JWU (Providence)
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1078 (#94) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1112 (#88) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +6.1 (#121) | HCA +2.4 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.787 (#319) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.968 (#34) | NetEff +25.9 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.450 (#398) | AdjNet -1.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.435 (#396) | AdjNet -2.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.472 (#388) | AdjO 66.8 | AdjD 68.1 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-08 | vs | Salve Regina | W | 94 - 69 |
| 2024-11-09 | @ | Pfeiffer | W | 66 - 56 |
| 2024-11-12 | vs | Brevard | L | 61 - 66 |
| 2024-11-16 | @ | Chris. Newport | L | 78 - 98 |
| 2024-11-16 | vs | UMSV | W | 86 - 72 |
| 2024-11-17 | vs | Warren Wilson | W | 59 - 53 |
| 2024-11-19 | @ | Brown | L | 47 - 104 |
| 2024-11-20 | vs | William Peace | W | 71 - 34 |
| 2024-11-22 | @ | FDU-Florham | W | 70 - 62 |
| 2024-11-24 | vs | Bard | W | 97 - 52 |
| 2024-11-26 | @ | Wheaton (MA) | W | 74 - 51 |
| 2024-11-26 | @ | Winthrop | L | 39 - 96 |
| 2024-12-04 | @ | Salem St. | W | 88 - 61 |
| 2024-12-04 | @ | Salem (NC) | W | 83 - 57 |
| 2024-12-07 | @ | Queens (NC) | L | 55 - 108 |
| 2024-12-09 | vs | Connecticut Col. | L | 61 - 70 |
| 2024-12-11 | @ | Fitchburg St. | W | 109 - 62 |
| 2024-12-14 | vs | Wentworth | W | 86 - 57 |
| 2024-12-16 | @ | Averett | W | 59 - 48 |
| 2024-12-31 | vs | Curry | W | 67 - 50 |
| 2025-01-04 | @ | Elms | W | 86 - 66 |
| 2025-01-07 | vs | Emmanuel (MA) | W | 68 - 61 |
| 2025-01-11 | @ | Mitchell | W | 90 - 58 |
| 2025-01-15 | @ | St. Joseph's (ME) | L | 64 - 71 |
| 2025-01-18 | vs | Anna Maria | W | 86 - 66 |
| 2025-01-18 | @ | Methodist | L | 56 - 59 |
| 2025-01-20 | vs | Meredith | W | 86 - 40 |
| 2025-01-21 | vs | Albertus Magnus | W | 81 - 66 |
| 2025-01-25 | @ | Colby-Sawyer | W | 86 - 74 |
| 2025-01-25 | vs | Erskine | L | 58 - 61 |
| 2025-02-01 | vs | Rivier | W | 66 - 61 |
| 2025-02-04 | vs | Lasell | W | 90 - 52 |
| 2025-02-08 | @ | Norwich | W | 98 - 53 |
| 2025-02-12 | @ | Saint Joseph (CT) | W | 69 - 64 |
| 2025-02-15 | vs | New England Col. | W | 86 - 73 |
| 2025-02-18 | @ | Dean | W | 96 - 45 |
| 2025-02-22 | vs | Regis (MA) | W | 79 - 63 |
| 2025-02-25 | vs | Elms | W | 89 - 50 |
| 2025-02-27 | vs | Saint Joseph (CT) | L | 73 - 89 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Jaffray | - | 23 | 32.2 | 24.7 | 8.0 | 1.5 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 3.2 | 18.7 | 15.2 | 77 | 2.5 | 3.1 | 46.9 | 38.1 | 69.7 | 1.31 | 57.5 | 54.3 |
| Tatyana Lewis | - | 1 | 32.0 | 21.0 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 16.0 | 14.0 | -218 | -7.0 | -6.1 | 43.8 | 42.9 | 66.7 | -0.31 | 56.3 | 53.1 |
| Mireille Tona | - | 1 | 26.0 | 17.0 | 13.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 23.0 | 6 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 60.0 | 0 | 62.5 | 0.13 | 62.9 | 60.0 |
| Brianne Foley | - | 26 | 31.0 | 16.9 | 8.7 | 3.1 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 2.5 | 13.6 | 14.9 | 23 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 45.0 | 33.6 | 73.3 | 0.71 | 55.4 | 51.8 |
| Isabella Suero | - | 26 | 30.2 | 16.0 | 3.8 | 3.1 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 1.9 | 15.5 | 6.5 | 84 | 2.4 | 2.8 | 34.7 | 33.6 | 76.5 | 0.9 | 48.8 | 46.7 |
| Grace Jeffrey | - | 2 | 30.0 | 15.0 | 5.5 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 4.5 | 13.0 | 7.0 | - | - | - | 38.5 | 28.6 | 100.0 | - | 52.4 | 46.2 |
| Jordan Durant | - | 12 | 28.6 | 13.3 | 5.2 | 3.8 | 3.6 | 0.2 | 3.8 | 11.8 | 10.5 | 69 | 9.9 | 7.9 | 44.0 | 18.2 | 81.1 | 0.59 | 50.9 | 46.1 |
| Maliah Preston | - | 12 | 26.7 | 9.1 | 2.3 | 2.7 | 1.8 | 0.2 | 5.2 | 11.8 | -0.9 | 58 | 8.3 | 4.6 | 25.4 | 22.2 | 50.0 | 0.71 | 34.3 | 31.7 |
| Cheyenne Colbert | - | 1 | 20.0 | 9.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 10.0 | 5.0 | -53 | -1.8 | -2.2 | 40.0 | 16.7 | 0 | -0.27 | 45.0 | 45.0 |
