Iowa State
2026-2027 Team Stats (4 games)
Model Outputs
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1197 (#76) | Preseason prior 1166 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1097, returning -86, transfers +155, freshmen +0 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1124 (#79) | HCA +169 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1122 (#78) | HCA +169 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +12.0 (#78) | HCA +1.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +12.1 (#77) | HCA +1.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.927 (#53) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.792 (#66) | AdjNet +16.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.800 (#70) | AdjNet +16.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.691 (#79) | AdjO 68.0 | AdjD 59.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.691 (#78) | AdjO 68.0 | AdjD 59.6 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.748 (#73) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.748 (#73) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1169 (#65) | RD 175 | GP 4 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More → | 0.772 (#73) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
Rank through the season
League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | vs | Grambling Lady Tigers | W | 90 - 61 |
| 2026-11-05 | vs | Nicholls Colonels | W | 68 - 44 |
| 2026-11-08 | vs | Eastern Illinois Panthers | W | 77 - 61 |
| 2026-11-12 | vs | Howard Bison | W | 77 - 55 |
| 2026-11-15 | vs | UIC Flames | - | Preview |
| 2026-11-18 | @ | Northern Iowa Panthers | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Tjasa Turnsek
|
F | 4 | 28.2 | 19.2 | 8.2 | 3.2 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 2.2 | 12.5 | 17.2 | 69 | 4 | 17.2 | 24.5 | 58.0 | 0.0 | 67.9 | 1.09 | 61.8 | 58.0 |
Mya Babbitt
|
G | 4 | 25.0 | 15.5 | 4.2 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 10.0 | 9.8 | 88 | 4 | 22.0 | 35.1 | 55.0 | 55.2 | 66.7 | 3.98 | 75.0 | 75.0 |
Xiao Zhang
|
C | 4 | 11.2 | 9.5 | 2.2 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 7.2 | 4.8 | 21 | 4 | 5.2 | 18.8 | 55.2 | 0.0 | 66.7 | -0.21 | 57.6 | 55.2 |
Gift Ezekiel
|
C | 4 | 14.0 | 8.8 | 3.5 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 4.0 | 10.2 | 37 | 4 | 9.2 | 26.7 | 75.0 | 0 | 68.8 | 1.82 | 76.0 | 75.0 |
Alex-Anne Bessette
|
G | 4 | 19.0 | 8.0 | 4.2 | 2.2 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 5.2 | 9.0 | 62 | 4 | 15.5 | 33.1 | 52.4 | 42.9 | 87.5 | 1.54 | 65.3 | 59.5 |
Sienna Harvey
|
G | 4 | 29.2 | 6.0 | 4.8 | 6.5 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 2.5 | 7.5 | 7.5 | 80 | 4 | 20.0 | 27.4 | 33.3 | 33.3 | 75.0 | 2.64 | 37.8 | 35.0 |
Ashleigh Connor
|
G | 4 | 22.0 | 5.8 | 4.0 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 6.2 | 7.2 | 30 | 4 | 7.5 | 13.5 | 28.0 | 23.1 | 66.7 | -1.4 | 39.7 | 34.0 |
Macy Comito
|
G | 2 | 8.0 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 2.5 | 5 | 2 | 2.5 | 12.8 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 0.08 | 36.3 | 33.3 |
Emilija Dakic
|
G | 4 | 9.8 | 2.5 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 28 | 4 | 7.0 | 29.0 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 2.29 | 56.3 | 56.2 |
Arianna Jackson
|
G | 4 | 24.8 | 1.0 | 4.2 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 5.0 | 0.5 | 47 | 4 | 11.8 | 18.9 | 5.0 | 5.3 | 20.0 | -0.5 | 9.0 | 7.5 |
Evangelia Paulk
|
G | 4 | 6.8 | 0.5 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 2.8 | -9 | 4 | -2.2 | -12.9 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -2.42 | 34.7 | 50.0 |
Freya Jensen
|
G | 3 | 6.7 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 1.0 | -0.3 | 3 | 3 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -2.37 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Reggi Spotts
|
G | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -6 | 1 | -6.0 | -53.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.52 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
Alumni in the Pros
Former Iowa State players in WNBA 2026, matched by provider player ids (ESPN athlete ids, ESPN bios, linked StatsNBA/EuroLeague ids). Only games after their last Iowa State game count. These are observed results, not certified complete seasons. League and team are where each player last played a regular-season or playoff game (NBA ahead of G League when he played in both); recent games include the preseason.
