Ithaca
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 970 (#318) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 896 (#388) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +0.4 (#114) | HCA +2.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.611 (#393) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.701 (#175) | NetEff +7.5 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.482 (#357) | AdjNet -0.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.474 (#361) | AdjNet -0.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.487 (#359) | AdjO 77.7 | AdjD 78.2 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-09 | vs | Rowan | W | 93 - 92 |
| 2024-11-10 | vs | Babson | L | 60 - 64 |
| 2024-11-13 | vs | Cortland | W | 64 - 58 |
| 2024-11-20 | @ | Utica | W | 82 - 78 |
| 2024-12-03 | @ | Rochester (NY) | L | 63 - 83 |
| 2024-12-06 | vs | Vassar | W | 88 - 65 |
| 2024-12-07 | vs | Bard | W | 77 - 55 |
| 2024-12-10 | vs | Hamilton | L | 70 - 73 |
| 2025-01-04 | vs | Carnegie Mellon | L | 73 - 87 |
| 2025-01-10 | @ | Union (NY) | W | 81 - 71 |
| 2025-01-11 | @ | Hobart | L | 80 - 87 |
| 2025-01-14 | @ | RIT | W | 99 - 73 |
| 2025-01-17 | vs | Clarkson | W | 66 - 63 |
| 2025-01-18 | vs | St. Lawrence | W | 64 - 46 |
| 2025-01-24 | @ | Rensselaer | L | 38 - 66 |
| 2025-01-25 | @ | Skidmore | W | 88 - 69 |
| 2025-01-31 | vs | Hobart | W | 63 - 60 |
| 2025-02-01 | vs | Union (NY) | L | 85 - 89 |
| 2025-02-07 | vs | Skidmore | W | 77 - 64 |
| 2025-02-08 | vs | Rensselaer | L | 51 - 54 |
| 2025-02-11 | vs | RIT | W | 80 - 69 |
| 2025-02-14 | @ | St. Lawrence | L | 61 - 68 |
| 2025-02-15 | @ | Clarkson | W | 86 - 62 |
| 2025-02-21 | @ | Bard | W | 79 - 58 |
| 2025-02-22 | @ | Vassar | W | 79 - 76 |
| 2025-02-28 | vs | St. Lawrence | W | 62 - 42 |
| 2025-03-02 | @ | Rensselaer | W | 72 - 67 |
| 2025-03-07 | @ | Stockton | W | 80 - 69 |
| 2025-03-08 | @ | WPI | L | 71 - 79 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Wendell | - | 29 | 31.2 | 17.9 | 4.6 | 2.8 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 2.5 | 13.2 | 11.6 | 53 | 3.5 | 5.3 | 40.8 | 31.1 | 84.1 | 1.25 | 56.6 | 48.7 |
| Evan Cabral | - | 29 | 30.1 | 13.0 | 6.6 | 2.7 | 2.1 | 0.1 | 2.4 | 10.3 | 11.8 | 61 | 3.0 | 6.2 | 45.0 | 38.7 | 56.4 | 1.28 | 53.9 | 52.2 |
| Jaylon O'Neal | - | 29 | 25.1 | 10.0 | 4.1 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 2.0 | 7.2 | 8.5 | 70 | 3.3 | 8.0 | 46.4 | 32.7 | 80.6 | 1.7 | 57.5 | 50.5 |
| Aidan Holmes | - | 29 | 27.6 | 9.7 | 4.7 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 8.5 | 7.6 | 34 | 2.4 | 3.8 | 34.6 | 33.3 | 71.6 | 0.69 | 49.7 | 45.1 |
| Chris Leysath | - | 29 | 23.2 | 7.6 | 6.6 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 1.6 | 5.8 | 9.0 | 61 | 3.2 | 8.0 | 49.4 | 36.4 | 58.4 | 1.1 | 54.2 | 51.8 |
| Alex Penders | - | 24 | 15.5 | 4.7 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 4.1 | 4.7 | -44 | -2.9 | -12.8 | 40.8 | 35.3 | 64.3 | -0.08 | 54.2 | 53.1 |
| Cole Wissink | - | 28 | 19.2 | 4.3 | 2.2 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 4.4 | 3.1 | 24 | 1.7 | 7.2 | 35.0 | 31.6 | 76.9 | 0.46 | 47.0 | 45.1 |
| Jose Padilla | - | 27 | 9.1 | 3.4 | 1.9 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 2.6 | 3.3 | 2 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 44.3 | 32.6 | 70.8 | -0.07 | 57.7 | 54.3 |
| Laurence Brady | - | 29 | 9.1 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 10 | 0.8 | 4.9 | 34.7 | 16.0 | 46.2 | 0.22 | 40.2 | 38.8 |
| Thomas McKiernan | - | 27 | 5.6 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 1.2 | -6 | -0.7 | -7.7 | 25.0 | 22.6 | 68.8 | -0.19 | 41.8 | 34.7 |
| Yoav Regev | - | 25 | 3.3 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 1.0 | -36 | -5.1 | -44.3 | 62.5 | 62.5 | 77.8 | -0.26 | 80.2 | 78.1 |
| Michael Porter | - | 29 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | - | - | - | 37.5 | 25.0 | 0 | - | 43.8 | 43.8 |
| Max Nierenberg | - | 25 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.1 | -8 | -4.0 | -426.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.48 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Bryce Bleibtrey | - | 6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| David Luberoff | - | 6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG