Indiana State
Model Outputs
1993-1994
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 771 (#256) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 750 (#277) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 852 (#280) | HCA +119 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -10.0 (#252) | HCA +3.9 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -9.2 (#250) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.130 (#283) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.142 (#268) | AdjNet -15.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.141 (#267) | AdjNet -15.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.288 (#259) | AdjO 63.7 | AdjD 73.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.313 (#272) | AdjO 63.5 | AdjD 72.2 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.218 (#270) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.223 (#276) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 749 (#274) | RD 169 | GP 26 |
1994 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1993-12-01 | @ | Eastern Illinois | L | 76 - 81 |
| 1993-12-03 | N | Western Michigan | L | 52 - 67 |
| 1993-12-04 | N | James Madison | L | 64 - 80 |
| 1993-12-11 | @ | Butler | L | 52 - 73 |
| 1993-12-14 | @ | Evansville | L | 56 - 75 |
| 1993-12-18 | @ | Oral Roberts | L | 73 - 83 |
| 1993-12-22 | vs | Ball State | W | 83 - 81 |
| 1994-01-02 | @ | Missouri State | L | 50 - 66 |
| 1994-01-05 | vs | Evansville | L | 47 - 71 |
| 1994-01-08 | vs | Creighton | W | 75 - 69 |
| 1994-01-12 | @ | Bradley | L | 68 - 76 |
| 1994-01-15 | @ | Illinois State | L | 52 - 78 |
| 1994-01-20 | vs | Wichita State | W | 87 - 73 |
| 1994-01-22 | vs | Tulsa | L | 57 - 87 |
| 1994-01-25 | vs | Southern Illinois | L | 69 - 72 |
| 1994-01-29 | @ | Northern Iowa | L | 71 - 84 |
| 1994-02-01 | vs | Missouri State | L | 55 - 65 |
| 1994-02-03 | @ | Creighton | L | 52 - 64 |
| 1994-02-05 | @ | Drake | L | 70 - 74 |
| 1994-02-09 | @ | Southern Illinois | L | 69 - 89 |
| 1994-02-12 | vs | Bradley | L | 52 - 75 |
| 1994-02-17 | vs | Drake | L | 62 - 63 |
| 1994-02-19 | vs | Northern Iowa | W | 82 - 73 |
| 1994-02-21 | vs | Illinois State | L | 55 - 70 |
| 1994-02-26 | @ | Wichita State | L | 54 - 66 |
| 1994-02-28 | @ | Tulsa | L | 56 - 79 |
1994 Roster
No roster data available for this season.