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Jackson State

Season: 2027 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018
Also known as: Jackson State Tigers
Program History
Coach: Trey Johnson

2027 Team Stats (2 games)

64.5
PPG
80.5
Opp
-16.0
Margin
39.1%
FG%
28.3%
3P%
73.7%
FT%
30.5
RPG
12.5
APG
17.0
TO
73.4
Est. poss./game
63.2
Adj PPG
65.4
Adj Opp PPG
#199
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2026-2027
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Preseason prior 787 (returning production + recruiting): last season 834, returning +49, transfers -70, freshmen -27 More → 809 (#274) Preseason prior 787 (returning production + recruiting): last season 834, returning +49, transfers -70, freshmen -27
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1078 (#28) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +268 elo More → 976 (#153) HCA +268 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +14.4 More → -8.0 (#299) HCA +14.4
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +16.1 More → -8.7 (#200) HCA +16.1
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.073 (#229) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -21.6 More → 0.073 (#229) NetEff -21.6
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -12.8 More → 0.186 (#260) AdjNet -12.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -13.0 More → 0.179 (#261) AdjNet -13.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 63.2 | AdjD 65.4 More → 0.451 (#199) AdjO 63.2 | AdjD 65.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 58.4 | AdjD 64.3 More → 0.370 (#198) AdjO 58.4 | AdjD 64.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.287 (#225) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.287 (#225) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 218 | GP 1 More → 893 (#205) RD 218 | GP 1

2027 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-11-02 @ Texas Tech Red Raiders L 42 - 76
2026-11-05 @ Tulane Green Wave W 87 - 85
2026-11-09 @ Mississippi State Bulldogs - Preview
2026-11-11 @ Southern Miss Golden Eagles - Preview

2027 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Dorian McMillian Dorian McMillian G 2 35.5 16.5 5.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.5 13.0 11.0 - - - - 38.5 31.2 88.9 - 55.1 48.1
Mike Williams Mike Williams G 2 31.0 15.5 3.5 1.5 0.0 0.0 3.0 12.0 5.5 - - - - 45.8 46.2 75.0 - 60.2 58.3
Daeshun Ruffin Daeshun Ruffin G 2 31.0 11.0 2.0 5.5 0.5 0.0 4.5 9.0 5.5 - - - - 27.8 0.0 85.7 - 45.5 27.8
Nikk Williams Nikk Williams F 2 20.0 8.0 7.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 12.0 - - - - 75.0 50.0 33.3 - 75.2 87.5
AT Manyuon AT Manyuon G 2 18.5 7.0 1.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 1.0 6.0 3.0 - - - - 50.0 33.3 100.0 - 56.3 54.2
Ebo Wilson Ebo Wilson C 2 8.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.5 1.0 2.0 - - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
Kobe Butler Kobe Butler F 2 8.5 1.5 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 2.5 0.5 - - - - 20.0 0.0 50.0 - 25.5 20.0
Chip Brunt Chip Brunt G 2 9.0 1.5 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0 2.5 - - - - 50.0 100.0 0 - 75.0 75.0
Delyle Williams Delyle Williams G 2 15.5 1.0 1.5 0.5 1.0 0.0 0.5 2.5 1.0 - - - - 20.0 0.0 0 - 20.0 20.0
Blake Nettles Blake Nettles G 2 8.0 0.5 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.5 - - - - 0 0 50.0 - 56.8 0
Tamarion Hoover Tamarion Hoover G 2 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 1.0 -0.5 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Cael Jones Cael Jones G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
DJ Davis DJ Davis G 2 10.5 0.0 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0 3.0 -2.0 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Tyler Husband Tyler Husband G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Deyan Kolev Deyan Kolev F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
TK Lawson TK Lawson F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Jayden Williams Jayden Williams C 2 3.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2026-2027 Shot Zones

110 located field-goal attempts in 2 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Williams25% Manyuon29% McMillian50% Ruffin100% McMillian50% McMillian50% Williams100% McMillian33% Williams67% McMillian67%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Manyuon17% Ruffin27% McMillian33% Ruffin67% Manyuon33% Williams50% Davis50% McMillian41% Ruffin38% Ruffin33%
Misses: who misses most here

Mike WilliamsDorian McMillianNikk WilliamsAT ManyuonDaeshun RuffinDelyle WilliamsDJ Davis

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 16-22 72.7 32 Nikk Williams 25% (8 pts) AT Manyuon 19% (6 pts) AT Manyuon 17% (1 misses) Daeshun Ruffin 17% (1 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 7-18 38.9 14 AT Manyuon 29% (4 pts) Daeshun Ruffin 29% (4 pts) Daeshun Ruffin 27% (3 misses) Dorian McMillian 18% (2 misses)
Mid-range left 2-8 25.0 4 Dorian McMillian 50% (2 pts) Mike Williams 50% (2 pts) Dorian McMillian 33% (2 misses) Mike Williams 33% (2 misses)
Mid-range center 1-4 25.0 2 Daeshun Ruffin 100% (2 pts) - Daeshun Ruffin 67% (2 misses) Mike Williams 33% (1 misses)
Mid-range right 2-5 40.0 4 Dorian McMillian 50% (2 pts) Mike Williams 50% (2 pts) AT Manyuon 33% (1 misses) DJ Davis 33% (1 misses)
Left corner 3 2-4 50.0 6 Dorian McMillian 50% (3 pts) Mike Williams 50% (3 pts) Delyle Williams 50% (1 misses) Dorian McMillian 50% (1 misses)
Right corner 3 1-3 33.3 3 Mike Williams 100% (3 pts) - DJ Davis 50% (1 misses) Delyle Williams 50% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 left 6-23 26.1 18 Dorian McMillian 33% (6 pts) Mike Williams 33% (6 pts) Dorian McMillian 41% (7 misses) Mike Williams 29% (5 misses)
Above-break 3 center 3-11 27.3 9 Mike Williams 67% (6 pts) Nikk Williams 33% (3 pts) Daeshun Ruffin 38% (3 misses) Nikk Williams 25% (2 misses)
Above-break 3 right 3-12 25.0 9 Dorian McMillian 67% (6 pts) AT Manyuon 33% (3 pts) Daeshun Ruffin 33% (3 misses) Dorian McMillian 22% (2 misses)