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Jacksonville St.

Season: 2026 2025
Also known as: Jacksonville St.
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1019 (#295) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1073 (#195) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +62 elo More → 1016 (#318) HCA +62 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → +46.5 (#34) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 1.000 (#50) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +81.3 More → 1.000 (#23) NetEff +81.3
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +59.1 More → 0.999 (#46) AdjNet +59.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +57.8 More → 0.999 (#46) AdjNet +57.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 86.7 | AdjD 44.1 More → 0.980 (#32) AdjO 86.7 | AdjD 44.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 66.1 | AdjD 56.4 More → 0.708 (#118) AdjO 66.1 | AdjD 56.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.961 (#22) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.939 (#27) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 1 More → 1088 (#181) RD 350 | GP 1

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 vs LaGrange - Incomplete score

2026 Roster

No roster data available for this season.