Active alumni
| Player | At School | League | Team | GP | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | Last game | Last 30 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridget Carleton | 2015-19 | WNBA | Portland Fire | 40 | 30.9 | 14.6 | 4.5 | 2.1 | 09-22 26 pts, 3 reb, 1 ast | no games |
| Julie Vanloo | - | WNBA | New York Liberty | 5 | 16.2 | 5.8 | 2.0 | 5.4 | 05-21 2 pts, 2 reb, 8 ast | no games |
Alumni around the leagues: recent games
| Date | Player | League | Team | Opponent | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | Box |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-22 | Bridget Carleton | WNBA | Portland Fire | vs Golden State Valkyries | 40 | 26 | 3 | 1 | Box |
| 2026-08-30 | Bridget Carleton | WNBA | Portland Fire | vs Golden State Valkyries | 30 | 11 | 5 | 0 | Box |
| 2026-08-28 | Bridget Carleton | WNBA | Portland Fire | @ Atlanta Dream | 33 | 4 | 6 | 3 | Box |
| 2026-05-21 | Julie Vanloo | WNBA | New York Liberty | vs Golden State Valkyries | 16 | 2 | 2 | 8 | Box |
| 2026-05-14 | Julie Vanloo | WNBA | New York Liberty | @ Portland Fire | 18 | 9 | 0 | 4 | Box |
| 2026-05-12 | Julie Vanloo | WNBA | New York Liberty | @ Portland Fire | 12 | 3 | 0 | 2 | Box |
2026-2027 Shot Zones
250 located field-goal attempts in 4 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Mya BabbittTjasa TurnsekXiao ZhangAlex-Anne BessetteGift EzekielSienna HarveyAshleigh ConnorArianna Jackson
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 33-42 | 78.6 | 66 | Tjasa Turnsek 33% (22 pts) | Sienna Harvey 15% (10 pts) | Sienna Harvey 33% (3 misses) | Tjasa Turnsek 22% (2 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 46-95 | 48.4 | 92 | Tjasa Turnsek 35% (32 pts) | Xiao Zhang 22% (20 pts) | Sienna Harvey 20% (10 misses) | Tjasa Turnsek 20% (10 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 6-10 | 60.0 | 12 | Alex-Anne Bessette 33% (4 pts) | Xiao Zhang 33% (4 pts) | Ashleigh Connor 50% (2 misses) | Macy Comito 25% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 1-2 | 50.0 | 2 | Xiao Zhang 100% (2 pts) | - | Xiao Zhang 100% (1 misses) | - |
| Mid-range right | 4-14 | 28.6 | 8 | Gift Ezekiel 25% (2 pts) | Sienna Harvey 25% (2 pts) | Sienna Harvey 40% (4 misses) | Xiao Zhang 20% (2 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 3-10 | 30.0 | 9 | Alex-Anne Bessette 33% (3 pts) | Ashleigh Connor 33% (3 pts) | Arianna Jackson 43% (3 misses) | Ashleigh Connor 29% (2 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 1-5 | 20.0 | 3 | Mya Babbitt 100% (3 pts) | - | Arianna Jackson 50% (2 misses) | Ashleigh Connor 25% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 7-28 | 25.0 | 21 | Mya Babbitt 57% (12 pts) | Arianna Jackson 14% (3 pts) | Arianna Jackson 33% (7 misses) | Mya Babbitt 29% (6 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 3-17 | 17.6 | 9 | Mya Babbitt 100% (9 pts) | - | Tjasa Turnsek 29% (4 misses) | Ashleigh Connor 14% (2 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 11-27 | 40.7 | 33 | Mya Babbitt 64% (21 pts) | Alex-Anne Bessette 18% (6 pts) | Arianna Jackson 31% (5 misses) | Mya Babbitt 19% (3 misses) |