| Kyrah Davis | - | 11 | 18.9 | 8.1 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 1.6 | 8.5 | 2.1 | 18 | 2.6 | 1.4 | 31.9 | 24.1 | 84.2 | -0.03 | 43.5 | 38.8 |
| Ellie Martin | - | 1 | 35.0 | 8.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 10.0 | 14.0 | -5.0 | -206 | -6.4 | -6.3 | 7.1 | 14.3 | 83.3 | -1.78 | 24.0 | 10.7 |
| Laken Powe | - | 12 | 18.1 | 7.1 | 4.8 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 1.9 | 6.3 | 5.8 | 90 | 12.9 | 10.4 | 50.0 | 0 | 45.0 | 0.9 | 50.1 | 50.0 |
| De'ashaj Crawford | - | 4 | 16.5 | 7.0 | 3.2 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 7.2 | 5.8 | 49 | 8.2 | 6.9 | 37.9 | 44.4 | 33.3 | -0.01 | 44.2 | 44.8 |
| Briah Clarke | - | 1 | 14.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | -131 | -4.0 | -6.4 | 60.0 | 0 | 50.0 | -1.55 | 59.5 | 60.0 |
| Alexa Lora | - | 26 | 21.7 | 6.8 | 2.8 | 2.8 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 2.2 | 7.0 | 4.5 | -8 | -0.2 | -0.4 | 36.3 | 30.0 | 56.8 | -0.96 | 44.2 | 42.0 |
| Mikayla Caruso | - | 26 | 28.9 | 6.8 | 9.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 6.3 | 12.2 | 102 | 2.9 | 3.6 | 46.1 | 16.0 | 69.0 | 0.49 | 49.5 | 47.3 |
| Gabby Tapley | - | 12 | 17.5 | 6.2 | 6.4 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 4.7 | 7.8 | 50 | 7.1 | 6.4 | 48.2 | 100.0 | 57.6 | 0.6 | 52.5 | 49.1 |
| Greta Minos | - | 1 | 27.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 10.0 | 2.0 | -32 | -2.0 | -3.3 | 30.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -0.28 | 28.7 | 30.0 |
| Samara Britt | - | 12 | 19.9 | 5.2 | 6.2 | 0.2 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.9 | 4.9 | 7.2 | 2 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 42.4 | 0.0 | 65.0 | 0.23 | 46.5 | 42.4 |
| Madeline Duwe | - | 1 | 9.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | -1.0 | -20 | -0.8 | -1.3 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -0.08 | 28.2 | 25.0 |
| Abby Fernandes | - | 1 | 22.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 14.0 | -2.0 | - | - | - | 14.3 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -0.12 | 16.8 | 14.3 |
| Kiki Walters | - | 1 | 31.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | -41 | -1.6 | -1.6 | 16.7 | 33.3 | 50.0 | -0.01 | 32.2 | 25.0 |
| Mia Cruz | - | 26 | 20.0 | 4.4 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1.7 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 4.2 | 7.7 | 177 | 5.4 | 8.2 | 40.0 | 32.4 | 59.3 | 1.05 | 47.2 | 45.0 |
| Joyiah White | - | 12 | 15.1 | 2.9 | 4.7 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 3.2 | 4.0 | 63 | 9.0 | 11.1 | 34.2 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 0.35 | 38.1 | 34.2 |
| Maiyah Johnson | - | 26 | 13.4 | 2.1 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 23 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 32.7 | 34.3 | 57.1 | -0.7 | 46.4 | 44.2 |
| Sydney Wells | - | 12 | 8.5 | 2.1 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 1.3 | 2.8 | 0.6 | 25 | 3.6 | 4.0 | 24.2 | 25.0 | 66.7 | 0.11 | 35.1 | 31.8 |
| Weronika Swojak | - | 1 | 17.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | -96 | -3.4 | -3.9 | 25.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.27 | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Twig Barnes | - | 1 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | -81 | -3.0 | -7.2 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.57 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Mary McClintock | - | 1 | 11.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | -1.0 | -25 | -1.2 | -1.6 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.01 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Kennis Jasperson | - | 1 | 28.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | -3.0 | -60 | -1.8 | -2.6 | 14.3 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.08 | 14.3 | 14.3 |
| Madison Clark | - | 20 | 5.4 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 2.0 | 1.1 | 26 | 1.6 | 4.0 | 40.0 | 38.5 | 100.0 | 0.1 | 47.0 | 46.2 |
| Samara Mims | - | 5 | 6.4 | 1.8 | 2.4 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 3.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 26.7 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.04 | 28.3 | 26.7 |
| D'ajua Cuthbertson | - | 4 | 12.2 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 56 | 9.3 | 16.0 | 16.7 | 33.3 | 50.0 | 0.57 | 25.4 | 20.8 |
| Loshi Ward | - | 12 | 8.5 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 2.2 | 0.9 | 25 | 4.2 | 10.1 | 15.4 | 7.1 | 87.5 | 0.26 | 27.1 | 17.3 |
| Gabriela D'Ambrosio | - | 14 | 9.7 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 1.8 | 2.6 | 0.2 | -25 | -0.8 | -2.3 | 13.5 | 12.5 | 0 | -0.47 | 18.9 | 18.9 |
| Jenna Onderko | - | 1 | 20.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | -72 | -3.4 | -5.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -0.63 | 8.5 | 0.0 |
| Kacilyn Belmont | - | 11 | 2.5 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 0.1 | - | - | - | 27.3 | 28.6 | 0 | - | 36.4 | 36.4 |
| Erica Rawlings | - | 9 | 5.1 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.7 | -1 | -0.2 | -0.2 | 28.6 | 0 | 16.7 | -0.17 | 25.9 | 28.6 |
| Kyla Thompson | - | 19 | 4.3 | 0.6 | 1.5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 1.2 | -29 | -2.6 | -11.7 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 66.7 | -0.51 | 26.5 | 20.0 |
| Qubilah Mitchell | - | 18 | 2.7 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 16 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 57.1 | 100.0 | 0 | -0.01 | 64.3 | 64.3 |
| Bethany Ebanks | - | 13 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.6 | -0.2 | - | - | - | 25.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Keira Moley | - | 15 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0.0 | 50.0 | - | 38.7 | 33.3 |
| Jordan McGhee | - | 1 | 19.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | -2.0 | -132 | -5.3 | -7.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.22 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Candela Perez-Castellanos | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -26 | -2.0 | -3.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.24 | 0 | 0 |
| Sade Lawrence | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -2 | -0.2 | -1.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.02 | 0 | 0 |
| Aubrie Wachacha | - | 1 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 3 | 0.4 | 1.6 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.21 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Zoey Gore | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -90 | -4.5 | -5.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.56 | 0 | 0 |
| Hailey Ripley | - | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | -3.0 | -13 | -0.4 | -1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.65 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Mari McNeal | - | 1 | 12.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | -2.0 | -129 | -6.1 | -8.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.12 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Brea Batts | - | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -72 | -5.1 | -17.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.82 | 0 | 0 |
| Sydney Ropes | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -4 | -0.2 | -0.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.05 | 0 | 0 |
| Nasha Arnold | - | 1 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | -1.0 | -30 | -1.9 | -2.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Daniella MacDonald | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -2 | -0.1 | -0.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.08 | 0 | 0 |
| Emma Garapetian | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Regan Keyter | - | 1 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | -57 | -1.7 | -2.1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG