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Iowa State

Also known as: Iowa State Cyclones, Iowa State
Program History

2014 Team Stats (30 games)

83.3
PPG
76.1
Opp
+7.2
Margin
47.3%
FG%
34.9%
3P%
68.8%
FT%
38.1
RPG
18.4
APG
10.4
TO
-
Est. poss./game
84.7
Adj PPG
68.5
Adj Opp PPG
#11
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2013-2014
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1270 (#21) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1331 (#11) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +92 elo More โ†’ 1142 (#23) HCA +92 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More โ†’ +17.5 (#11) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More โ†’ +14.6 (#18) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.780 (#38) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +24.4 More โ†’ 0.944 (#18) AdjNet +24.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +24.7 More โ†’ 0.945 (#18) AdjNet +24.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 84.7 | AdjD 68.5 More โ†’ 0.814 (#11) AdjO 84.7 | AdjD 68.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 81.1 | AdjD 71.9 More โ†’ 0.696 (#25) AdjO 81.1 | AdjD 71.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.859 (#14) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.843 (#14) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 92 | GP 36 More โ†’ 1342 (#12) RD 92 | GP 36

2014 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2013-11-10 vs UNC Wilmington Seahawks W 95 - 62
2013-11-12 vs Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders W 80 - 50
2013-11-17 vs Michigan Wolverines W 77 - 70
2013-11-20 @ BYU Cougars W 90 - 88
2013-11-25 vs Kansas City Roos W 110 - 51
2013-12-02 vs Auburn Tigers W 99 - 70
2013-12-07 @ Northern Iowa Panthers W 91 - 82
2013-12-13 vs Iowa Hawkeyes W 85 - 82
2013-12-22 @ George Mason Patriots W 79 - 67
2013-12-23 @ Akron Zips W 83 - 60
2013-12-25 @ Boise State Broncos W 70 - 66
2013-12-31 vs Northern Illinois Huskies W 99 - 63
2014-01-04 @ Texas Tech Red Raiders W 73 - 62
2014-01-07 vs Baylor Bears W 87 - 72
2014-01-11 @ Oklahoma Sooners L 82 - 87
2014-01-13 vs Kansas Jayhawks L 70 - 77
2014-01-18 @ Texas Longhorns L 76 - 86
2014-01-25 vs Kansas State Wildcats W 81 - 75
2014-01-29 @ Kansas Jayhawks L 81 - 92
2014-02-01 vs Oklahoma Sooners W 81 - 75
2014-02-03 @ Oklahoma State Cowboys W 98 - 97
2014-02-08 vs TCU Horned Frogs W 84 - 69
2014-02-10 @ West Virginia Mountaineers L 77 - 102
2014-02-15 vs Texas Tech Red Raiders W 70 - 64
2014-02-18 vs Texas Longhorns W 85 - 76
2014-02-22 @ TCU Horned Frogs W 71 - 60
2014-02-26 vs West Virginia Mountaineers W 83 - 66
2014-03-01 @ Kansas State Wildcats L 73 - 80
2014-03-04 @ Baylor Bears L 61 - 74
2014-03-08 vs Oklahoma State Cowboys W 85 - 81
2014-03-13 vs Kansas State Wildcats W 91 - 85
2014-03-14 @ Kansas Jayhawks W 94 - 83
2014-03-15 vs Baylor Bears W 74 - 65
2014-03-21 vs North Carolina Central Eagles W 93 - 75
2014-03-23 vs North Carolina Tar Heels W 85 - 83
2014-03-28 vs UConn Huskies L 76 - 81

2014 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Melvin Ejim Melvin Ejim F 33 31.9 17.7 8.4 1.8 1.2 0.7 2.2 11.8 15.7 150 29 5.2 6.9 50.8 33.9 74.5 1.66 64.3 55.5
DeAndre Kane DeAndre Kane G 34 34.6 17.1 6.6 5.9 1.2 0.3 2.9 10.8 17.4 183 30 6.1 7.5 48.0 40.9 62.9 1.1 63.5 52.9
Georges Niang Georges Niang F 32 30.4 16.5 4.4 3.7 0.5 0.5 2.5 12.4 10.9 213 28 7.6 10.5 47.2 31.4 69.5 5.18 61.2 52.0
Dustin Hogue Dustin Hogue F 34 30.2 11.5 8.2 1.0 0.8 0.5 1.0 6.4 14.6 108 30 3.6 5.1 55.3 28.8 66.4 -0.24 72.9 58.7
Monte Morris Monte Morris G 34 28.6 6.8 2.5 3.8 1.3 0.2 0.7 4.5 9.4 148 30 4.9 7.7 44.2 37.7 83.3 1.5 63.4 51.6
Nazareth Mitrou-Long Nazareth Mitrou-Long G 34 20.2 6.6 1.6 1.1 0.2 0.1 0.4 4.8 4.3 123 30 4.1 8.5 41.7 38.2 65.2 0.5 65.0 57.1
D. Thomas D. Thomas G 34 20.4 5.3 2.0 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.5 4.2 4.5 180 30 6.0 13.0 35.9 33.3 66.7 2.72 58.3 48.2
K.J. Bluford K.J. Bluford G 5 5.0 2.8 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 2.4 1.2 - - - - 25.0 30.0 0 -1.77 58.3 37.5
Sherron Dorsey-Walker Sherron Dorsey-Walker G 18 5.6 1.3 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.5 1.0 1.3 35 17 2.1 16.9 38.9 30.0 83.3 0.57 58.1 47.2
Percy Gibson Percy Gibson C 13 4.4 1.2 1.1 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.7 1.7 11 11 1.0 10.0 55.6 0 60.0 -1.5 67.0 55.6
Tyler Ellerman Tyler Ellerman F 6 2.7 1.2 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 1.3 -1 5 -0.2 -3.2 60.0 0 33.3 -1.74 55.4 60.0
Daniel Edozie Daniel Edozie F 23 5.3 0.9 1.3 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.0 0.5 2.2 45 19 2.4 17.7 45.5 0 54.5 2.24 63.1 45.5

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG