
|
G | 3 | 23.0 | 14.7 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 9.7 | 10.3 | -4 | 3 | -1.3 | -2.1 | 44.8 | 46.7 | 64.7 | 0.81 | 60.3 | 56.9 |
Aniah Smith
|
G | 3 | 24.0 | 14.0 | 1.3 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 9.7 | 8.7 | -3 | 3 | -1.0 | -1.6 | 51.7 | 42.9 | 64.3 | 0.88 | 59.7 | 56.9 |
J'Niya Weaver
|
G | 3 | 24.7 | 12.3 | 6.0 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 2.0 | 8.7 | 11.3 | 8 | 3 | 2.7 | 3.6 | 42.3 | 62.5 | 83.3 | 0.55 | 59.1 | 51.9 |
Samirah Mamoudou
|
F | 3 | 30.0 | 11.7 | 4.7 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 10.0 | 7.7 | 4 | 3 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 43.3 | 33.3 | 87.5 | 1.77 | 52.2 | 46.7 |
Tatum Brown
|
G | 3 | 25.7 | 5.7 | 2.7 | 0.3 | 2.3 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 8.7 | 0.3 | -28 | 3 | -9.3 | -12.0 | 23.1 | 18.2 | 75.0 | -2.37 | 30.6 | 26.9 |
McKenzie Lewis
|
G | 2 | 6.5 | 4.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 6.0 | - | - | - | - | 100.0 | 100.0 | 75.0 | - | 119.7 | 150.0 |
A'Yiana Flemings
|
C | 2 | 10.0 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 0.5 | -4 | 2 | -2.0 | -12.5 | 40.0 | 0 | 75.0 | -1.83 | 51.8 | 40.0 |
Mariyah Brown
|
F | 3 | 16.3 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 0.7 | 2.0 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 3.7 | 5.7 | -20 | 3 | -6.7 | -14.7 | 36.4 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -2.63 | 37.9 | 36.4 |
Geren Hawthorne
|
F | 3 | 11.0 | 2.7 | 2.7 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 3.0 | 4.0 | -6 | 3 | -2.0 | -8.7 | 22.2 | 0.0 | 66.7 | 0.15 | 34.4 | 22.2 |
Mychal White
|
G | 3 | 15.7 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 2.3 | 3.0 | -9 | 3 | -3.0 | -9.6 | 28.6 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -1.29 | 34.2 | 28.6 |
Sharmela Reid
|
F | 2 | 13.0 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 3.5 | -6 | 1 | -6.0 | -15.3 | 0.0 | 0 | 75.0 | -5.22 | 54.3 | 0.0 |
Taylor Blunt
|
G | 3 | 5.3 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 1.0 | -10 | 3 | -3.3 | -48.9 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | -2.07 | 75.0 | 75.0 |
Kimora Hester
|
G | 2 | 6.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 2.0 | -1.5 | 4 | 2 | 2.0 | 29.4 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -2.15 | 20.5 | 25.0 |
Kelis Grant
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Giana Provenzano
|
G | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | -5.0 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
2026-2027 Shot Zones
184 located field-goal attempts in 3 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Aniah SmithCoco RudolphSamirah MamoudouJ'Niya WeaverTatum BrownMychal White
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 28-47 | 59.6 | 56 | Samirah Mamoudou 29% (16 pts) | Aniah Smith 18% (10 pts) | Aniah Smith 21% (4 misses) | Geren Hawthorne 16% (3 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 16-47 | 34.0 | 32 | Aniah Smith 19% (6 pts) | Coco Rudolph 19% (6 pts) | J'Niya Weaver 26% (8 misses) | Samirah Mamoudou 19% (6 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 2-11 | 18.2 | 4 | Mychal White 50% (2 pts) | Samirah Mamoudou 50% (2 pts) | Tatum Brown 44% (4 misses) | Coco Rudolph 22% (2 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 1-4 | 25.0 | 2 | Aniah Smith 100% (2 pts) | - | Aniah Smith 33% (1 misses) | Geren Hawthorne 33% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 3-15 | 20.0 | 6 | Aniah Smith 100% (6 pts) | - | Aniah Smith 25% (3 misses) | Samirah Mamoudou 25% (3 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 2-7 | 28.6 | 6 | Aniah Smith 50% (3 pts) | J'Niya Weaver 50% (3 pts) | Tatum Brown 40% (2 misses) | J'Niya Weaver 20% (1 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 2-5 | 40.0 | 6 | Coco Rudolph 100% (6 pts) | - | Coco Rudolph 33% (1 misses) | Mychal White 33% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 12-25 | 48.0 | 36 | Coco Rudolph 25% (9 pts) | J'Niya Weaver 17% (6 pts) | Tatum Brown 31% (4 misses) | Aniah Smith 23% (3 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 1-5 | 20.0 | 3 | Coco Rudolph 100% (3 pts) | - | Coco Rudolph 25% (1 misses) | Geren Hawthorne 25% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 5-18 | 27.8 | 15 | J'Niya Weaver 40% (6 pts) | Aniah Smith 20% (3 pts) | Coco Rudolph 31% (4 misses) | Tatum Brown 23% (3 misses) |