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Jacksonville Dolphins

2026-2027 Team Stats (3 games)

74.0
PPG
69.3
Opp
+4.7
Margin
39.1%
FG%
36.7%
3P%
69.1%
FT%
32.7
RPG
11.3
APG
16.3
TO
-
Est. poss./game
71.0
Adj PPG
66.6
Adj Opp PPG
#128
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2026-2027
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Preseason prior 1016 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1065, returning +9, transfers -58, freshmen +0 More โ†’ 989 (#168) Preseason prior 1016 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1065, returning +9, transfers -58, freshmen +0
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. HCA +169 elo More โ†’ 1019 (#144) HCA +169 elo
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +169 elo More โ†’ 1019 (#144) HCA +169 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +1.7 More โ†’ +0.5 (#157) HCA +1.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +1.6 More โ†’ +0.4 (#158) HCA +1.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.409 (#170) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -0.8 More โ†’ 0.496 (#159) AdjNet -0.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +1.3 More โ†’ 0.522 (#154) AdjNet +1.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 71.0 | AdjD 66.6 More โ†’ 0.567 (#128) AdjO 71.0 | AdjD 66.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 71.0 | AdjD 66.6 More โ†’ 0.565 (#128) AdjO 71.0 | AdjD 66.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.529 (#152) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.528 (#152) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 179 | GP 3 More โ†’ 998 (#156) RD 179 | GP 3
Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. Chronological component blend with rest and venue. More โ†’ 0.515 (#152) Chronological component blend with rest and venue.

Rank through the season

League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.

Recency Ensemble Log Adjusted Elo Points Off/Def Recency

2026-2027 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-11-03 @ Florida International Panthers W 75 - 64
2026-11-05 @ Miami Hurricanes L 63 - 79
2026-11-11 @ Coastal Carolina Chanticleers L 78 - 89
2026-11-14 vs Warner Royals W 81 - 40
2026-11-20 vs Trinity College of Jacksonville Eagles - Preview

2026-2027 Roster

Estimated Minutes by Position

Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Coco Rudolph Coco Rudolph G 3 23.0 14.7 2.3 1.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 9.7 10.3 -4 3 -1.3 -2.1 44.8 46.7 64.7 0.81 60.3 56.9
Aniah Smith Aniah Smith G 3 24.0 14.0 1.3 2.3 2.3 0.0 1.7 9.7 8.7 -3 3 -1.0 -1.6 51.7 42.9 64.3 0.88 59.7 56.9
J'Niya Weaver J'Niya Weaver G 3 24.7 12.3 6.0 2.3 1.0 0.3 2.0 8.7 11.3 8 3 2.7 3.6 42.3 62.5 83.3 0.55 59.1 51.9
Samirah Mamoudou Samirah Mamoudou F 3 30.0 11.7 4.7 1.0 1.7 0.3 1.7 10.0 7.7 4 3 1.3 1.6 43.3 33.3 87.5 1.77 52.2 46.7
Tatum Brown Tatum Brown G 3 25.7 5.7 2.7 0.3 2.3 0.0 2.0 8.7 0.3 -28 3 -9.3 -12.0 23.1 18.2 75.0 -2.37 30.6 26.9
McKenzie Lewis McKenzie Lewis G 2 6.5 4.5 1.0 0.5 1.5 0.0 0.5 1.0 6.0 - - - - 100.0 100.0 75.0 - 119.7 150.0
A'Yiana Flemings A'Yiana Flemings C 2 10.0 3.5 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 2.5 0.5 -4 2 -2.0 -12.5 40.0 0 75.0 -1.83 51.8 40.0
Mariyah Brown Mariyah Brown F 3 16.3 3.0 5.0 0.7 2.0 0.3 1.7 3.7 5.7 -20 3 -6.7 -14.7 36.4 0.0 50.0 -2.63 37.9 36.4
Geren Hawthorne Geren Hawthorne F 3 11.0 2.7 2.7 1.7 0.7 1.0 1.7 3.0 4.0 -6 3 -2.0 -8.7 22.2 0.0 66.7 0.15 34.4 22.2
Mychal White Mychal White G 3 15.7 2.0 1.3 1.7 1.0 0.0 0.7 2.3 3.0 -9 3 -3.0 -9.6 28.6 0.0 50.0 -1.29 34.2 28.6
Sharmela Reid Sharmela Reid F 2 13.0 1.5 2.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 3.5 -6 1 -6.0 -15.3 0.0 0 75.0 -5.22 54.3 0.0
Taylor Blunt Taylor Blunt G 3 5.3 1.0 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.7 1.0 -10 3 -3.3 -48.9 50.0 50.0 0 -2.07 75.0 75.0
Kimora Hester Kimora Hester G 2 6.5 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 2.0 -1.5 4 2 2.0 29.4 25.0 0.0 0.0 -2.15 20.5 25.0
Kelis Grant Kelis Grant G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Giana Provenzano Giana Provenzano G 1 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 -5.0 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2026-2027 Shot Zones

184 located field-goal attempts in 3 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Mamoudou29% Smith19% White50% Smith100% Smith100% Smith50% Rudolph100% Rudolph25% Rudolph100% Weaver40%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Smith21% Weaver26% Brown44% Smith33% Smith25% Brown40% Rudolph33% Brown31% Rudolph25% Rudolph31%
Misses: who misses most here

Aniah SmithCoco RudolphSamirah MamoudouJ'Niya WeaverTatum BrownMychal White

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 28-47 59.6 56 Samirah Mamoudou 29% (16 pts) Aniah Smith 18% (10 pts) Aniah Smith 21% (4 misses) Geren Hawthorne 16% (3 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 16-47 34.0 32 Aniah Smith 19% (6 pts) Coco Rudolph 19% (6 pts) J'Niya Weaver 26% (8 misses) Samirah Mamoudou 19% (6 misses)
Mid-range left 2-11 18.2 4 Mychal White 50% (2 pts) Samirah Mamoudou 50% (2 pts) Tatum Brown 44% (4 misses) Coco Rudolph 22% (2 misses)
Mid-range center 1-4 25.0 2 Aniah Smith 100% (2 pts) - Aniah Smith 33% (1 misses) Geren Hawthorne 33% (1 misses)
Mid-range right 3-15 20.0 6 Aniah Smith 100% (6 pts) - Aniah Smith 25% (3 misses) Samirah Mamoudou 25% (3 misses)
Left corner 3 2-7 28.6 6 Aniah Smith 50% (3 pts) J'Niya Weaver 50% (3 pts) Tatum Brown 40% (2 misses) J'Niya Weaver 20% (1 misses)
Right corner 3 2-5 40.0 6 Coco Rudolph 100% (6 pts) - Coco Rudolph 33% (1 misses) Mychal White 33% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 left 12-25 48.0 36 Coco Rudolph 25% (9 pts) J'Niya Weaver 17% (6 pts) Tatum Brown 31% (4 misses) Aniah Smith 23% (3 misses)
Above-break 3 center 1-5 20.0 3 Coco Rudolph 100% (3 pts) - Coco Rudolph 25% (1 misses) Geren Hawthorne 25% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 right 5-18 27.8 15 J'Niya Weaver 40% (6 pts) Aniah Smith 20% (3 pts) Coco Rudolph 31% (4 misses) Tatum Brown 23% (3 misses)